Looking @ KU

I’ve only seen a half of Kansas football, against Nebraska. I really think they’re going to destroy themselves from the inside out.

I wonder what Vegas is going to do with the Mangino line.

“You’re going to see a lot of Reesing holding on to the ball, looking downfield at covered WRs, and then getting constricted by a collapsing pocket. He’ll try to run to create a play and essentially sack himself or throw up something ill advised…..”

…like a kidney or a spleen.

I don’t know how you model it, either, but we’re going to cover that point spread with ease. These are two teams heading in precisely opposite directions.

do you think it would be a better matchup with a. williams on briscoe or should we use his length on meirer?? either way he is going to shut out one of their threats

also you forgot to mention that the crowd will be pretty emotional and going crazy when Colt is passing the all time win mark in his last home game.

Since OU we’ve scored 41, 41, 35, and 47 for an average of 41 points a game. Kansas is “every team” we’ve played in that 4 game stretch so we will score 41 on them.

We’ve also given up an average of 9.5 per game since OU, so Kansas will score 9.5 points on us. Don’t ask how, just know it.

As always, great stuff. I will clarify one thing, however.

KU started the year 5-0 largely on the strength of the fact that they weren’t playing very good teams (though they whipped semi-respectable Duke and edged Southern Miss when they still had their QB) and those teams hadn’t yet realized that they could get pressure on Todd Reesing with four and use those extra men to cover. Early on, KU did a nice job of manufacturing a running game using the Pistol and some quick hitters that complemented their passing game, but that well is dry.

Each of our first five opponents actually did think/know they could get pressure with their line and tried dropping 7 or 8 into coverage. To an extent it worked, but combined with healthy backs, it’s also why we were running the ball so well. But now we cant run the ball and because of Reesing’s groin, he can’t throw it down the field and we’re trying to run a spread offense mostly in a box within 12 yards of the line of scrimmage.

Quick note: At this point, the thing I might watch the most is how Spikes handles himself at guard against your DTs. As you mentioned, he neutralized Suh last week (in his first career start at guard) and I’m hoping we’ve found something there, because he was becoming a turnstile on the edge.

As for our defense, I’m sure you’ll go down the field with plenty of success (let’s just say we haven’t perfected the art of finding the ball), but there’s a realistic chance that you could score every time you have the ball if you simply attack our LBs & take advantage of the 10 yard cushion our corners will give with short routes.

The big debate on campus is whether to caption this Götterdämmerung in Italian in deference to the Manginos.

Regardless, our cheerleaders will appear as Rhine Maidens.

The football gods sure are trying to make up for last years screw job aren’t they?

Every team on our schedule falls into an injury riddled/NCAA problem/internal unrest sinkhole right before they show up on the schedule.

“we’re trying to run a spread offense mostly in a box within 12 yards of the line of scrimmage”

we are jealous of the extra 7 yards your OC allows your offense to play within

We cover that spread at halftime.

We cover that spread at halftime.
 
Yes, but do we hold on to that cover in the late 2nd half?

I’m just going to go ahead and say it now…. Dollar $ign$! That’s what this game will be about. By dollar signs I mean that Texas probably covers the spread, mostly because KU is on a 7-game ATS losing streak. If all this shit with Mangino hadn’t popped up I’d feel very comfortable in a Texas cover. Now, you just don’t know how a team will react to everything if MM doesn’t coach. Who knows, maybe it unifies them and they play a decent game like everyone back in September thought they were capable of.

I think Muschamp is determined to beat some quality into his back ups. Whether they hold or not late, I don’t know, but we’ll see them pretty early if we get a big lead again.

Never mind the fact that most defenses find him too irresistably cute to stop and that he sleeps in sunbeams after batting the cord on venetian blinds, Reesing is still 5 foot 10 with an average arm.

Aw, how cute!
 

KU may have an interim coach by the time they play Texas on Saturday, if you believe any of the rumors floating around.

And check out point number three here for a particularly interesting tidbit.

The line is well within reach. In fact, I’d gladly take the Horns 26.5, if I didn’t have a rule against betting on games in which I am “emotionally vested.” As you noted, the Jayhawks have some ability to apply pressure on Colt, and to stymie the Texas Troika of Johnson, Newton, and Whitacker. in the end, however, the talent mismatch is simply too much for Kansas - even if Greg Davis dusts off his game plan from the Wyoming first half.

As usual, our defense will make life a living hell for their offense. Your point about Reesing’s strength — his ability to improvise on busted plays — and our D Line’s assignment discipline is spot on. He should get dumped for losses often. And the running game will be stuffed like next next week’s Turkey. Aside from the occasional grab Briscoe, Kansas’ should face many 4th-and-long downs.

Final: Texas 41, Kansas 14 (UT covers by .5)

Yawn, the red carpet continues to roll out for UT, hard to even imagine an easier path to a NC game. .

That’s right Tim. Red carpet. We are entirely to blame for the Big 12 being down this year, no doubt.

Hey Tim — remember how awesome it was when you said Texas was lucky to play Tech early in the season? That was HILARIOUS!!! LOL OMG

eloy -
 
I want to use Curtis on Dez. Quick on quick. Aaron Williams is a good guy for Kerry Meier because he’s strong enough to match his physicality. Good point on Colt and the win record.
 
hiphop -
 
Really appreciate the clarification. How is Reesing injury manifesting itself? Is he not able to plant and throw with velocity? It didn’t seem like it was killing his mobility, but maybe I’m just relying on a few glimpses of game action.
 
Triston-
 
You’re going for the ‘73 Oakland As angle are you? A team full of dissension focuses its rage outwards on the opponent before descending back into internecine warfare? I like it. It’s probably not what’s happening, but I like it.
 
rickeydreds -
 
Nice contribution and not just because we agree. Come back now, y’hear.

Tim –
 
The only red carpet rolled out for us was from the girls that traveled here from Tech. We appreciate it though.
 
And yes, we’ve been incredibly lucky. So what? It’s easier than being awesome.

“Hey Tim — remember how awesome it was when you said Texas was lucky to play Tech early in the season? That was HILARIOUS!!! LOL OMG”

I have no problem standing by that. UT beat Tech by 10 points, and Tech only brought 1 DE into the game. If our DT lined up at DE can get a sack on McCoy in a spead rush around the tackle. What do you think Brandon Sharpe the guy who leads the Big 12 in sacks(in conference play) would do? Don’t you think that changes the game a little bit?

No Tim, I don’t. Your offense is demonstrably worse than it was then and our offense is much, much better. Your defensive line would certainly make some plays. But the game would look a lot like the Missouri game. You were better with Potts unretarded than you are now.

freedezbryant – re point three: wow, just wow. If that can’t spark you to drop a few lbs, then there’s little incentive left in life for him.

Christ you’re a moron Tim.

Yeah, even though every part of our team has improved since then, Tech would somehow give us a better game. The same Tech team that got face fucked at home by fucking a&m, and lost to an OSU team that we mudholed.

nordberg, I grow weary of your logic-based agenda.
  
Unless you can offer more hysterical polemic, I may ban you.

“Yeah, even though every part of our team has improved since then, Tech would somehow give us a better game.”

Yet, Texas Tech would be worse having more than 1 healthy DE???

You idoits seems to forget the only difference between an injury laced Tech team, and an all-american stocked UT team in Austin this year, was a Jordan Shipley punt return and a Sergio Kindle forced fumble.

Just admit, your team has been incredibly lucky and move on, christ.

I once interviewed a guy Mangino’s size in the lobby of a public building, and he’d just come from the restroom. He smelled of shit.

So, yeah. Nasty stuff.

Tell you what Tim, why don’t you worry about putting the finishing touches on a nice little 5-loss season, and we’ll worry about winning another national championship. You can even call that “moving on” if you’d like. Deal?

Yes, Tech is a much worse team now than they were then. Texas is a much better team now than they were then. The idea that the game would be better now is a terrible one.

Even after one of the easiest runs in history, Texas won’t win the National Championship this year. Texas has faced zero adversity on the field, and has yet to beat even a decent team at full strength. Texas will get steamrolled the first time they face an above average team that doesn’t have multiple starters out. Sadly Texas won’t face that team until the NC game. What a pathetic college football season.

Yeah, because all of the other schools are so dominant — like Florida with its cheap officiating to beat Arkansas, Alabama with its fluke blocked field goals, etc. Tim, go back to playing in your own feces.

Even if that is your argument about Florida and Alabama, they still have to play each other, to get to a NC game. Who does Texas have to play?

So, I guess that was no deal, huh?

A bad Tech team, for one. Then Oklahomo State, which was highly ranked at various points of the season. OU, which isn’t a bad team at all. Other than that — no one really. My point is a little broader — no one plays anyone. That’s the way this season is going down. But in a land of midgets, Texas is slightly above average size. Making us semi-dominant.

Nobody. And I’m absolutely reveling in how much it bothers you. We’re going to have the conference title and NC game berth gift wrapped for us in a way that will never happen to your second fiddle program if they play football for the next ten thousand years. Mmmm… Historical success bias I bask in your warm glow.

Kansas’ entire offense is a testament to a well coached team that can’t create big plays. 15 play drives are rare for a reason. Texas’ defense specializes in picking off the 8th pass in a drive. I don’t see this ending well for a Kansas team that isn’t as good as the one we nearly shut out last year.

The KU defense, like always, is well coached and slow, the difference this year being that they can’t cover. They couldn’t cover Adron Tennell, even when OU put out the neon “this is what we’re going to do” sign that they put out every so often.

Mangino is a hateful, sad prick that is getting his comeuppance. Fantastic coach, bad guy.

Scipio – It has hurt his lateral mobility in scrmabling, but as you guessed, it’s mostly hurt his ability to throw a good ball with velocity. Since he can’t plant and push off, nearly half his throws anymore are all arm and no legs – which doesn’t work very well if you’re JaMarcus Russell and doesn’t work at all if you’re Todd Reesing.

It’s also pretty much taken away his ability to throw on the run, which used to be just about what he did best, be it scrambling or on a designed roll out. So yeah, it’s been great.

ChrisApplewhite: I’m not sure I would say our defense is “well-coached”. Not since Bill Young left.

And in retrospect, us going to a 4-2-5 to “deal with the spread” is reminiscent of prairie aggy’s vaunted 3-4 of last year (right?)…

“Even if that is your argument about Florida and Alabama, they still have to play each other, to get to a NC game. Who does Texas have to play?”

Only teams like Tech – which is to say, no one worth a shit.

And somehow, I don’t think this season’s crystal football will glitter even slightly less than the 05-06 edition.

“Texas has faced zero adversity on the field”

Maybe Tim would give Texas some respect if we had won some more squeakers instead of beating the ever-living piss out of just about every opponent.

As much as I would the Jayhawks to ignore the distractions and play above themselves, I just don’t see it happening on Texas’ senior night (especially if we go in with an interim coach who has one to two days to prepare). It’s easy money for Longhorn fans this week.

Much of the offensive struggle can be tied to Jake Sharp getting hurt, and coach’s refusal to run Opurum as a north-south back. The stadium collectively groans when we try an Opurum lateral run, because 50,000 people know immediately it will end in a two yard loss. Without a running game, the defense can focus on shutting down the receivers.

Defensively, we’re a step slow at most positions, and prone to nervous breakdowns at a certain linebacker spot. Laptad got hurt (twice) in the last game. Stuckey has had an arm or elbow injury most of the year, I believe. The defense actually played well enough to win four of those last five games, but seemed to be gassed by the fourth quarter. I think Lubbock Smith will be a decent player, but he doesn’t have good instinct right now.

Special teams are poorly prepared and it shows each week. In the OU game, we passed up a 40-yard FG with the wind, but settled for a 57-yard FG, which by astounding circumstances, was good. In the Nebraska game, with the same wind, we try a pooch kick that was less successful than Wolf Blizter’s Jeopardy appearance. In the same game, we tried a kick return reverse with a receiver not known for speed.

Overall, I can’t see this game ending with a score 52-14. It’s more likely to end 63-6.

I was concerned about the defense, linebackers in particular, heading into the season and said as much in the season preview. No depth, and Mangino was chucking bodies at the problem, which we’re familar with around here pre-Muschamp. I had you guys at 7-5, but the injuries and internal strife weren’t accounted for. On a related note I’ve enjoyed you guys’ takes this season and your site. Humor is a high level defense mechanism (see Tim for an example of the lack thereof) and you’ve all consistently done a damn good job. I wish I’d had a similar blog to read during the Mackovic years.

Thanks for the post-mortem and preview this week, Scip, Great job as always!

Tim forgets that the only reason the tech game was even that close was that Muschamp has a complete brain fart on two drives (which he admitted) in the second half. Prior to that Tech was doing what it technically known as squatus.

Texas Tech Drive Summaries
START QTR POSS. YARD PLAYS YARDS RESULT
15:00 1 03:54 TTU 19 10 56 Field Goal Good
07:54 1 00:52 TTU 1 3 2 Punt
07:02 1 02:40 TTU 41 6 6 Punt
03:20 1 02:29 TTU 35 4 -20 Punt
14:51 2 03:25 TTU 36 9 17 Fumble
10:02 2 01:23 TTU 25 3 3 Punt
05:37 2 02:07 TTU 28 5 24 Punt
00:28 2 00:28 TTU 15 3 20 End of Half

Tim, you remember the (vaginal) blood oathe you took concerning UT going undefeated and winning it all? You have a month and a half to get everything off of your B cupped chest, then it’s adios for you. That means you don’t have much time to tell us how bad Tech is going to whip our ass next year. I’ll miss you Tim and your spotting ways.

Tim, perhaps after your departure from BC you can turn your attention to a higher calling and start a self-help group for the morbidly myopic.

“Even if that is your argument about Florida and Alabama, they still have to play each other, to get to a NC game. Who does Texas have to play?”

We do still have to play an away game against a team that crushed you 52-30 at your place, but, embarassingly for you that’s just the Aggies. So I guess you’re right, we don’t have to play anyone.

Why would any kid listen to a fat fuck like Mangino about getting into football shape? For God’s sake the guy is so fat he can barely troll the sidelines.

Hey Tim good luck in the Underwear Bowl mofo.

I’ve seen a lot of people speculate that KU is primed for a massive and horrendous blowout because of internal dissension, but I’m not sure how can you model for that.

Visualize Mark Mangino as the protagonist in the Ryan’s Steakhouse story.

Tim-

I won’t belittle you, as you have been subjected to the wrath of BC’s finest writers. I will merely put this tidbit up for thought.

 You claim that Texas has not experienced adversity, but you fail to realize that these are the same kids that went through the ringer last year. These kids experienced the disappointments, and joys of last season. They are on a mission. That mission is Pasadena.

 This team likens to the 2005 team in that fact. They didn’t experience any difficulty either, until reaching USC. Like this team, no one was giving them much chance when they got there. The stars are lining up Tim. Can you sing………

5……………..

5 crystal…………….

5 crystal footballllssssss………….

I can’t believe you guys still fall for Tim’s shit. Tim is like a cash register to Sailor Ripley.

Tim is Sailor Ripley.

He posts with an eyepatch and a dagger clenched in his teeth to get in character.