College Baseball Ratings

by Huck L Berry on Apr 14, 2010 2:03 PM CDT in Texas Longhorns and Other Baseball

Well, it took me long enough but I finally got around to figuring out and releasing my college baseball ratings. As was the case for football and baseball, there are two sets, the EWP ratings and the normal (old-style) ratings.

However, there is one difference between these ratings and those for football and basketball - park factor. It's important to account for park factor in baseball and thanks to Boyd Nation's excellent work we can do that for college baseball. The first step in the ratings calculations, then, was park-adjusting each game's score. Some possible issues here are that I used a 100 park factor for all neutral site games and Seattle home games (they haven't played long enough to establish one) as well as the inability to account for park changes, either new construction or remodeling. You can see this in the fact that LSU's park factor is still clearly based mostly on the former hitter's park and not the new more pitcher-friendly version. But dammit, at least I gave it a shot.

And for those that are curious, yes, park adjustment is why Texas is not #1 in the Defense rating. The flip side, though, is that the Longhorns would be somewhere around #130 on Offense without the adjustment.

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Comments

Glad to see you return from exile. I wish you posted more so our readers could be confused by you.

Does EWP stand for Emergency Watershed Protection?

Given the weakness of the Big 12 overall this year, how will this impact our:

1. National perception? Schedule strength? Chance of hosting a regional?
2. Preparation for high level Regional and Omaha baseball?

by Scipio Tex on Apr 14, 2010 3:03 PM CDT reply actions

Fortunately our national perception at this point is based on being Texas, moreso with the baseball than even the football program. We’re good, everyone knows it, and we’ve been a fixture in Omaha for a decade. As long as we run away with the conference as we should, we are easily on track for hosting a Super at this point.

As for preparing for the postseason, we should be fine. Augie plays lots of games like they’re postseason even if they don’t matter a lick. It can be somewhat maddening, but our team will be comfortable with their assignments when the tournament comes around even if the competition is up a notch. There’s always a concern, too, that the committee will send a west coast team that is completely underrated in the RPI to your regional (like UC-Irvine). For example, California is currently 25th in the RPI but are really a Top 10 team in true strength. I’m fairly confident they’ll be the #2 seed in our regional.

by Huckleberry on Apr 14, 2010 3:22 PM CDT reply actions