The Shootaround

by Scipio Tex on Feb 16, 2009 2:36 PM CST

Chet Gristler capably handicaps the Big 12 NCAA Tournament odds.

I think we're in if we close out Big 12 play north of .500; probably in at 8-8 with one Big 12 tourney win. Our non-con will save us and we're an established enough basketball program that we can get by on committee charity in a tight spot. I reckon Bracketology agrees.

Next up: Brett Favre - future NFL analyst!

I await that insightful commentary eagerly:

Summerall: (hiccup) Blllechhhh....arbbbbb.....Gyyyyants to fyace thurddd n tree in forrrf qorr. Down tree. Play-offffs. Four min leff. Wizzle happen Eel-hi Mann, Bratt Farr?

Favre: If Eli has a pair hanging, he'll drop back and fucking wing it into the teeth of that queer ass Cover 2. Test that shit.

Summerall: ...ahhh, agin two deep saffeys? Deep paassss?

Favre: Maybe your receiver makes a play!

Summerall: (hiccup) Orrrr...intracepshunnn. Shoon't try n get firs down - plenny time clock? Gyyants jess nee....uhhh....feel goal. Errp.

Favre: Throw it up there. Like a kid. A petulant overrated kid. Can't be scared to crap your bloomers, Summerall.

Summerall:I'm jess did. Foooof.

Texas Tech and Mike Leach continue to whizz all over each other, according to the Wiz of Odds. When pride and public face become primary in a negotiation, you'll have better luck getting Hezbollah on J-Date. I downplayed the likelihood of Leach and Tech parting ways earlier, but my decision modeling naively assumed rational actors.

Finally, worst charge call EVARRR:

What was weaker and more contrived - the bad call or Floyd's faux double-back once he hit the tunnel ramp?

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Comments

Hezbollah on J-Date. Zing!

You’ve certainly made the most of out of this psuedo-holiday.

I like this Chet Gristler fellow, even if it’s just for a name in a future screenplay. And that Missouri loss still chafes my loins like HenryJames at a Jonas Brothers concert.

by Vasherized on Feb 16, 2009 4:46 PM CST reply actions

I think the ref was in a bad spot to make that call. I’ve definitely seen worse… like the one called on Justin Mason in Knoxville a couple of years ago…

by Bob in Houston on Feb 16, 2009 5:00 PM CST reply actions

That one on Mason vs. Tennessee was also the worst I have seen. Mason planted himself on the block while the Tennessee player was still behind the 3 point line and just waited patiently until the guy ran him over. It was like the scene in Austin Powers with the security guard and the steamroller.

by longhornmatt on Feb 16, 2009 5:21 PM CST reply actions

Vasherized:

The guys at Atomic Teeth routinely write amazing shit yet are too meek to draw attention to themselves, preferring their own cubbyhole of anonymity. I will begin mocking them more for this in the coming weeks.

Bob in H:

Exaggeration is the nectar of blogging.

longhornmatt:

Great visual image. I remember Justin actually taking out an emery board and filing his nails while counting down the contact 1..2..3..4.

by Scipio Tex on Feb 16, 2009 5:29 PM CST reply actions

“Favre: If Eli has a pair hanging, he’ll drop back and fucking wing it into the teeth of that queer ass Cover 2. Test that shit.”

Great shit, man.

Hook ’em!

by uthookem on Feb 16, 2009 6:02 PM CST reply actions

We have also done a predictaseed for the Big 12 tourney, you put in predicted future game results, and predictaseed gives you the Big 12 tourney bracket: The Atomic Teeth Predictaseed

by Gene Claude on Feb 16, 2009 6:24 PM CST reply actions

Change one possession result in any of the three losses and we are looking at a 6 or 7 seed.

Change a possession at the end of the game in each of the three, and we are Missouri — playing for a 4 or 5 seed.

No wonder most basketball coaches are bat shit crazy.

by srr50 on Feb 16, 2009 7:09 PM CST reply actions

If you are playing that game, you need to do the same for your wins…Any wins in which you can change a possession and they turn into a loss?

We have two “change one possession” losses in Xavier and Nebraska. We have three “change one possession” wins in UT, KU and OSU. I’d say that is a pretty fair random distribution. Of course, if you change just the two losses, we are playing for a 1 or 2 seed….

I think margin of victory is a better forecasting tool than W/L in basketball, although the severely unbalanced college basketball schedules hampers that tool as well. Also, the style Mizzou plays leads to more scoring variance. Still, our margin of victory portends future success…the fewer games going down to the wire the better.

by Gene Claude on Feb 17, 2009 10:19 AM CST reply actions