Coming Out Of The Shell
They say that the team that runs for more yards has won every game since 1997 in this series, but of course Scipio partially rebuts the importance of that stat in the podcast with NorthDallasSooner when pointing out the stat-padding sack that has inflated Texas' rushing defense totals every season in which the Big 12 has been a spread league.
Anyone recall Texas' run defense being touted before consecutive losses to A&M?
Or the last two BCS games for that matter.
Nevertheless, running the ball successfully is the best way for either team to attack these defenses. We know Texas' D is vulnerable only to a grind-it-out game in which their smallish interior can be pounded, and repeated short-field situations.
Oklahoma has shown defensive vulnerability to a number of different plays and it's imperative that Texas show some awareness of that in the gameplan.
Attacking:
Since Mack has named Goodwin, Monroe and MikeD as the playmakers you can count on all of them being involved in this gameplan. Ultimately, of course, Gilbert needs to be the hero in getting them the ball cause we can hardly count on them being used in coordination.
To run against OU, thus far they have been vulnerable up the middle against their young tackles and Wort and have been abused by draw, zone and option alike for what each play offers in attacking those players. They have been both undisciplined and weak at the point of attack against each of those looks.
As I've already discussed, the draw is the best looking running play for Texas at this point as it attacks the strength and discipline of OU's interior D with the speed of Fozzy/DJ and the abilities of Snow and Walters.
Other than that you can expect a good dose of zone hoping to catch Wort and co. abandoning the backside lanes and the occasional jet sweeps just trying to get Malcolm or Goodwin going. OU won't be especially vulnerable on the edge but if they start flying inside to cope with that weakness it could open the perimeter for the sweeps.
Part two of the offensive plan needs to attack the OU corners, which is the other noticeable weakness to this Sooner unit. Besides the draw playaction play that Davis has been sitting on, probably for this very game, I'm betting that we attempt to punish OU over the middle with Mike Davis in the same manner as with Shipley in 2008.
OU's basic Cover-2 philosophy requires the same kind of coordination and leadership from the Mike as ours does from Blake Gideon, or at least that's what NateHeupel insists in blaming 08 on Reynold's injury, and Wort again looks like a possible victim after his play to this point in the season.
The catch, of course, is that everyone knows our short-route combos and when we employ them and is all too happy to match them, draw the short throw, and then jump it. You can read all about our terrifying struggles with these newfangled defensive measures back in ChrisApplewhite's useful guide to overcoming pattern-matching written before the Alabama game after Nebraska and OU had already demonstrated its incredible potency in stopping McCoy-Shipley.
Since the short option-routes are approximately Davis' only coaching strength and line up with some of Mike Davis' strengths you can expect to see more of those, but BurntinNY has some additional ideas on how to adjust the passing game to overcome.
The gist of it is this, Gilbert needs to be unchained. In the national title game he was beating all of Saban's carefully crafted anti-spread schemes with long, accurate strikes and in the spring practices and early august practices he was demonstrating the same ability to think big with his decisions in the pocket.
Then, in the master plan to protect him early in the season and avoid turnovers, Davis instilled in him the habit of finding the easiest completion and essentially doing whatever it was the defense was intentionally leaving open. Naturally, the defense often leaves something open for a reason and that reason usually plays into their hands, often literally.
If Gilbert throws 2-3 interceptions going deep I'll be happy if it means that Texas is making intelligent efforts to punish Oklahoma for daring Gilbert to beat them. If we continue to try and rein in his gunslinging instincts we make him much less than the quarterback that was recruited from a 2-time State Championship squad.
On the other side the defense has things they can attack as well, namely Landry Jones and the consistent fear of most OU quarterbacks, making decisions. To this end Texas obviously has a number of options including the 4 DL in front of Cover-2 Man Under defense that stymied Tech, or more 3 DL zone-blitzing. Given the implications of this game and the joy Muschamp is likely to derive from confusing the hell out of Jones you can probably expect both.
Most importantly, it's important that the defense be able to recognize and take away the easy reads and plays for Broyles and Murray and force Landry to think while Eddie Jones or one of 7 other guys takes turns chasing him.
Defend:
Scipio already discussed the possibility of matching Broyles up with a diverse cast of looks and mostly favored Curtis Brown as the main man. Personally I still favor Aaron Williams.
Everyone loves to talk about that one time Broyles made AJ into a fool on OU's lone touchdown last season when he dived for his ankles on the sideline, I'm sure AJ has heard it from everyone about that play many times. Anyone remember the other 70 or so OU offensive plays where Broyles didn't touch the ball while AJ hounded him all over the field? I don't doubt he could approximate that performance and I think 1-36 with 1 TD would be a line from Broyles that Muschamp would accept now.
Wilson likes to make things particularly easy for Landry and throw designed screens and bootlegs to Broyles as well so it pays to have someone shadowing him who cannot only move like him, as Curtis can, but tackle fiercely and reliably as well. Besides that, since Broyles plays predominantly in the slot it's best if the guy playing inside on him won't be a matador in the running game. Sorry Curtis, you can make up for last week by making sure we all laugh at the suggestion that Kenny Stills makes a difference.
As for the plan of matching Murray with Vaccaro I heartily approve. A quitter-making hit from Vaccaro would do wonders for one dimensionalizing this Sooner offense.
That's really basically it, take away the 2 biggest threats and force Landry to look elsewhere. The Sooner offense is highly predicated on forcing you to be disciplined enough to handle their players in space on screens and on the sidelines while talented enough to not be bowled over by their OL in their trap and zone run game.
Against that, Texas will probably play fronts that keep Kheeston Randall in the thick of the action, like the Under Front, to guarantee that a trap block on the end and a double team against Acho or Okafor aren't the engagements that set the point of attack. I haven't paid dutiful attention to the Sooner OL but I can tell you that the last 2 matches with Muschamp are probably a pretty good indicator of this game unless they can play with a lead keep handing off.
Perhaps a more pressing point is how Texas defends their offensive measures against OU's strengths on defense because we all know that Greg Davis' crew not being completely clowned will be the primary determinant of victory.
Spreading 'em out and hitting all over the field with the quick game and deep on the (hopefully not too) occasional play-action or pump fake throws will of course depend on keeping Jeremy Beal and probably Ronnel Lewis out of the backfield.
Last year's Sooner success in pressuring McCoy came from Gerald McCoy's abuse of David Snow inside and the inability of the Longhorn line to account for many of the zone-blitzes.
That latter feature will likely cause some more problems early before Texas adjusts but the unique problem of facing Beal and McCoy on the same side of the line (against Hix and Snow) is mercifully a non-existent threat. However, if Stoops is smart enough to utilize Lewis, R. opposite Beal he can still employ Lincoln's suggestion to McClellan in hitting 2 places simultaneously and preventing the outnumbered foes from shifting the lines to where the pressure is hottest.
I don't see why they wouldn't leave Beal on the left side where he usually plays and allowing him to go up against Britt Mitchell and move Lewis, R. to the blindside against Hix. Neither of those Longhorns can be counted on in those matchups for 40 pass plays and OU could pick up a fumble/sack that determines the game that way. Though at least Texas should be very strong in interior pass-protection and afford Hix and Mitchell to have a little leeway outside and Gilbert some room to step up into.
One option you can expect to see is maximum protection where Matthews or Smith stays on the line to handle one side while Fozzy stays back to pick up any other leaks. Great, except you allow a solid OU back 7 to gang up on the 3 remaining receivers.
The other option simply involves risk-taking with 4 or 5 receivers leaving only 1 TE or RB to help combined with timely-used screens and draws. Hopefully they are calling draw 10-12 times anyway so they should hit a blitz with one of those as a matter of probability but hoping in Davis' ability to call a screen at the right time wouldn't get much respect from Vegas.
Nevertheless it's about time this offense wasn't coddled or protected and simply challenged to execute. After all often it's the simple right-hand lead that knocks the Sooners on their ass. I say take your chances in the spread and allow Gilbert to improvise and throw deep, his mobility has been entirely undersold at this point in the season. They could probably even use him in the zone-read if they wanted to risk the entire season on winning this game. I'd rather they be aggressive in other areas.
Clearly we don't know how to play it safe so they may as well go down swinging. First play of the game, fake draw play-action deep to Goodwin. Set the tone, take the lead and send Stoops' front-running squad back across the Styx to football hell for another 365 days.
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Even with offers of free tickets and a ride I shall sit on the couch and get shit housed. I need ready access to whiskey and a toilet.
by MIA on Oct 1, 2010 8:10 AM CDT reply actions
Nickel, are you suggesting we point our offense towards the endzone rather than sideline to sideline? I mean, our shell is just such a comfortable place to be. It’s warm and dry in there.
by WanderingHorn on Oct 1, 2010 8:16 AM CDT reply actions
I’m all for whatever Muschamp decides, but if I was drawing it up, I’d put Cu. Brown on Broyles. This is a quickness/cover thing, rather than a physical match-up. If it was Malcolm Kelly, I’d match AJ up on him all day. Put Chykie on Stills, and let AJ do his thing. If he’s not spying Murray, let Vaccaro. One of them needs to be at all times.
If we stop the run effectively in Big Nickel, Jones will have a long day.
The same people that said AJ got used by Broyles are as ignorant as the people that say Earl couldn’t tackle becuase he missed that play on Murray. Dumb fucks, imo.
I have no freaking idea what to expect from our offense. I mean, I do, but the gullible side of me expects us to come out and move the ball. For some reason OU seems to be the only team we’ve had success running the ball against the last few years. With OU’s injuries up front and Wort’s barely larger than Nkwopara stature, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Cody be our most effective running back.
by magnusbleuveigner on Oct 1, 2010 8:30 AM CDT reply actions
I had the same thought about Cody, which means he’ll probably get 4 carries.
by Savage Henry on Oct 1, 2010 9:14 AM CDT reply actions
As a fun side note of interest, the 3-4 look with Ronnell Lewis at OLB is supposedly making its first appearance this weekend.
by NateHeupel on Oct 1, 2010 9:31 AM CDT reply actions
i cant wait to see ol’ greg break out the option and zone read packages.
by eljinca on Oct 1, 2010 9:43 AM CDT reply actions
“Put Chykie on Stills”
So you’re telling me expect Stills to have his breakout performance?
by uthookem on Oct 1, 2010 10:19 AM CDT reply actions
The fact that Oklahoma’s giving up 4.3 yards per carry would make me fell better but for the fact that UCLA’s giving up 4.6. If we can’t run the ball effectively on OU, then BC needs a Malcolm Brown de-commitment clock on the front page a la the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Kick it off at, say, 5 minutes to midnight.
by Magnificent Bastard on Oct 1, 2010 10:24 AM CDT reply actions
I expect Greg to throw a very limited amount of shit on the wall and I don’t expect any of it to stick.
by Blueshorn on Oct 1, 2010 10:28 AM CDT reply actions
I suspect we are gonna get creamed tomorrow, but I am going anyway. My grandsons want to ride the roller coaster and I want some fried beer.
Gosh, I hope the D can keep this from being an embarrassment.
by Whistling on Oct 1, 2010 10:29 AM CDT reply actions
uthookem, I know, I cringed as I thought it, and I hesitated to write it knowing I’d get called out for it. Alas, we have to put Chykie somewhere. Chykie needs to utilize his speed to atleast catch up and interfere and take the 15 yards rather than giving up 6. Sad when that’s considered a good play.
Whistling, being an Aggie, why would you go to the game?
by magnusbleuveigner on Oct 1, 2010 10:45 AM CDT reply actions
I am hopefully optimistic remembering 2007. After losing to K-State, we went to Dallas and made a game of it, albeit losing. Of course, we didn’t stink it up against K-State nearly as bad as we did against UCLA. And we actually had an offense in 2007. Of course, this year we actually have a defense.
God, I’m confused.
I will have Wild Turkey and coke (Coca Cola, I mean) handy, though.
by LurkerintheDark on Oct 1, 2010 10:50 AM CDT reply actions
Less-discussed keys for OU’s offense:
1. OU has another weapon that really hasn’t been tested in a game, Millard OR Musil carrying the ball between the tackles.
2. Millard should have at least 2-3 passes thrown his way regardless.
3. OU has TE’s have caught the ball a little this year.
4. De. Miller, our Malcom Williams, has proven a bit more reliable this year. If only he would block in the screen game (6’4" 225), he’d make OU so much better in multiple ways.
5. This is the year the shuffle pass returns to OU too.
RE: OU in the 3-4 on D
Who plays the NT?
Who are the 4 LB’s? (TLewis, RLewis, Jefferson?, ?)
Defensively, OU will not overlook at the Tech and UCLA games as templates.
Tech: 24 points for UT on drives of 7 yds, 80 yds (with 30 yds from penalty; 50 yds in 20 plays otherwise), and 1 real drive.
UCLA: 2 drives of > 40 yds outside of garbage time.
UT really was not that efficient in the red zone in either game.
Don’t give up the big play. Don’t give up field position. UT’s offense will put together 1-2 drives of significance a game. The way you don’t give up the big play is tackle, keep contain. UT will try to run Gilbert. Don’t give him lanes to scramble up the middle. He’s a better runner than given credit for and can get 10-15 yds. UT will turn it over >/= 3 times a game.
Cash those in.
by quigley on Oct 1, 2010 11:03 AM CDT reply actions
I’m playing in a golf tournament in Deer Park tomorrow morning, wearing a Longhorn golf shirt and a Stanford visor…I hope one of my teams can pull off the upset…
by uthookem on Oct 1, 2010 11:06 AM CDT reply actions
“Love those roller coasters at the state fair.”
Yeah, they’re in back next to the waterpark.
Seriously, just how stupid are you Whistling? You’re an aggie, and it’s cool. Be an Aggie. You’ll find people take you more seriously around here.
by hg03 on Oct 1, 2010 11:17 AM CDT reply actions
Scipio doesn’t know shit because he doesn’t get paid $5 million (or even $425,000) to coach. So says “Scalia” at HornFans. If Scipio did know shit, he would call DeLoss and apply for Greg and Mack’s jobs. Btw, does Scipio sell drugs???
Is it just possible that Brown and Davis know vastly more about how to coach at the college level than “experts” like Scipio on BarkingCarnival.
Mack is making $5 million coaching college football and his record for the last decade has been at the top of all college football; Greg is making $425,000 and his offenses have set countless Texas and national records.
I, like you, wonder why some people don’t get call up DeLoss and apply for Greg and Mack’s jobs? Why does one of the “experts” have to resort to selling drugs for a living if he knows so much about being a college offensive coordinator? You’d think the critics would get into the honorable profession of college football coaching instead of publishing blogs that push a decade+ agenda that has been proved wrong over and over again.
by Blueshorn on Oct 1, 2010 11:34 AM CDT reply actions
Oh and let’s go ahead and lay to rest the hopes for an Aggie Big 12 South title, maybe next year…but probably not…probably never.
by Jigglebilly on Oct 1, 2010 11:35 AM CDT reply actions
Totally agree on the INT’s are acceptable on the deep ball, it’s like a soft punt.
Plus, the old Darrel Royalism of there are three things that can happen when you throw the ball and two of them are bad…….is short by one. You can also get an interference call on the D. So only 4 things can happen, one of them is bad, one is ok, and two are great.
Those odds, are worth exploiting if you can throw 50 yards.
by Saltshaker on Oct 1, 2010 11:48 AM CDT reply actions
So says "Scalia" at HornFans.
They have HornFans on computers, now?
by spider on Oct 1, 2010 12:06 PM CDT reply actions
I love that logic Blueshorn. I use it all the time. For instance, I’m not in politics, so I never criticize a politician. Evar. Also, I don’t make movies, so I love every movie I see. They’re all fucking awesome.
by nordberg on Oct 1, 2010 12:18 PM CDT reply actions
The play action pass off a draw fake was unveiled against Tech. I don’t recall what the outcome was, but given GD’s proclivity to assume that no other team has the ability to watch and breakdown film, I’ll assume it’s the only play off that action we have, and that Venables will have his secondary ready. Maybe we’ll get crazy and change the post to a post corner route for the slot receiver. How’s that for creative game planning?
That assumes that we actually establish the draw play first, and don’t just pull out the random draw play action pass after our randome double reverse pass where the passer isn’t smart enough to throw the ball away loses 14 yards.
I’m curious as to why we don’t have a sprint draw or backside screen available to offset our sprint out pass play. Deep thoughts that only our offensive staff and the pumper brigade can comprehend and explain away.
I was pleasantly surprised to see us run a counter to the fly sweep against UCLA. It didn’t gain much, but it was there. We probably have one other play off that action which will be a short pass completion to the back slipping out to the vacated flat.
I hold little hope for this game, but there is the knowledge that Brent Venables is only slightly smarter than our own albatross, and is as prone to TIA’s in big games as our own press box vegetable. Combine one of those episodes with a feeding frenzy game from our defense, and it’s more than doable.
by Bobby_Batronic on Oct 1, 2010 12:20 PM CDT reply actions
Oh, man. I am so depressed cuz my gomers lost last night. I just did not realized is showed.
It is funny. As long as there have been internet bbs, the pumpers have always accused the realists / pessimists of being aggy. It will never change.
Actually, my 5 and 6 year old grandsons like the natural history museums, the out door bird show, the aquarium and the swan paddle boats almost as much as they like the kiddie rides at the far end of the mid-way. I like all that and the car shows.
by Whistling on Oct 1, 2010 12:29 PM CDT reply actions
Blueshorn said:
October 1st, 2010 at 8:28 am
I expect Greg to throw a very limited amount of shit on the wall and I don’t expect any of it to stick.
And afterward I expect Mack to tell us that all jobs – except for those on the coaching staff – are up for grabs.
by Joetx on Oct 1, 2010 12:38 PM CDT reply actions
If we win, it’s by a FG or less… We could lose 50-0. I expect us to lose by ~14, so hopefully I’ll be pleasantly surprised. I just want to see the training wheels come off GG.
by texasengr on Oct 1, 2010 12:40 PM CDT reply actions
What Darrell never said was, three things can happen when you run the ball, and two of them are bad.
by Bob in Houston on Oct 1, 2010 12:43 PM CDT reply actions
This year there are three things that can happen when you snap the ball…
by Magnificent Bastard on Oct 1, 2010 1:48 PM CDT reply actions
Training wheels off GG is right. He had a really good team around him in the NC game and he only looked good for an in-experienced freshman. It has got to take awhile longer to come up to speed if you are playing with turkeys instead of trying to soar with eagles.
by Whistling on Oct 1, 2010 1:58 PM CDT reply actions
“soar with eagles”? Any space left in that dreamwagon?
by Nero on Oct 1, 2010 2:04 PM CDT reply actions
I had anticipated Ruth Bader Ginsburg being my main critic.
by Scipio Tex on Oct 1, 2010 2:34 PM CDT reply actions
I figured Clarence Thomas would be a big fan of this board after Henry James lent him his Long Dong Silver tape back in the day.
by nobis60 on Oct 1, 2010 2:54 PM CDT reply actions
In order to run the ball, you have to actually internalize and decide you are going to run the ball. Trying to run the ball doesn’t cut it.
Commitment to a running game means pounding it even when you get a minimal to no gain. You pound it until the defense begins to tire….usually around 7 or 8 minutes to go in the second quarter. You pound it and punt.
It’s like body blows in boxing. The toll isn’t felt until the later rounds when the hands drop down. You pound it until they put more men in the box, and your starter becomes a gainer. The run opens the pass, never vice versa. Nevah evah. You throw your hook combos after you’ve worked the body.
Davis may say he wants to commit, but those words are as empty as Jeff Conaway saying he’s going back to rehab. We want so bad to believe him, but deep down we know it’s bullshit…….and he does too.
He can’t even decide on a running back. His idea of a running game is something you use to run out the clock at the end of the game. That is the only time he shows proper commitment. On the first two series, he should pretend the 4th quarter just started and we are up by 24, put Cody in and do the right thing coach.
His disrespect for the running game is rationalized, but it’s also a big big case of he just doesn’t want to. Is Davis and asshole?
I actually think he finds a basic running play boring and unimpressive to his peers. Passing is where the glory and complexity is, but passing requires a great quarter back…….a great quarterback that you develop, that HE develops. He’s the quarterback coach…..holy shit, I think I just had a breakthrough.
Davis won’t commit to the running game not only to make Applewhite look like shit (a young uppity punk threat), but more importantly, a running game doesn’t showcase his pet project darling quarterbacks that spend hours and hours and hours on passing plays and reads.
Davis doesn’t commit to a running game…..because of ego. He’s not stupid, just proud.
I can’t believe I just talk therapied myself through this. Thanks guys.
by Saltshaker on Oct 1, 2010 3:04 PM CDT reply actions
Three things can happen when you have GD as OC, and they’re ALL bad.
by J.R.69 on Oct 1, 2010 3:07 PM CDT reply actions
Haha, great post saltshaker. Probably a lot of truth in there.
by nordberg on Oct 1, 2010 3:16 PM CDT reply actions
Pride is one possibility. Control is another. The withholding in play calling is active. It feels like a punch in the gut.
But it is TX/OU eve. It’s times like this when I recall games on offense where I swore GD didn’t make the team bus. Right now, I will enjoy my appetite for this game and the anticipation without taint.
by triplehorn on Oct 1, 2010 4:14 PM CDT reply actions
Nate, I would be shocked if they didn’t use the 3/4 with Lewis this week. It’s stupid not to attack Texas that way.
For whoever asked, I’m guessing that goes Wort, Lewis, Lewis, and Jefferson as the “linebackers” in much the same way that Vaccaro or AJ is the 4rth backer in our own 3-4.
As far as putting Chykie on Stills, Chykie is still considered an NFL prospect for a reason. He may lapse and give up a big play virtually every game but the rest of the time he is more than capable of locking down freshmen or better. Anyone remember Julio Jones doing much against Chykie in the MNC? He’s a pretty good bet in the important games, if not as strong overall as Curtis and AJ.
by Nickel Rover on Oct 1, 2010 4:21 PM CDT reply actions
Is this part of that taintless diet I’m reading so much about?
by Scipio Tex on Oct 1, 2010 4:22 PM CDT reply actions
Yeah, you can pretty much bet OU will go 3-4 and our O will look like they had no idea it was coming.
Expect delay of game penalties while our lineman are conferring about who to block
by roach on Oct 1, 2010 4:38 PM CDT reply actions
Hmm. Just learned that Mike Davis is out. I’d put that under bad news.
by Burnt Orange Wookiee on Oct 1, 2010 4:44 PM CDT reply actions
Davis is out for the OU game, No, not THAT Davis.
This sucks.
by justhookit on Oct 1, 2010 4:45 PM CDT reply actions
Beyond diet. It’s a violation of the public health that Greg Davis swamp gooch appears on any game watching menu.
by triplehorn on Oct 1, 2010 4:50 PM CDT reply actions
Hpslugga’s fisking of GD defenders on that hornfans thread is entertaining, Among his better responses:
“Texas ran the exact same freaking offense from 2005 all the way to the 2007 Holiday Bowl, and it then reinstated the same system until the 2008 OU game. And of course things didn’t work out so well because athletic as Colt was, he wasn’t the superhuman VY was. So Greg and Mack would be absolutely befuddled that, for example, Colt was getting nailed in the 2007 Nebraska game against a defense that VY would have castrated by halftime. The general thinking in the booth was "damn, it worked for Vince, why can’t it work for Colt?" That kind of thinking is stupid.”
“The passing game is particularly easy to scheme against when the staff doesn’t totally trust the QB to run the offense. That lack of trust materializes in an increase of the already predictable runs, an increase in those “sideways” passes everyone’s bitching about, and a simplified downfield game in which the progressions are “primary, check down.”
“But Greg Davis thinks that pump faking is “unsound football” (no lie, that’s a real quote from the post-game interview in the 2002 A&M game). That’s just yet another flaw with the offense. You cannot base your attack on the short pass from the spread formation if you refuse to call pump fakes. That would be like if you wanted to run some classic pro-style offense and refused to run play action. Or if you wanted to run the wishbone and refused to run the counter option. Or if you wanted to run Mouse Davis’ offense and refused to run 90 Switch. You have to contradict your tendencies if you want your offense to succeed."
by hopefulhorn on Oct 1, 2010 5:04 PM CDT reply actions
Well at least Gilbert won’t be staring down Davis anymore. Forcing him to spread it out may not be a bad thing. It’s not like Williams, Kirk, and Goodwill aren’t talented, they just need to catch the damn ball. I’m still excited as hell about what Monroe can do…
by CA_longhorn on Oct 1, 2010 5:49 PM CDT reply actions
“You have to contradict your tendencies if you want your offense to succeed.”
Say this to Greg Davis and he’ll cock his head back and forth at you like a golden retriever.
by nordberg on Oct 2, 2010 8:43 AM CDT reply actions
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by Treva Hintson on Jan 1, 2011 1:31 PM CST reply actions

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