Big 12 Betting: Week 6
by Scipio Tex on Nov 5, 2008 3:02 PM CST
in Texas Longhorns and Other Football
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PrintAfter a horrendous 2-4 Week 5, my record is now 16-13-1 ATS. I'm still batting over .500, but it's time I put one out of the yard. This is that week.
OU - 26 @ A&M
No one - no one! - goes into College Station and beats the Aggies. Except for football teams with 85 scholarships. My personal over/under on Oklahoma yardage is 540. Jerrod Johnson's development is coming along swimmingly though he still has turnover pneumonia. I like Oklahoma to walk the line.
OU - 52
A&M - 24
OSU +3.5 @ Texas Tech
I find these two teams to be equal so I'll take the three and a half. Lubbock will find Dez Bryant more troubling than a Negro president. Don't be surprised to see one of Tech's first drives involve a 3rd and 40 - whether deserved or not. The league office wants to make a statement and all of that. Sadly, Big 12 officiating is now starting to resemble NBA basketball - but with less organ music and fewer flopping Argentines. The OSU gameplan is simple: Hunter, Hunter, Robinson, Hunter, Toston. Pepper in some Dez Bryant bombs to keep a girl honest and you've got more ball control than Hillary.
OSU - 39
Tech - 38
Iowa State @ CU -9.5
The most tiresome burden of picking all Big 12 contests is precisely this sort of trainwreck. Neither team can score. Colorado can borderline defend, but their special teams look like Starr Jones on a Sybian. Iowa State's football coffin makes them accustomed to oxygen deprivation so altitude will present little challenge. Colorado has been scouting a local junior high to simulate Chizik's defensive complexity. So tossup on the intangibles. The game is in Boulder, so I suppose CU cobbles together enough points to win before an intense gameday crowd of 36,000. Whatev. I'm totally stok'd for ski season, bra!!!!
CU - 24
ISU - 13
Kansas St @ Mizzou -27
Trusting a Mizzou team that eked out a win in Waco to cover a massive spread is dubious, but watching Kansas State implode and quit in Lawrence signaled the death knell of the Prince era. Vegas is betting that KSU is a team that has quit on their season and I'm not sure they're wrong. Missouri seems to handle the dregs of the North (read: all teams in the North) with some alacrity and the coach, did, umm, quit. Gimli rolls.
Missouri - 51
Kansas St - 19
KU -1 @ NU
This is basically picking a straight up winner and winning in Lincoln isn't the mental block it once was to the former Big 8. Indeed, they take a special glee in sticking it to the junior high bully that tied them to the tetherball pole and threw their digital watch into a harvesting combine. Now the bully is unemployed, penniless, and living at their folks while Kansas drives by grinning in their '99 Toyota Camry with a steady job at the post office. Postal Auditor Grade Four, motherfucka! How ya like me now?
Kansas - 31
Nebraska - 27
Baylor +28 @ Texas
Baylor is one of the more decent bad record teams in the NCAA featuring a fairly brutal schedule brimming with moral victories. Robert Griffin is Der Wunderkind and he'll show his wares in Austin. Fozzy Whittaker's 14 carries will offer us hope of a running game and TE participation in our offense will be limited when Applewhite hides Greg Davis' I fomation laminated playsheet. Bottom line: we have a 11:00 am lazy Saturday kickoff in a game that we expect to win right after a heartbreaking loss. S-L-E-E-P-W-A-L-K.
Texas - 44
Baylor - 21
Pick it apart.
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“Starr Jones on a Sybian”, really? you had to go there? good read, loved it.
by utstudent on Nov 5, 2008 3:14 PM CST reply actions
Only quibble is Nebraska. I think this will be their statement game.
by Trips Right on Nov 5, 2008 3:26 PM CST reply actions
Great read.
“Postal Auditor Grade Four, motherfucka! How ya like me now?”
Where is the crystal meth reference?
by ATXHornsFan on Nov 5, 2008 3:28 PM CST reply actions
Nice, my biggest concern is our kicking game. That has to catch up with us in the next two games.
by dedfischer on Nov 5, 2008 3:37 PM CST reply actions
My biggest concern is trying to remember who Starr Jones is without googling her at work.
by jc25 on Nov 5, 2008 3:48 PM CST reply actions
Scip, you should’ve just gone with Cytherea and made it easier on me. But I guess that would’ve just been plain lazy.
by jc25 on Nov 5, 2008 3:48 PM CST reply actions
Ha. I just googled sybian at work. How did I not know better?
by Minnesotahorn on Nov 5, 2008 3:51 PM CST reply actions
Am I sick in the head for not having to google it?
by dedfischer on Nov 5, 2008 3:52 PM CST reply actions
I think Cytherea is much more the Monkey Rocker type.
by ATXHornsFan on Nov 5, 2008 3:56 PM CST reply actions
I guess ya’ll have not learned your lesson about picking against Texas Tech. I guess having the longest winning streak in the country means nothing when you blog for Barking Carnival.
by Tim on Nov 5, 2008 7:32 PM CST reply actions
When Tim here, we be quiet…
But when Tim leave, we be talkin’ again.
by Trips Right on Nov 5, 2008 8:11 PM CST reply actions
I know that I’m in the minority, but I don’t see how Tech can possibly win this week. If they keep it under two scores I will be back to eat my words. Last time I didn’t have to, I don’t expect this time to be any different. But we shall see.
by Bartoncreek on Nov 5, 2008 8:17 PM CST reply actions
Having seen both teams up close and in person, I believe that OSU will score at least 50 on West Texas Body and Fender (tech).
Sheer idiocy at the OC position will not afflict OSU as it did Texas.
by BiggUggly on Nov 6, 2008 6:48 AM CST reply actions
“Sheer idiocy at the OC position will not afflict OSU as it did Texas.”
You’ve got a point there. That’s my only reservation about Texas representing the Big 12 in the MNC game. I don’t trust Greg Davis schematicly against an SEC defense. Maybe Major could talk some sense into him between now and January, but I’m not positive.
by dedfischer on Nov 6, 2008 6:51 AM CST reply actions
aTm covers. OU generally plays down in C Station. And aTm is great at scoring quickly in junk time. See KSU v. aTm. Not saying it’s going to be close, just saying aTm keeps it within four scores.
by '01 Ag on Nov 6, 2008 7:24 AM CST reply actions
“… but their special teams look like Starr Jones on a Sybian.”
I just threw up a little. Thanks for the mental image, a$$hole.
by 98horn on Nov 6, 2008 8:06 AM CST reply actions
“Sadly, Big 12 officiating is now starting to resemble NBA basketball – but with less organ music and fewer flopping Argentines.”
Classic!!
I agree that Texas won’t cover. I also think Missouri hangs 60 on K State.
by Art Vandelay on Nov 6, 2008 8:35 AM CST reply actions
dedfischer has trust issues when it comes to Texas football.
by Vasherized on Nov 6, 2008 8:57 AM CST reply actions
“Could get ugly” will depend on your perspective this weekend.
by ponderos on Nov 6, 2008 9:08 AM CST reply actions
You’ve certainly got some cajones in taking Colorado to score four times in a single game. Then again, Iowa State has a way of making the impossible happen.
by hiphopopotamus on Nov 6, 2008 9:23 AM CST reply actions
I’m sure Tim will come back and take his lumps if Tech happens to lose to OSU. I’m very confident in this.
by Dunstan Pearl on Nov 6, 2008 9:31 AM CST reply actions
Nebraska/Kansas is the 3rd most important Big 12 for me this weekend. They need to beat Nebraska and Mizzou then see us again in the B12CG.
by beowulf on Nov 6, 2008 3:23 PM CST reply actions
Baylor -8 this weekend makes me chortle. I know this is will be discussed again this week. We actually might be 30 point favorites over the ags. Vegas thinks Baylor is 5 pts better than ags on a neutral field assuming 3 pts for homefield.
by dick on Nov 10, 2008 8:35 AM CST reply actions
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