A Quick Look At Vince's Progress
Remember the 2006 NFL Draft of QBs? Tennessee took Young with the 3rd pick, Arizona took Leinart around 10th, and Denver took Cutler 11th. After the first year, the general consensus was that Tennessee, gambling on an unpolished passer like Young might have caught lightning in a bottle, Leinart just needed time, and that canny old sage, Mike Shanahan, found the real jewel in the bunch in Jay Cutler. Vince made the Pro Bowl as an alternate, but was still very rough as a passer. Cutler looked like the best QB out of the box. Since QB is the NFL’s most important position, and each of these players ended their rookie years as starters, this trio were destined to be matched and compared for as long as they played.
After 2007, and little improvement passing, Vince Young skeptics started speaking out. He had a nice December, and the Titans made the playoffs, but he was still nothing like a conventional top NFL QB. When the Titans lost, it was usually easy to find a play or two where he made a sub-par play, an inexplicable throw. Leinart lost his job to resurgent former MVP Kurt Warner. Jay Cutler continued to impress, even as the Broncos once again failed to make the playoffs.
In 2008, Vince Young had a very public meltdown during a game against the Jaguars the first week of the season. He lost his starting job to Kerry Collins, who led the Titans on a long winning streak to the conference’s best record. Collins didn’t play exceptionally well, but he was more of the "game manager" that Fisher preferred at the position, and so was rewarded with a new contract. Speculation began over where Young would play next, if he were given another chance.
In 2008, Leinart hardly played at all, becoming an afterthought. Cutler made the Pro Bowl, but once again the Broncos had a losing record, costing Shanahan his job. The Broncos hired Pats OC Josh McDaniel as the new head coach, and the spread QB guru got off on the wrong foot with Cutler. Cutler demanded a trade, and was sent to the Bears, where he was expected to be the final piece of a championship team. Leinart figured to stay in a holding pattern, waiting for another chance to play when either Warner slips or the Cardinals trade him.
2009 could hardly be better for Young or worse for Cutler. It turns out that Chicago QBs struggled so much, not because they sucked, but because the Bears offense sucked. Cutler has really struggled, and probably wishes he had stayed in Denver to work with the guy who made a star out of Matt Cassell. Meanwhile, Young was given another chance after the Titans started the season 0 – 6 (at the owner’s insistence- Fisher still didn’t trust him). He has played lights out, and the Titans had an amazing turn-around. Over the first 6 games, the average Titans score was 14 – 33. Since Young became the starter, the Titans have gone 7 – 1, and averaged a score of 29 – 16. Young is making plays and protecting the ball.
Check out the following stats. They are career passing, running and sack stats. You see that over their careers, Cutler is a better passer, with a lesser likelihood of taking a sack. Young takes a sack about every 17 times he goes back to pass. For his career, Cutler takes almost 22 pass play attempts for every sack. Counting rushing yards, and yards lost to sacks, Cutler averages 6.3 yards/play, better than Young’s 5.85 yards/play and Leinart’s 5.69. Those stats all support what everybody thought at season’s beginning.
Now see the same stats for the past 16 regular season starts of each QB. Young has been significantly better than before, as a passer, and as a protector of the ball. Cutler has done notably worse. Now, the QBs have switched positions. Young appears to be the rising young star, mastering this most difficult of positions. Cutler appears to be the guy who is a little overwhelmed by everything.
The final metric is winning. So far, Young is 25 – 13 (counting that playoff loss), 12 – 4 over his last 16 He has saved his coach’s job once, and may be doing so again this year. Cutler is 22 – 29, 5 – 11 over his last 16, and has seen his first coach fired and may be working on his second. Leinart is 7 – 10, and saw the coach who drafted him fired. Fun stuff. Thoughts?
Be sure to check the chart HERE.
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Don’t forget Cutler got drafted by team that had been to the playoffs three of the previous four years including 2005 (they got the 11th pick in a trade). Plummer had them on the path to a playoff birth in ‘06 but was starting to slide so in comes Cutler. The team was still in the driver’s seat for a playoff birth but Cutler couldn’t beat a weak SF team to get his team into the playoffs (he was 2-3 in ’06 as a starter)…reminiscent of his inability to beat a weak Middle Tennessee State team the year before to get his team a long-awaited bowl game.
Cutler has had all the best cards dealt to him but he has consistently failed to deliver. He took a perennial playoff team in Denver down a notch and cost Shanahan his job. He is not a winner. He has gun, but he doesn’t have the leadership. He would be Jeff George except for the fact that he has generally played for good or decent teams, while George always seemed to get the call from teams scraping at the bottom of the barrel.
by Ricky on Dec 21, 2009 7:46 PM CST reply actions
Young wins games. Period. That’s what he’s always been about. And now he’s doing it pretty to shut up all the talking heads at ESPN who are in a full scale backpedal.
Cutler is a whiny baby, but last season was not his fault. Their defense was as embarassing as Texas’ OL this year.
by LosHorn on Dec 21, 2009 7:57 PM CST reply actions
I have nothing against Cutler. I think he is an example of what happens when a player goes from a good sytem to a bad system. Remember, last year Orton was the boob.
by TaylorTRoom on Dec 21, 2009 8:30 PM CST reply actions
If you look deeper at Cutler, you see a guy who commits the costly turnover more times then not, when he has a chance to win. Young is the opposite. He plays awful sometimes, only to turn it around at the crucial point of a ball game. I did a similar comparison to Rodgers before the season. Young first season, he had the ball in his hands at the end of the game with a chance to win 6 times, and went 4-2. f the two losses, one he drove the team 60+ yards to the 20 against the Ravens, only to have the winning kick blocked. The other loss, was an incomplete pass against the Colts earlier in the year.
Rogers also had the ball with a chance to win his first year 6 times. He went 0-6.
Some guys just don’t show up at the end of games. Cutler is showing right now, what we all saw at Vandy. He does not improve a team.
by p on Dec 21, 2009 10:25 PM CST reply actions
Young also has much better weapons this year in Britt and Washington. Those guys make Gage and the TEs into credible threats.
I don’t know who Cutler has that is worth a damn… Knox is probably a practice squader on most NFL teams, Bennett about the same, and Devin Hester is a brilliant return man as a WR.
Young has definitely proved people wrong that he can’t throw a deep ball accurately. Frankly, I think from a skills perspective he and Cutler are a wash, but VY doesn’t pout anymore and Cutler is getting worse.
by Sugarpants on Dec 21, 2009 11:12 PM CST reply actions
by admin on Dec 21, 2009 11:28 PM CST reply actions
I think one thing people tend to forget is that both Leinart and Cutler had far and away more talent to work with than Vince.
Vince went to play for a guy in Fisher who supposedly didn’t even want him in the first place. Norm Chow was never able to hack it as an NFL OC and McNair and Volek both publicly said they hated his offense. The Fisher led Titans just LOVED running the ball and kicking field goals. They had little receiving talent on that team when Vince showed up in 2006.
After Vince’s amazing rookie season, the Titans promptly let Travis Henry, Drew Bennett, and Bobby Wade walk. In return, Vince got Justin Gage, Roydell Williams, Brandon Jacobs, and an overweight LenDale White. In other words, a nice big steaming pile of shit.
Of COURSE he was going to struggle. As Godlike as Vince can be out there on the field, even he can’t work miracles that big. Well, I do suppose it could be considered a miracle to have led that team to 10 wins and the playoffs in the toughest division in the entire league that year. Yet he got no credit for it. He also didn’t get any credit for improving his yardage, completion percentage, yards per completion, etc.; all while being hurt for the large majority of the year.
Meanwhile, Leinart has two superstars in Fitzgerald and Boldin along with Edge in the backfield. Cutler took over a team that had gone to the AFC Championship the year before and he had phenomenal guys like Brandon Marshall, Brandon Stokeley, and Eddie Royal to throw to along with that “insert random RB and immediately gain 1000 yards” run game.
It’s just amazing how many people were so quick to write Vince off. I can understand not having complete faith in the guy after 9 TDs to 17 INTs and then his 2008 meltdown after his injury or whatever. Still, a bunch of ‘tards immediately started acting like he was never any good to begin with and that he had lost all his athletic ability, blah blah blah. Fuckin’ Tennessee Titans fans were the worst. Those dumb rednecks replayed the “We want Neil O’Donnell over McNair!” shit like they never even remembered how that played out before.
Vince got dealt to a shitty team with a shitty coach with shitty talent. I think he’s done pretty well just by surviving. Now that the Titans finally have some skill players worth a shit (receiving corps still isn’t anything to write home about) and Fisher can’t fuck Vince over at every chance, he’s back into God mode. Surprise, surprise.
After making two road trips to California and watching Vince dominant two Rose Bowls, I learned to never doubt that man or his ability to take over and dominate regardless of the situation. I’m surprised that everyone else either didn’t learn or forgot that lesson.
by SpiralOut on Dec 22, 2009 12:00 AM CST reply actions
Do you know who am I?Do you want more interesting?
The NFL is working with Boston University’s Center for the Study of Traumatic Encephalopathy to study brain trauma in football. The league will ask former and current NFL players to donate their brains to science. Presumably, with fancy boxes to ship the brains, like they do for Super Bowl rings.
Page 2 loves this idea.
Scientists could study Mark Sanchez’s brain to find out what he doesn’t understand about the words “double-covered.” They could study Tony Sparano’s brain to find out what he sees in Pat White that no one else does. And they could look at Brett Favre’s brain on the subject of waffling.
by NFL draft on Dec 22, 2009 12:27 AM CST reply actions
Cutler is a major douche. If you don’t believe me, I’m pretty sure you could find his post game comments after the UF game in his last year and verify for yourself.
by jinx on Dec 22, 2009 8:01 AM CST reply actions
I believe he said that almost beating Florida was “amazing.” Whatever.
Listen, as far as Vince goes I will admit to some vagina rubbing in private. From what I saw, you had a QB that relied upon his mobility being told to be Tom Brady. I wasn’t sure I could even hope on that changing. On top of that, Vince was no longer an 18yo 6-5 200lb deer.
Its not that I didn’t think he had all the talent in the world, but as I’ve said before in Vince the Titans bought a Porsche to go camping in. I’m elated that at least some realized what they had, and that C Johnson turned out to be simply amazing. The end result is a pick your poison that is difficult to survive.
by lowery on Dec 22, 2009 9:37 AM CST reply actions
Cutler’s body language in losses this year has been horrendous.
by huge on Dec 22, 2009 9:48 AM CST reply actions
To be fair to Cutler, the Bears line lost three starters in the offseason and has been absolutely horrible this year. Forte went from 4.9 ypc to about 3.1 this year as a result. Their playcalling has been ludicrously predictable this year too – first down run up the middle for 1 yard. Second down run off tackle for -2 yards. Third down pass – either incomplete or intercepted after Cutler gets less than two seconds in the pocket. Punt.
I know all this because I was dumb enough to take Forte with the #4 overall pick in my fantasy draft this year.
by hodad on Dec 22, 2009 12:00 PM CST reply actions
Still, Leinart is getting more tail than the other two combined. And that’s his top priority, so he wins!
by Woody Bombay on Dec 22, 2009 12:10 PM CST reply actions
Same thing that’s wrong with Roy Williams. He can’t catch.
by hodad on Dec 22, 2009 4:15 PM CST reply actions
Old Bastard – that’s what I would like to know.
by panchoclaus on Dec 23, 2009 9:31 AM CST reply actions
This thread is very full of win. As is Vince.
And I want to take this opportunity to tell all of you who kicked him when he was down to impolitely go fuck yourselves. You know who you are. Those of you who smugly laughed at him when he said he’d be the next black QB to win the Super Bowl and that he would go to the Hall of Fame. Those of you who felt embarrassed of him and took Fisher’s version of events last year as the gospel truth. Those of you who questioned his maturity and ability and basically every other thing you could about him. Those of you who preferred Cutler. Fuck you very much in your neck. Merry Christmas.
Vince Young. Forever. Unconditionally.
by homesickalien on Dec 23, 2009 3:03 PM CST reply actions
Vince’s studliness as a QB aside, I think everybody has forgotten to address the issue of coaching; most especially OL coaching and offensive coaching in general.
Leinart may have had Boldin, Fitz, and Edge (cough, a past his prime Edge) on his side, but can you think of a Cardinals team that has ever really protected their QB and had a good running scheme at the same time? Their line is average in how they play. That may have turned around a bit over the last two seasons, but it was too late to help Leinart.
Personally I couldn’t give two squirts of piss about Leinart, but the pass protection and play calling were pathetic when I watched him play for ’zona.
Cutler has gone where QBs go to watch their careers die and Fisher was grabbed by the nutsack and told forcefully to start the guy they’re paying all that money. And the situation has unfurled predictably in both cases.
Meanwhile, Ricky continues to impress the hell out of me. Cedric, in spite of a decent season? Not so much. It all goes to show that in the NFL where (forced) parity rules, anything can happen.
In any case, Go Vince. I’m rooting for you all the way.
by Mike on Dec 23, 2009 5:36 PM CST reply actions
The difference being, Mike, that the sports media didn’t go out of their way to fuck Leinart over and call him out every chance they got. They didn’t rationally look at Cutler’s play/problems and speak up about how he was/is a choker, a horrid red-zone passer, a loser, and a whiny cunt.
However, they sure didn’t have any qualms about bashing Vince every chance they got and acting like he was never any good and would never amount to shit. All the while conveniently ignoring how shitty Vince’s receiving help, coaching, and run game were there in Tennessee.
It’s the double standards I don’t like. Along with individuals for some reason feeling like they need to go overboard on the Vince hate. I don’t mind criticism of Vince’s play, but it’s ridiculous that Vince has guys like Merrill Hoge calling him the “initial dismantling of an organization” before he ever takes a snap in the NFL while Leinart and Cutler get/got pass after pass after pass.
by SpiralOut on Dec 23, 2009 8:50 PM CST reply actions
Good post, Spiral. Vince elicits passion on both sides of the debate.
by Jackanape on Dec 24, 2009 7:51 PM CST reply actions
SpiralOut,
To begin with, you and I are so “here” when it comes to Vince.
And as for why the media went so far overboard with him, I’m inclined to believe the whispers out there that they may have had a certain Head Coach feeding them negative info about Vince.
Maybe that’s too Alex Jonesy. Or whatever that conspiracy guy’s name is.
But I think the media would feel much more emboldened to lay it on thick if they were hearing things from the guy’s own coach.
Is it really so hard to imagine Peter King rubbing his cooter on the phone with Jeff Fisher while Fisher did Vince dirt left and right?
I am such a total Mama Bear about Vince. And damned proud of it. I am Leigh Ann Tuohy meets a cornered rat when it comes to Vince.
by Homesick Alien on Dec 24, 2009 11:55 PM CST reply actions

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