Phil Steele Hates Trent Richardson
and other assorted curiosities.
I have nothing against Phil Steele, admire him quite a bit actually. I am sure as hell not going to publish a 328-page college football preview magazine in 3.5 font and cram every possible bit of detail into it, including Les Miles' periodontist (Dr. Richard Stein, BS, Tulane '84, DDS, North Carolina, '89, VHT, #3, prdntl resdnt of yr, dental AA as 1st yr!). Every Father's Day I buy his magazine. Then, along with the rest of you, I slowly and methodically pick it apart.
This season "methodically" didn't quite cover it, as I stared mouth agape at the Oklahoma Sooners occupying the number one slot. Perhaps my agape mouth was an homage to the people of Oklahoma. I do not know.
At any rate, Steele argued his Oklahoma placement fairly well. If bias afflicts him--and I am not particularly conspiratorial on this point, sorry--then his biggest bias is his own past history. Steele alone predicted a dark horse national title run for the Sooners in 2000, and then for the Ohio State Buckeyes in 2002. Really, he just predicted that those two teams would be somewhat better than everybody else predicted (Jimmy the Greek became famous because he predicted that the Jets would cover the spread easily against the Colts in Super Bowl III, not win the game). I know this because he mentions it about a dozen times over his 328 pages. If he could only find out who stole the damn strawberries. But I digress.
My favorite feature is his position rankings, listing the best 50 or 60 or so players at every position in college football. Texas fans went apoplectic reading through this, as well. Garrett Gilbert wasn't among the 60 best quarterbacks in college football. Anyone buy that? If so, then perhaps a trade for Austin Arnaud or Nate Costa is in order.
But I was more amazed that Alabama's Trent Richardson wasn't among the best 64 running backs. Gilbert oozes talent, but let's be fair, we have seen him play about a quarter of excellent football. Trent Richardson had a full season and made the most of it, using each Saturday to add some fairly astonishing tape to his NFL draft night highlight reel (and, quite regrettably, including one play in the BCS title game. Ugh.)
Then I read the fine print: Draft Eligible. Huh? I checked back through his past issues (my collection goes back to 1999). You've never had to be draft eligible before to figure into his rankings. All you had to do was to actually play college football, seeing as how this is a COLLEGE FOOTBALL preview magazine. Why for the love of Mel Kiper do I care if a player is draft eligible or not?
My fear, and a theme I will keep an eye on from here on in, is that it is another slight NFL-ization of the world. I don't need this in my life. I figured that out last year at Cowboy Stadium when I realized that finding esoteric information like the score, time remaining and down and distance was torturous on the video crawl separating the upper and lower economic classes, er, decks, but the display proudly provided every fantasy stat imaginable for the game's in progress. All things in life are apparently meaningless if they don't somehow connect to the NFL. All players in college football are meaningless if they are not draft-eligible, including Garrett Gilbert and Trent Richardson. Say it ain't so, Phil.
Nevertheless, Steele does a competent enough job of covering the entire landscape, with a few items of note:
Yes, Texas fans, he believes Curtis Brown is the better cornerback than Aaron Williams, but he thinks both are estimable: Brown 6th nationally, Williams 8th. I think Williams may be seven spots too low. So does Scipio Tex, I would suspect.
Butch Davis shows up in Chapel Hill and, four years later, the Carolina roster is chock full of nasty defensive players. This year will feature a particularly brutal DT/DE combination: Marvin Austin and Robert Quinn.
Does anyone (other than Phil Steele) really think DeMarco Murray is the second-best tailback in the country? Would you take him over Ryan Williams? Over Noel Devine? John Clay? I wouldn't either.
Funny, but Steele seems to me to underrate the big boys when it comes to player rankings. Of course he has no basis for comparison when a previous back-up for the likes of Florida or USC finally sees the field and performs at an all-conference level when the talent was there all the time. He can't be expected to know everything. Then again, some known quantities seem to get the shaft. Is John Brantley the 14th best quarterback in the nation? Or is he more like seventh or eighth? Think Urban Meyer wants to trade him for Ricky Stanzi?
I don't understand the fascination with Jake Locker. Remarkable athlete, yes. Number one quarterback in the nation? Not just no but hell no. Has Steele gone completely in the tank for pro potential? Who meant more for their team in the W/L column last season? Locker (QB #1, according to Steele), Tyrod Taylor (QB #15), or Josh Nesbitt of Georgia Tech (QB #43)? All incredibly skilled, unpredictable, mistake prone...and capable of making game-clinching plays. Two of these quarterbacks played for winning teams. One didn't. Yes, Washington's supporting cast stunk. But still.
Two of the best 44 tight ends in the nation both play for Vanderbilt. I believe an SEC title is clearly in the offing.
Texas's best skill position player--if the rankings are to be believed--is Malcolm Williams, the 42nd best wide receiver in the land (woo hoo!!!). No running backs in the top 64, no other receivers in the top 76. The Aggies' Jeff Fuller would be ranked much higher than Malcolm...but isn't, since he's not draft eligible.
Cody Johnson does get a consolation prize as the nation's 4th best fullback, behind such luminaries as Charles Clay of Tulsa and the great Owen Marecic of Stanford.
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Isnt’ Fuller draft eligible?
And yes that’s crazy to rank individual players that way.
by nordberg on Jun 28, 2010 8:19 AM CDT reply actions
I stopped paying attention to any of those rags long ago.
But I read every damn word of this blog that deals with Longhorn football.
That says something about me as a person, but what?
by LurkerintheDark on Jun 28, 2010 8:41 AM CDT reply actions
Thanks
Additionally, how does Steele discuss “VHT’s” on team pages & in depth charts, but then not take those players into account in positional rankings? Oddly inconsistent.
Still a must-have & a great read. Anything is going to have holes in it if read closely for 10 years. My top choice for improvement would be for Steele to get rid of the self-promotion/bravado.
by Matt Cotcher on Jun 28, 2010 8:52 AM CDT reply actions
JTT:
As I’m aware, Phil Steele’s magazine is primarily intended for the betting public. Especially NFL types. I’m not sure if that influences his player rankings vis a vis trying to create a linkage between his legendary tome and his shameless whoring of the NFL edition.
That said, Malcolm Williams probably is Texas’ best skill position player. Who else would you put there?
As far as Demarco Murray goes, assuming he hadn’t been hurt in 2008 and 2009, then I could see him ranked that high. He was hurt, and he shouldn’t be ranked that high. End of story.
Aaron Williams is a man. No disrespect to Curtis Brown, but Williams is the best CB on UT’s roster. Or any Big 12 roster for that matter.
by NateHeupel on Jun 28, 2010 8:53 AM CDT reply actions
You jest, but Owen Marecic is a phenomenal blocker – was amazed at his work in the Stanford games I caught last year. Best blocking fullback I’ve seen in the last decade. Agree with you on Murray being too high, he hasn’t shown he can be the sole no. 1 RB without getting banged up.
by Ojnab Bob on Jun 28, 2010 9:05 AM CDT reply actions
“That said, Malcolm Williams probably is Texas’ best skill position player. Who else would you put there?”
Marquis Goodwin but it’s not anything I’d argue too strenously over. Oh and I guess he’s not draft eligible. Pure foolishness that.
by Minnesotahorn on Jun 28, 2010 9:19 AM CDT reply actions
“That said, Malcolm Williams probably is Texas’ best skill position player. Who else would you put there?”
I think PS has it right, actually—I wasn’t complaining.
Yes, it is a gambler’s bible, which is one reason I like it. It has great detail on all the straight-up and against-the-spread splits for every team going back ten years. That info alone makes it more worthwhile than any other national preview.
A healthy DeMarco Murray may be the best tailback in the country. But a healthy DeMarco Murray is a fictional character.
by jonestopten on Jun 28, 2010 9:30 AM CDT reply actions
Completely different discussion, but I think Mike Davis might be our most productive WR by the end of the year. But yeah, underclassman.
by nordberg on Jun 28, 2010 9:36 AM CDT reply actions
Lindy’s is out and has Texas ranked no. 4 in the country. Hahahahahaha…
by ransomstoddard on Jun 28, 2010 9:44 AM CDT reply actions
That must be like crack to you, ransom.
btw, based on our defense alone, I don’t think 4 is outrageous. I think anywhere in the 3-10 range is justifiable.
by nordberg on Jun 28, 2010 10:15 AM CDT reply actions
“But a healthy DeMarco Murray is a fictional character.”
No, I swear I’ve seen him late in the evening, just as the light makes things shadowy, just on the edge of a thick wooded area. He was there for just a moment, hanging out with a healthy Fozzy Whittaker.
by tdwalsh on Jun 28, 2010 11:12 AM CDT reply actions
Phil’s magazine is the best one out there. That being said, it has been trending slightly downward in quality over the last couple of years. The self-promotion is getting a bit excessive, and he is starting to hedge his picks pretty heavily. “lt looks like ______ is going to be rebuilding, but could certainly surprise.” No matter what happens, he gets to claim that he predicted it.
by lazer2280 on Jun 28, 2010 11:24 AM CDT reply actions
Don’t see a problem with Texas at 4, but I’m not pathologically pessimistic. I can only think of about 2 teams that are “better”:
1. Alabama
2. Ohio St
And a strong argument could be made against tOSU in my opinion. They have much in common with Texas. Strong D and special teams. They have some holes on offense.
Pryor’s experience puts them in a more enviable position to start the year than UT.
by hg03 on Jun 28, 2010 11:31 AM CDT reply actions
“But a healthy DeMarco Murray is a fictional character.”
Keyser Soze, imo.
by NateHeupel on Jun 28, 2010 11:36 AM CDT reply actions
I imagine Curtis gets more love because he played the outside last year and is a two-year starter, as compared to AJ, who was officially the nickel back. Plus, Brown was the guy beat on the Most Famous Play of 2008 College Football. Yeah, Texas fans know that A Will is better, but the general public may not always make that assumption.
by jc25 on Jun 28, 2010 9:37 PM CDT reply actions
jc25:
Absolutely. The last time we had a ridiculously gifted, slot-covering polymath at defensive back was when Michael Huff was winning the Thorpe. Huff had already established his reputation as a strong safety, which he technically played on most snaps because Chizik never left his base defense (even though Huff’s assignments varied greatly).
You’ve got it: Williams is a “nickel back.” Tough bias to overcome.
nordberg:
Yes, Fuller is a junior, my mistake—actually Steele’s mistake. He didn’t rank Fuller among the top 76 at all. Ridiculous. He did manage to rank Ryan Tannehill (70th). Seriously?
by jonestopten on Jun 29, 2010 6:33 AM CDT reply actions
What are the holes on the Buckeye offense? Other than 3rd WR, they look solid
by tOSU Holes on Jun 29, 2010 7:26 AM CDT reply actions
Very solid—setting aside Terrelle Pryor’s development—I see three:
1. Jim Tressel’s imagination
2. Is DeVier Posey a true game-breaking wide-out? I think he probably is…but I thought Malcolm Williams was when last year began, as well.
3. Do you have a great tailback? Or just some very good ones? How good is Brandon Saine? Boom Herron? Or do you have someone the world doesn’t know about yet?
The offensive line should be great.
by jonestopten on Jun 29, 2010 9:09 AM CDT reply actions

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