Big 12 Hoops Title Chase 2/2/10

by Barking Carnival Staff on Feb 2, 2010 12:08 AM CST in Texas Longhorns and Other Basketball

You may have noticed that I only update this after a nice Texas win. Well, it has been a while and I am even more pessimistic about our chances at a Big 12 Title and NCAA Tournament success. Again, I lump everyone into "contender" status and the list is flexible as the season goes on (bye bye OU). I’ll try to update it weekly after Texas beats KU next Monday.

The Contenders

Kansas 6-0 20-1
Texas 5-2 19-3
Missouri 4-2 16-5
Kansas State 4-3 17-4
ATM 4-3 15-6
Baylor 3-3 16-4

I'm going to leave OSU off for now. They need to be invincible at home if they are to be taken serious. Beaten down by 10+ at home vs a struggling Texas teams that they built a 10 pt first half lead on is not good enough for me.

Losable Games

KSU lost at home to OSU, Texas lost at home to Baylor so there are some examples of NON losable games that were indeed lost. Those are killer for those teams.

KU (4) - @ Texas (2/8), @ ATM (2/15), @ OSU (2/27), @ Mizz (3/6)

KSU (2) – @ OU (2/20), @ KU (3/3)

Texas (5) - @ OU (2/6), KU (2/8), @ Mizzou (2/17), @ ATM (2/27), @ Baylor (3/6)

Missouri (4) - @ Baylor (2/13), Texas (2/17), @ KSU (2/27), KU (3/6)

Baylor (5) – @ ATM (2/6), Mizzou (2/13), @ OSU (2/20), @ OU (2/27), Texas (3/6).

ATM (6) - @Mizz (2/3), @TTU (2/13), KU (2/15), @ Bay (2/24), Tex (2/27), (@OU 3/6)

It's pretty simple now, we got to beat KU and win 3 out of the 4 losable road games even to have a chance at winning the tie breaker for the Big 12 regular season title. So basically, we are trying to get the 2 seed in Houston, however that may happen. I think a 2nd place finish in the Big 12 reg season and getting to the Big 12 tourney title game should allow that to happen as long as it's not KU in Houston Regional.

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Comments

Nice. I like it when you update the conference race. It usually portends of good things, especially to my bank account.

by Trips Right on Feb 2, 2010 12:14 AM CST reply actions

How so? Do you wager on conference futures or something?

by dick on Feb 2, 2010 12:15 AM CST reply actions

Because you said you only update it when Texas wins. :)

by Trips Right on Feb 2, 2010 12:17 AM CST reply actions

Trips, hopefully you haven’t been betting on Texas too much lately. I do think winning the next two games is doable after last nights game. I know you thought we matched up well with the pokes but we didn’t win by exploiting those matchup advatages. We didn’t press and run nor use our advantage inside. It was a solid win and hopefully kicks our asses into gear for this next tough stretch. We got to beat the gooners.

by dick on Feb 2, 2010 9:03 AM CST reply actions

A&M has to beat some good teams in conference before I consider us a contender. We can start this week at Mizzou and at home against Baylor. We have yet to finish the deal against the good teams and need to start this week.

by Ag_in_TX on Feb 2, 2010 10:32 AM CST reply actions

Ag, I wanted to put Baylor in as a contender (due to strong showings at Texas and at KU) but the Ags are ahead of them in the conference standings and will probably beat them this week at home. I will probably keep anyone with a strong chance of getting a first round bye in the conference tourney on the list of “contenders”. Obviously winning the conference title is out of reach for aTm and soon to be everyone else if KU wins in Austin next Monday.

by dick on Feb 2, 2010 11:47 AM CST reply actions

Forget #2, we’re still in the running for the #1. Optimism, people!

Actually, Joe Lunardi’s latest Bracketology has us as a #3 seed in Houston. That would obviously be a stretch, but one can dream…

by jc25 on Feb 2, 2010 11:50 AM CST reply actions

dick,

I recall saying that OU’s contender status needed to be removed the first time you did one of these. Mainly because, like Will Muschamp’s tact or Bob Stoops’ chin, it was a complete farce.

by NateHeupel on Feb 2, 2010 4:19 PM CST reply actions

yes you did say that and they were prompty removed from the list. I think they also lost the following night to aTm if I remember.

I honestly haven’t watched one OU game this year so I know nothing about them except Willie Warren is good and Tiny Gallon is a Dwight Stewart reincarnated. I don’t even know what TMG looks like.

by dick on Feb 2, 2010 6:45 PM CST reply actions