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You must be 42 inches tall to ride the Coaching Carousel -- that means you, HenryJames

As the college season makes the turn for the home stretch, it is clearly time to start talking about who gets whacked -- particularly given this weekend's Battle of the Buyouts in Lincoln. This year's coaching carousel seems destined to be as bloody as the last 6 episodes of the Sopranos.

Reporter
Yeah, I'll fucking whack you

Michigan – They used to say, "You can’t spell Lloyd Carr without 2 L’s" and last year was the first year this century, he ONLY lost two games. Since Tressel replaced Carr’s punching bag, Jon Cooper, in 2001, Carr is a very underwhelming 1-5 versus hated Ohio State and has only one Big Ten outright championship. That 1997 national championship was a long time ago and Michigan is not supposed to lose to Appalachian State.

Who’s Next? Insiders seem to list their favorites as 1A Jeff Tedford and 1B Les Miles. Miles has made it known through his back channels that he’d love to return to Ann Arbor. Miles has never been loved in Red Stick, so Skip Bertman will tell Les not to let the door hit him on the way out. Tedford isn’t leaving the West Coast, so Miles it is.

LSU – Miles isn't going to get whacked, but since I think he moves on, LSU makes the list. With Miles off to Ann Arbor, this leaves the top available had coaching spot in the country open. LSU has gone 28-5 since Miles strolled into town in 2005. The cupboard is stocked and LSU can woo all comers.

Who’s Next? I’m guessing Saban is off the list, but I have no doubt that he will leverage the opening into a raise from Alabama. The candidates include current DC Bo Pelini, Jim Leavitt, and Chris Petersen. I think Petersen takes the plunge here as the LSU guys see him as Urban Meyer Part Deaux.

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I clearly deserve a raise you ungrateful pieces of shit

Nebraska – When the University President fires the AD that gave you that inexplicable extension 41 days ago and says it has nothing to do with the football program that lost its last two contests by a combined score of 86-20, you know your days are numbered.

Who’s Next? Turner Gill, Nebraska’s equivalent of Major Applewhite with 15 more years of coaching experience. It helps when the guy running the search was the guy that recruited you, your coach, your mentor, and the guy that gave you your first coaching assignment. This hire mends a lot of fences within the splintering Nebraska athletic department, fundraising arms, and fan base. This might not be the biggest splash nationally but it is the perfect fit. Sorry, Bo Pelini, but no matter how hard you beg, this job is not yours.

Reporter
Let's return to the option

Texas A&M – This weekend’s Buyout Bowl in Lincoln seems like rock bottom to many Aggies. Given the schedule for the next 5 weeks, I think the bottom has yet to surface. The VIP Connection probably saves Byrne and the department about $2.5M in the divorce settlement.

Who’s Next? Many Aggie pendants claim Jimmy Johnson, Bill Cowher, Tommy Tuberville, and Steve Spurrier have already expressed interest. Yeah, and Vince Lombardi is looking to rise from the dead to take the job as well. When Nichole Ritchie thinks you have lost touch with reality, you know you have perception problems. The reality is that the Aggies need a guy with little to no buyout and will move to Bryan College Station for between $1.2 to $1.5M per year. That list includes Houston Texan assistant head coach and former Aggie assistant Mike Sherman, Chris Petersen, Will Muschamp, Jimbo Fisher, Gary Crowton, and Bo Pelini. Sherman seems like the pick.

Arkansas - I wonder if Houston Nutt ever wishes he had taken the job in Lincoln. Regrets are a bitch. The TV reporter sex scandal, the mediocre record, the Springdale debacle, and the email debacle, and the fact that McFadden is not even going to be invited to NY will sink the Nutt ship this off-season. The question will be who makes the hire.

Who’s Next? Butch Davis might be one-and-done in Chapel Hill. This is the perfect fit. If that doesn’t work, Brent Venables is ready to take the reins.

Auburn – The Tuberville Act has grown thin at Auburn. This could be the first truly mutual break-up scenario. The mutual acts of infidelity made Bobby Petrino look like a straight shooter.

Who’s Next? Auburn knows it needs a killer hire now that Saban has landed with the Hounds tooth crowd. I foresee a long line of swings and misses at HR types (Butch Davis? No. Greg Schiano? No. Jim Leavitt? No.) Ultimately, I think they promote from within with Will Muschamp.

Arizona – John Mackovic left Mike Stoops a program in complete disarray. Well, since then, Mikey has gone 3.5 seasons with a record of 14-26. It is time to move on and for Mikey to move back to Norman with Venables moving on.

Who’s next? These guys should go back to Tomey, but they won’t swallow their pride like that. So, they go the next best route back to the Double Flex days…Duane Akina. Hey, a guy can dream. And he takes Larry MacDuff with him.

Mississippi State – Sylvester Croom knew coming in that he would not get the benefit of the doubt. He won’t after this year for sure. Five conference wins in four years isn’t getting it done. Nor is 13-28 overall.

Who’s next? As one might expect when Jackie Sherrill is leading the search committee, the big thinkers in Starkville will go back to their comfort zone for the next coach: old, white, and willing to have a malleable, cavalier attitude toward compliance. Look for a Mike Price, Dennis Erickson, Jim Donnan-type to return from their personal Siberia.

Reporter
I can get your program on probation inside of 3 years

Other guys who should keep their head on a swivel:
Ole Miss’ Ed Orgeron – it must seem like forever since he was in Southern California
Clemson’s Tommy Bowden – South Carolina’s success with Spurrier will end up pushing out Bowden, but it might be one more year. The timing of his firing could depend on the Civil War game with Spurrier after Thanksgiving.
UCLA’s Karl Dorrell – Utah? This Notre Dame team? Does he have another USC upset in his bag?
SMU’s Phil Bennett – If a tree falls in the forest, does it make a sound?
Baylor’s Guy Morriss – I hear Kevin Steele is looking for a head coaching gig
Syracuse’s Greg Robinson – Beware spurning the vaunted Mack Brown coaching tree
Iowa’s Kirk Ferentz – At what point is this guy’s enormous contract demand more accountability?

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'Don't Stop Believin'

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Surely you know I coach Arizona State

by Dennis Erickson on Oct 18, 2007 11:19 AM CDT reply actions  

“This weekend’s Buyout Bowl in Lincoln seems like rock bottom to many Aggies. Given the schedule for the next 5 weeks, I think the bottom has yet to surface.”

Texas A&M and Nebraska — two of the four “Centerpiece” programs in the Big 12 are playing this weekend — and the game is not on TV.

That’s rock bottom, for both teams, and is as good an example as you need as to why both coaches are Dead Men Walking.

by srr50 on Oct 18, 2007 11:24 AM CDT reply actions  

Great read. Thanks.

Do you really only think VIP only garners a 2.5 million cut in the settlement? I see Dennis getting less than 5.5 in settlement. I’m also not so sure about Sherman blazing the recruiting trails again, so to speak. Tuberville wouldn’t surprise me at all, just becuase he seems like he’d actually be happy in College Station. And if the buyout is closer to 3 million, the aggies might be able to afford Fran’s buyout, Tubb’s buyout, and still pay him around 2. Is RC’s money already off the books?

by BigSatan on Oct 18, 2007 11:29 AM CDT reply actions  

I just liked the picture, Dennis. You might also note that Turner Gill is not still QBing the Cornhuskers.

Dennis’ buyout is not $8M, Big Satan.

by BRAGGonUT on Oct 18, 2007 11:54 AM CDT reply actions  

Then what is the buyout? I keep reading 8 or 8.5.

by BigSatan on Oct 18, 2007 12:57 PM CDT reply actions  

Is there a reason why Tommy Bowden is still a head coach? Every year the media props him up as a threat in the ACC and every year they are out of contention by the end of September.

by Lazlo Hollyfeld on Oct 18, 2007 1:06 PM CDT reply actions  

I’ve read everything from $6 to $8.5M. I don’t think it matters anyway as that is just a starting point for the negotiations. I’d imagine $3-4M and depart “amicably”.

by BRAGGonUT on Oct 18, 2007 1:30 PM CDT reply actions  

Both Fran and Byrne hold cards in a buyout negotiation. Byrne has documented (minor) NCAA violations in the VIP newsletter. Fran has undocumented (major) NCAA violations in his memory. They will probably meet in the middle.

Given TAMU’s building debt, and their buyout costs from Fran, they might still make a case for taking on more debt to make that big hire. If it works out big, they can make a ton more money from football. If they try to hire on the cheap, and it doesn’t work out, they will still be in a bad financial way.

by TaylorTRoom on Oct 18, 2007 1:35 PM CDT reply actions  

Turner Gill is actually a good guy, and from Ft. Worth to boot. That’s a hire I’d be content to see succeed, as long as it’s never at our expense.

My concern with the aggies is that they don’t get any of the guys they really want and thus back into a really good coach who could actually be happy and successful in College Station. I remain confident however that they will again overpay for mediocrity or a guy who will leap for the next bigger, better deal.

by McLovin on Oct 18, 2007 1:47 PM CDT reply actions  

A&M is going to get Major. I read it on TexAgs. Those guys are never wrong.

by Drew on Oct 18, 2007 1:53 PM CDT reply actions  

I stand by my prediction that Reveilie will coah aggy a la chicken bingo.

by MIA on Oct 18, 2007 2:04 PM CDT reply actions  

I’d hire Major if i was them… dirt cheap and nothing to lose and they’d blame it on him being a Horn if he failed! ha Only problem is if he’d be able to hire a staff. He’s only been in the game for 4 years max?

by StoopsGetsPissed on Oct 18, 2007 2:15 PM CDT reply actions  

And I’m Dennis Franchione. Go fuck yourself, College Station.

by SeeingRed on Oct 18, 2007 2:42 PM CDT reply actions  

“Many Aggie pendants claim Jimmy Johnson, Bill Cowher, Tommy Tuberville, and Steve Spurrier have already expressed interest.”

“pedants”, he said pedantically.

Though it actually makes more sense that, instead of deep thinkers, the Aggies actually have a bunch of dangling … stuff delivering commentary.

Not only are the Ags going to have trouble landing any of their usual passel of big names, I think there’s going to be enough churn at places like Ole Miss and UCLA that they may miss out on the top unheralded guys.

My biggest fear with that crew is they’ll fall back-assward into a Stoops type of guy.

by CrazyJoeDavola on Oct 18, 2007 4:24 PM CDT reply actions  

Ron Prince it is, then.

by Super on Oct 18, 2007 7:47 PM CDT reply actions  

Lloyd Carr – check
Phil Bennett – check
Guy Morriss – check

It is going to be a busy week.

by BRAGGonUT on Nov 19, 2007 2:00 PM CST reply actions  

Didn’t have to beg, Dr. Tom Osborne asked me. So I guess it just proves, you don’t know what you are talking about, and Bo Knows Nebraska. Guess you didn’t hear the fans yell, “WE WANT BO”, the last time I coached here. Give the people what they want. “Bo Bo Bo, Merry Christmas!”

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