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Texas Bracketology and Gottlieb on Texas

First Gottlieb. If you listen to one basketball pundit on ESPN, listen to this guy.

Star-divide

He gets it. Point guards are among the smartest human beings walking the planet. The pecking order goes something like this: nuclear physicists, doctors, point guards, Supreme Court Justices, Barking Carnival Bloggers.

In this litte vignette, Gottlieb hints about the fact we have a ton of issues as a basketball team and he's right. Doug's larger point about needing the interior presence of Dexter Pittman is well taken though. A good back to the basket game is almost like leaning on a power rushing game in football.

You may not get two or three dunks in the early going, but at some point the power post game will pay dividends if you stick with it. Of course you have to scheme a post up game much like a rushing game, good god we're in sports hell as Longhorn fans sometimes, but once you establish the post, everything else opens up. Much like sticking with a running game that averages 3 yards per carry in football, sticking with a struggling post-up game is the hard part.

You have to be dedicated to getting the ball inside and you have to be willing to live with some mistakes and turnovers. By you, I mean Rick Barnes.

Barnes needs to come to grips with the fact that Dex is going to pick up fouls in bunches, but we have to keep feeding the beast to get into an interior rhythm. If Dex fouls out playing 20 minutes or he plays 20 minutes with 3 fouls, what's the difference?

Go to Pittman early with nicely spcaded floor, run offense through him, and make the opponent defend the big man in the first five minutes. If they defend Dex, so be it. If Dex picks up 3 fouls in 5 minutes so be it.

It's not like this team can do much worse than the 58 point outburst against the Ags. A game in which Dex played 13 minutes.

As for Joe Lunardi's Bracketology, he has Texas as an 8 seed in the West opening up with Cal. One seed Duke would be the next game, and then there is a potential rematch with UCONN in the round of 16 if we got past Duke, which, I know, ain't gonna happen.

But I'm blogging here, not writing a prescriptions for HenryJames' purpledrank cocktail or splitting the atom.

Let's assume Texas beats Cal and then faces Duke. Of all the potential one seeds, Duke would be the best matchup from an athletic standpoint for the Longhorns. We have two guards that can stay in front of Smith and Scheyer, and we have a four man, Damion James, who is athletic enough to float around the perimeter with Singler and big enough to defend the post.

What would ultimately do us in would be Duke's motion game which is sort of like Texas Tech's motion attack on steroids. Our helpside defense, especially when Hamilton is in, is so non-existent that Duke would need only two or three passes before a veritable Autobahn to the goal would open up for one of their slashers.

Here's some more info on how Duke is getting it done this year without a Jason Williams or Bobby Hurley type poing guard running the show.

On the other end, the Devils are defending about as well as they have in more than a decade. They've softened their pressure to better accomodate their personnel. You can read about it here.

We'd have a chance athletically to compete and even win the battle on the glass, but much like TAMU, the Blue Devils don't give up anything cheap. We'd have to shoot way over our heads to win.

Or, as Gottlieb proclaimed, get Dexter Pittman involved.

Thoughts?

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Trips…

Why do you keep doing this to yourself?

by Orangeblood79 on Mar 1, 2010 2:53 PM CST reply actions  

It may not be Texas, but my hunch says somebody is going to catch Duke early. Gottlieb is right about point guards and currently we don’t have one.

by Groundhog Day on Mar 1, 2010 2:58 PM CST reply actions  

I’m still thinking KU or the ‘Cuse will take it all. I’m just hoping we don’t lose in the first round.

Hook ’em!

by uthookem on Mar 1, 2010 3:01 PM CST reply actions  

I wonder if that 8 seed projection assumes a win over OU at home and a loss to Baylor on the road. I was hoping our free fall might stop at a 7 seed.

by JUICE on Mar 1, 2010 3:07 PM CST reply actions  

Jesus, an 8 seed. I mean I guess that’s about right, but man…. in terms of fallen expectations, it would be like going to the Independence Bowl in 05.

by Nordberg on Mar 1, 2010 3:08 PM CST reply actions  

The Cuse has a very experienced and veteran team. This might explain some of their success.

by Groundhog Day on Mar 1, 2010 3:08 PM CST reply actions  

I don’t think Duke’s that great but I think Lance Thomas and Zoubek would give Pittman fits.

by ursa major on Mar 1, 2010 3:13 PM CST reply actions  

Good stuff, Trips. Rick may have to eat his “two first half foul” rule with Dex. Dex for his part needs to be smarter especially clearing out by extending his elbow across the defender. I think Dexter’s defensive presence is more important than his offensive one.

I really agree with softening the overplay defense. I’ve been screaming all year about this. We don’t really have the personnel anymore besides AB anyway.

I was an ex-PG. Does that count?

by Patrick Bateman on Mar 1, 2010 3:14 PM CST reply actions  

I just wish I hadn’t given Gottlieb my credit card and social security numbers.

by Bob Loblaw on Mar 1, 2010 3:29 PM CST reply actions  

you forgot to factor in that Krzyczyskizskyi has treated Texas like a red-headed stepchild since Barnes arrived at Texas.

this team overachieving anytime soon? please. you remember when we lost to Nevada in the first round? at least we were short handed this year.

I’m more pumped up about the UT-PanAm game tomorrow than playing the land thieves tonight. sad state of affairs.

by sa on Mar 1, 2010 3:34 PM CST reply actions  

Point guards are born and not made, so yes, unless you were converted, it counts.

by Kevin Berger on Mar 1, 2010 3:34 PM CST reply actions  

Trips, I give up on the 2010 version of Dex. He has lost it. I remember even when he was a fat 330 lb frosh, he had good feet and his huge hands helped him finish extremely well around the basket. Now, he gets the ball down low and travels 4 times in less than a half (Mizzou) or he misses 4 foot bunnies that barely hit the rim (every game, if he even gets up a FG attempt). I have zero confidence in good things happening when he gets the ball down low. The odds of us coming out of there with 1 point or less is 90+%.

by dick on Mar 1, 2010 3:56 PM CST reply actions  

Kevy
Point guards are born ( yes from short parents) and not made, so yes, unless you were converted (from being a human flesh eater), it counts.

by SkyMonkeyHorn on Mar 1, 2010 3:58 PM CST reply actions  

I think the fall from 6 seed to 8 seed was due to the pathetic performance at Reed as well as the loss of Balbay. I don’t think Lunardi had really accounted for that in his last Bracketology.

by dick on Mar 1, 2010 3:59 PM CST reply actions  

J’Covan is playing tonight

by dick on Mar 1, 2010 4:00 PM CST reply actions  

J’Covan is playing tonight-my guestimate is the last minute of the first half and the last three minutes of the game when Barnes takes out Mace.

by absolut on Mar 1, 2010 4:11 PM CST reply actions  

Dammit, if Texas and Duke get matched up again, I’m going to be pissed on multiple levels.

I’m afraid Texas is like all of those talented but ultimately mediocre Arizona teams from the mid to late part of the decade. All sorts of talent, a crappy regular season, then a 7-10 seed that scares the bejesus out of the 1/2 seed in their bracket until they ultimately lose the first round game.

Alternatively, didn’t Dex have his “epiphany” about this time last year? One can dream.

by scottyc5 on Mar 1, 2010 4:46 PM CST reply actions  

I don’t think Lunardi had really accounted for that in his last Bracketology.

The rules allow for moving a team up or down one line to fit the bracketing. I don’t know if he had to do that because I haven’t looked at it, but I don’t think it’s a matter of saying they were a 6, but OMG, look at that Aggie game… they’re an 8 now. Could have been a seven all the way.

Like last year, (and other years, as far as that goes) it shows how weak the at-large pool actually is.

by Bob in Houston on Mar 1, 2010 5:34 PM CST reply actions  

I read this last football season and thought it was an interesting analogy. Definitely speaks to the thoughts about sticking with Dex enough to open up the floor for Damion, AB, and Jordan.

From Maurice Jones Drew after a 41-0 loss at the Seahawks

“We have to figure out a way to be consistent. The running game is like chess. The running game is your pawns. They don’t really mean that much in the beginning, but at the end, they surround the king and it’s check mate. That’s what the running game is.

“We’re not going to break 30-yard runs every play. You’re going to get 2, 3 yards a pop. You might get a negative run, but [defenses are] going to respect the run game and that’s going to open up the pass game and open up the run game later on, where you’re going to be breaking 10-, 15-yard chunks.”

by Kram on Mar 1, 2010 5:53 PM CST reply actions  

I played the 2 in high school, and I can tell you that I am, unquestionably, a fucking retard in comparison to our point guard. Like David J. Gross to my Stephen Hawking, if you will.

by tim beam on Mar 1, 2010 6:35 PM CST reply actions  

If Texas loses tonight at home get ready to fire up the FireRickBarnes.com website.

by Mo on Mar 1, 2010 7:05 PM CST reply actions  

Mo,

If Texas loses tonight (AT HOME…TO OU…THE TEAM OF THE 9 GAME LOSING STREAK), get your ass to Wal Mart and stock up on non-perishables because the Apocalypse is nigh.

by NateHeupel on Mar 1, 2010 7:29 PM CST reply actions  

Barnes is a loser when it comes to OU, always has been. I won’t be surprised by a loss tonight. He doesn’t give a shit about this rivalry.

by CloseToJumping on Mar 1, 2010 7:50 PM CST reply actions  

I hated Gottlieb as a player, and it really pains me to watch be excellent as an analyst.

by The General on Mar 1, 2010 8:37 PM CST reply actions  

insert a ‘him’ above where necessary.

by The General on Mar 1, 2010 8:37 PM CST reply actions  

Mo, that’s just stupid. We didn’t lose but even if we had, that’s just plain dumb. I think with what Barnes has done in this town, he’s earned the right to be able to try and get things turned around without having to worry about idiots with torches and pitchforks coming after him.

by burnt orange outrage on Mar 1, 2010 10:32 PM CST reply actions  

Gottlieb is excellent as an analyst. Does he get paid to be one?? He dresses like he is an Okie… Opps he is .
You would think that he could afford Henry James to put him in some decent suits that match his tie before he goes on the air. Plus a stylist to give him some pointers and comb his hair.
I know it nit picking but shit its Tuesday morning and I have no coffee in my house.

by SkyMonkeyHorn on Mar 2, 2010 10:04 AM CST reply actions  

Burnt orange, seriously you might be the only person that thinks Rick Barnes is actually a good coach. Rick Barnes is without question the worse coach in the Big 12; take that back second worse I forgot about the loser at Texas Tech that will get fired at the end of the season; he just has more talent than the Nebraskas and Colorados of the worlds. I don’t wanna hear what a recruiter Rick Barnes is anyone can recruit players to Austin its one of the best cities in the country and Texas has facuilities to bring in top recruits. When Rick Barnes gets out coached in the second round of the NCAA tourney you will finally become an believer.

by Mo on Mar 2, 2010 2:56 PM CST reply actions  

All the Duke discussion made me go back and look at these posts:

http://barkingcarnival.fantake.com/2009/03/22/texas-basketball-vs-duke-post-mortem/

http://barkingcarnival.fantake.com/2009/03/20/duke-preview/

I enjoyed reading them. Prescient, predictable and disappointing.

by Sailor Ripley on Mar 2, 2010 3:25 PM CST reply actions  

Barnes is a loser when it comes to OU, always has been. I won’t be surprised by a loss tonight. He doesn’t give a shit about this rivalry.

I don’t know how much of a rivalry it is in hoops or anything else other than football.

But FWIW, Barnes has a .500 record against the Sooners and is 12-5 since 2003.

by Bob in Houston on Mar 2, 2010 6:17 PM CST reply actions  

That prick Lunardi is putting UTEP, the outright champion of CUSA, on a 13 game win streak, ranked higher than Texas, TAMU and Baylor in 2 of the major polls, and looking at a potential 26-5 season at a 10 seed. Ridiculous.

Fuck that guy.

by Mike on Mar 2, 2010 9:57 PM CST reply actions  

Mike, I hate to break it to you, but that’s about where everybody in America has them.

by Bob in Houston on Mar 3, 2010 8:17 AM CST reply actions  

Culpepper and Caracter would start for Texas, TAMU, and Baylor.

If Texas had Culpepper, we’d be playing for a 1 seed.

by Trips Right on Mar 3, 2010 8:26 AM CST reply actions  

Trips, I would agree. I’m not saying they’re not good.

But as far as Mike’s post goes, being on a winning streak in a weaker league, being a league champ, being ranked, and what their record would be if they won out, has nothing to do with an evaluation of where they stand right now.

Now, if you want to say Texas is overrated right now, I’m right there with you. Looking at KenPom the last week or so, they’d be ranked somewhere in the 50s if they’d started the season in January. It’d be bubble or NIT. But then, the perception would be different. People would be looking at the raw talent and thinking they could make a run, rather than think they’re running on empty.

by Bob in Houston on Mar 3, 2010 9:04 AM CST reply actions  

If Texas draws UTEP in a 7/10 game I’m going to break things.

by Kevin Berger on Mar 3, 2010 10:24 AM CST reply actions  

Interesting side bar but one already talked about. Admirable? Enjoy.
http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/5189/rick-barnes-just-blew-your-mind

by SkyMonkeyHorn on Mar 3, 2010 10:34 AM CST reply actions  

Rick’s going to have a hard time living that down.

by Bob in Houston on Mar 3, 2010 12:01 PM CST reply actions  

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