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Building around Gilbert

Football:

If you missed the Mack Brown press conference you can read it here. There was a lot of information in it worth examining regarding the depth charts beginning now as well as "the plan" to fix the running game.

Garrett Gilbert is one of the more known commodities on next year's team. We know he has talent, can throw the ball downfield, and has the necessary leadership and poise to be a featured player. Given these talents, and the fact that Davis has built his offenses around the quarterback in every season here save for 98 when Ricky was everyone's meal ticket, we can assume they will try to build around Gilbert.

The plan, as of now, is to at last switch back to the under-center 2-back offense. Given Mack's reference to Boise State in the press conference there is a desire to be "multiple" now on offense as well. Let's start with the expected depth chart for the spring under that system:

X: Malcolm Williams, Greg Timmons

Sub B: Captain Kirk (I'm sure Goodwin can take this job or flanker when he gets here in the fall, probably the latter)

Left Tackle: Kyle Hix is moving here, let's hope to God he can master the technique that Ulatoski did.

Left Guard: Tray Allen, immediately the most athletic guard since Dockery and best bet for zone-blocking.

Center: David Snow, the coaches like him alright as a guard but think he can excel at center. I think this will be a big plus for Texas this season.

Right Guard: Huey

Right Tackle: Britt Mitchell, he got a good review from the spring game last year.

Tight End: Greg Smith, Ahmard Howard. I'm hoping Texas plays some Spread-I and avoids putting these guys on the field too much rather than a receiver. Irby and Harris are probably done forever. If Mack/Davis want to run the I as the base offense I'm hoping it's a spread I or at least one using a flexed-out TE such as Grant instead of one of these blocking surfaces.

Fullback/H-back: Barrett Matthews, this is by far the most exciting development. Whoever is running the ball is going to get a bullet as a lead blocker.

Running back: Tre Newton, Fozzy...I'm less excited about Tre if the offense moves away from the zone-game. Chris Whaley got mention as a potential H-back and runningback since he's up to 250 or so.

Quarterback: Gilbert and then spring determines the rest.

I think it's safe to attribute a lot of this to HCIW. Mack points out the defensive struggles against 2-back power running teams that have run for 200 yards in each of the last 2 bowl games as well as the desire to run the ball if teams drop everyone into coverage as well as being able to throw against 7 and 8 man fronts. Mack talked about classical Texas ball running it down people's throats, playing strong defense, etc. I've actually grown up in the Mack Brown era where running the ball was a less consistent strategy but when it's happened it's been something I appreciate.

On defense the lineup is expected to go:

Buck: Okafor, Jones.

3-tech: Howell, Higgins. I'm still unsure of whether this is a position worth fielding unless Randall starts blowing through double teams like Roy Miller.

NT: Randall, Derek Johnson

End: Sacho, Mims

SLB: Dravannti Johnson, Nkwopara. We all know this is Eacho's spot.

MLB: Dustin Earnest, Tariq Allen. This will probably be a downgrade from last year but we saw enough of Earnest to know he's a very capable player.

WLB: Keenan Robinson, Ryan Roberson. There's going to be a lot of depth here, including after the addition of Hicks.

Corner we all know about and Safety is probably just going to be our 3 most talented guys (Scott, Vaccaro, Wells) competing to start with Gideon. Scott seems like a safe bet but Vaccaro is a dark horse.

There's your first projection of the 2010 Texas Longhorn football team. I think Hix, Davis, Howell, Okafor, Matthews, Williams, and Scott will be the difference between another 10-win season or another BCS challenger.

My list of sure things from the younger crop goes as follows:

1). Garrett Gilbert; we've already seen him on the biggest stage 2). Kheeston Randall; he was really strong last year and in year 2 at the position could have a breakout season. 3). David Snow; having a Center who can take on a tackle without being driven backwards is going to look a lot different. 4). The "Buck". I think Eddie Jones could be fantastic next year so if Okafor beats him out as the starter that should be a sign that Texas will have elite play there again.

Basketball:

The Hairline of Wade Boggs had an entertaining piece on FT shooting that frankly isn't that comfortable to read when you think about the possible implications for this team in the tournament with bad FT shooting.

Memphis made it all the way to the finals with similarly bad shooting before it broke them against Kansas. The tournament will always expose the fatal flaw eventually.

NFL Draft:

HenryJames takes a look at the measurables. Ulatoski lost 3 inches from his height the last 3 years down to 6'5". I think he's a worthy pick in the later rounds for his strong technique and good run-blocking. He could be an upgrade over Columbo for Dallas right now.

Shipley and Colt were shorter than expected at 5'11" and 6'1". I've seen Colt in person several times and would have guessed him to be at least 6'2" so that was a little surprising for me (no one else though apparently). Shipley was light at 193 but when he runs a 4.4 teams that use the slot frequently will be buying his stock.

Any bets on 40 times for the main 'horns? I'm going Colt: 4.6, Shipley 4.4, Kindle 4.5, Muck 4.6, Ulatoski 5.1, Earl Thomas 4.4.

Baseball:

The classic rivalry picks up today between Texas and Stanford. BON has the pitching matchups and open thread. I'm watching for how Ruffin handles leads this weekend as well as the offensive yield from the lineup that was less than overwhelming against los lobos.

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On paper I like that OL unit more than last year’s. Snow at center is an upgrade, and so is Allen at guard. Mitchell is the only real question mark.

by nordberg on Feb 26, 2010 12:39 PM CST reply actions  

That Colt measurement has me wondering how tall I am. I thought he was closer to 6’3". He have lifts in his shoes or something.

If we play a true fullback it’s hard to imagine Matthews being more suited than Cody Johnson. I am excited about Matthews, but wonder about GDGD’s capacity to use him.

In the day and age of people running a 4.49 and saying they ran a fo fo, I’ll get a little more exact. Colt 4.65, Ship fo fo, Kindle 4.6 (has he been trying to gain weight for the combine), Muck 4.62, Earl 4.38, Ulatoski 5.2 (strides aren’t as long now that he’s shorter)

I could be wrong on Earl going sub 4.4. He just seems extremely fast for safety, but that might have something to do with his angles.

by magnusbleuveigner on Feb 26, 2010 12:39 PM CST reply actions  

Does this quote bother you guys as Horn fans, or do you generally agree?

From ESPN Insider:

“…And the coach is as known for sending ‘I love you texts’ as he is for dadgumming missed defensive assignments.

All of it is intended to ensure that everyone’s working toward the same goal. Winning it all, right? Actually, not quite.

‘We would love to win a national championship, but we’re not obsessed with it because we’re obsessed with these guys trying to live their NBA dream,’ Barnes says, with a nod to their predecessors. ’What’s happened to Kevin Durant, LaMarcus Aldridge, T.J. Ford- I’d give up a national title for all our guys to be able to live their dream.’"

by South06 on Feb 26, 2010 12:58 PM CST reply actions  

“Ulatoski 5.2 (strides aren’t as long now that he’s shorter)”

Magnus – you sir are a genius.

by TwoDogsFucking on Feb 26, 2010 12:59 PM CST reply actions  

Coupleofcoitalcanines—not me, but there are some around here

South06—shitty, shitty quote. It’s been/being discussed.

http://fantake.com/forums/topic.php?id=820#post-4956

by magnusbleuveigner on Feb 26, 2010 1:23 PM CST reply actions  

SouthO6, I read that article last night in my ESPN the mag. I think we tend to underestimate that Barnes is more concerned with player development and imposing his standards of play on the young men than necessarily winning Big 12 titles or winning in general.

I’m not sure how I feel about all the quotes. I’m glad we were able to watch Kevin Durant here to the point that I may remember his season as fondly as a championship season believe it or not. I still think there’s a solid chance that Barnes eventually has all the pieces together to make a championship run. We’ve come reasonably close about 3 times.

Good call on the times Magnus, I bet you’re right. Anything from a 4.5 to a 4.7 would be unsurprising to me from Kindle. I’ve seen him catch guys from behind enough to think that it’ll be on the lower end of that spectrum.

by Nickel Rover on Feb 26, 2010 1:40 PM CST reply actions  

GD was giddy when we signed Matthews. Time to see what he’s got planned.

I would feel better about the prospects for our OL if I knew what McWhorter’s retirement plans are. Is there an annuity he’s waiting to vest?

by blackscholes on Feb 26, 2010 3:30 PM CST reply actions  

I think a lot of the rumors about his departure were based on the graduation of mini-Mac. Since that isn’t true I’m not sure where a timeline comes from for his retirement now.
You can bet that if this season sees a 3.6 ypc average and subsequent losses to certain Big 12 South foes McWhorter will be under more fire.

Given the attention that will be paid to it I can’t see how this running game fails to improve even if the staff stuck with the Colt-era Shotgun running game. Given a shift to under-center formations and the use of a capable H-back I think the improvement will be fairly strong. My greatest dream is the implementation of Power to the playbook and a greater use of a Counter with actual counter step and misdirection hand-off. Or, God forbid, a draw and screen pass series.

by Nickel Rover on Feb 26, 2010 3:43 PM CST reply actions  

I like the idea that Greg Davis architected an offense around Vince Young.

by Sailor Ripley on Feb 26, 2010 9:19 PM CST reply actions  

Uh, fair point. Let’s say that after at least a season’s worth of frustration he built the offenses around the quarterback. I think the zone-read offense of 05 was suited to Vince’s skills. The offense trotted out early in 03…

by Nickel Rover on Feb 26, 2010 10:09 PM CST reply actions  

You mean when Vince and Vince’s mom asked our coaches “what the fuck are you doing? Vince isn’t Chris Simms”.

by nordberg on Feb 26, 2010 10:32 PM CST reply actions  

“Ulatoski …. He could be an upgrade over Columbo for Dallas right now.”

Hyperbole IMO. Aside from that, nice piece.

by MagicSoccerSpray on Feb 27, 2010 12:16 AM CST reply actions  

MLB – Jared Norton?

by The Horn Identity on Feb 27, 2010 8:47 AM CST reply actions  

“Garrett Gilbert is one of the more known commodities on next year’s team. We know he has talent, can throw the ball downfield, and has the necessary leadership and poise to be a featured player. Given these talents, and the fact that Davis has built his offenses around the quarterback in every season here save for 98 when Ricky was everyone’s meal ticket, we can assume they will try to build around Gilbert.”

First of all, let’s be generously realistic and call your ‘10 OL as ’similar’ to your ‘09 OL…which put up no run game vs OU or NU. The O generated momentum in those games only when McCoy tucked it on draws/scrambles (otherwise McCoy got pummeled in the pocket). Since ’98 UT has flourished best with a QB that can scramble (i.e., the last 2 QBs). Gilbert is no doubt going to be a fine QB but if McCoy couldn’t thrive in those games…..At this point he’s being propped up by the phrase “biggest stage”, a performance with a lot more lowlights than highlights, the latter mainly consisting of him hitting a WIDE OPEN Shipley on both TD strikes. Not only is the 8th year senior gone, but the potential #1 WR next year is working on his timing on the track this spring, not on catching passes from Gilbert. As for the scheme change, I’m not convinced putting Gilbert under center is going to: 1) improve the run game; 2) give him the necessary time in the pocket against an OU or NU defense.

Having said all that, OU’s OL has many more Qs (but returns over 90% of its receiving yards – UT is under 50% + see Goodwin ref above). More relevant – and Pellini preseason-pollster-directed-hyperbole aside – NU’s D is going to be down more than a notch with their underrated safeties, O’Hanlon and Ashanti, moving on (not to mention MLB Dillard, DE Turner, all-everything DT Suh and, for the most part, lackluster recruits filling these spots). Still, I think its a fair statement that the ’10 Longhorn O is going to have develop chemistry/rhythm to thrive and I wonder if the spring is going to move things significantly forward with key components of the passing game out (Monroe, Grant, Goodwin partial or all spring) and time is spent (wasted?) on an under-center scheme (with use of non-catching TEs and Fullbacks)…that stands a good chance of getting jettisoned in the fall as GD hits the panic button and reverts to form.

by Phaeded on Feb 27, 2010 1:15 PM CST reply actions  

There’s a chance they jettison the under-center game but I think it’s a mistake to believe that the run game won’t be better this season.
I don’t honestly believe the team dedicated that much time the last few years to improving the running game for all of Davis’ talk. Now it will be the focus and it can’t help but improve as a result. That’s without factoring in the schematic changes away from the QB-reliant inside-zone running game that Texas has used the last several seasons, the upgrade in run-blocking at center and left guard, and the addition of a 2nd back in Barrett Matthews to add another solid blocker.
As far as time in the pocket, I’m worried about protection from the Left tackle but buying time in the play-action game is mostly achieved through establishing the run as a threat to keep DEs from selling out. Also, Garrett can definitely hit some big passes on the rollout, he did it extensively in high school.

by Nickel Rover on Feb 27, 2010 2:58 PM CST reply actions  

I like your blog – excellent work!

by list building on Jun 24, 2010 7:30 PM CDT reply actions  

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