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Summa Spreadologiae

I'd like to start this post by repenting for overlooking the way Colt played here by brushing aside his accomplishments in my praise of Gilbert's natural skills.

Star-divide

I still believe Gilbert has the potential to carry on the tradition of excellence established my Vince and Colt but my appreciation for how Colt gutted out victories in 09 is growing every week. Thanks Colt.

My views on the big picture situation we are seeing with this football team are very well encapsulated by the jesus over at recruitocosm and Scipio in his exasperated post-mortem.

In sum, there is little that Mack now offers to this team save for an obstacle in keeping Muschamp in Austin.

Granting the assumption, as I hope you will, that Texas needs a new coordinator and vision on offense the question becomes what that plan should look like. What kind of offense should Texas be running considering the resources available, the most common opponents, and the current strengths of the team.

For a disgusting example of an offense that is very simply designed with those factors in mind I call your attention to Kevin Wilson's Sooner offense.

Their basic thinking is similar to our own, that their athletes will be better than yours and their scheme looks to make that simple fact a very clear truth over the course of 4 quarters.

The major difference is that Davis tries to maximize the talent advantages by running a simple but difficult to master offense whose execution is beyond what most college defenses can handle...assuming it can be executed.

Wilson maximizes his talent advantage by building around the major consistent advantage you can always have at premier universities, talent in the trenches.

They base around the run and they use the spread to isolate your players against theirs and then the no-huddle to force you to win isolated matchups against superior athletes over and over and over again.

Nothing they do is very complicated, they run inside-outside zone like everyone else mixed with a very good trap play that offers good angles. From their it's bootleg, play-action, screens, throws to the sideline, etc. If you are either over-matched by their line or undisciplined in your assignments they will blow you out. If you have comparable talent and well-coached schemes they become imminently beatable.

It's a perfect basic strategy for a major-level program that will insure that their offense is consistently solid with the potential for dominance in years like 2008 when the line is experienced and there are NFL draft picks at the skill positions.

Short of doing basically exactly the same things, what would maximize Texas' advantages on offense?

Resources:

While the spread has taken hold in Texas High School football the abundance of athletes means that an intelligent staff backed by a great S&C program can always find and make players to fit any offense. However, since the spread is clearly the best offense in football and helps teams with elite talent get playmakers in position to make plays, Texas should be taking advantage of the preponderance of spread-ready high school stars.

You can, and I will, divide quarterbacks into 4 basic categories in regards to their skill set:

Guys that throw well and run bad: Greg McElroy

Guys that throw well and run okay: Colt McCoy, Garret Gilbert, Chase Daniel, Zac Robinson

Guys that run well and throw okay: Josh Nesbitt, Taylor Martinez, Russel Shepard

The great ones: Vince Young, Robert Griffin

Texas should be gunning for guys only in the latter 3 categories. With Wood, McCoy and Gilbert QB runs can be involved 10-12 times per game (sort of the plan) while that number obviously increases with a guy like Griffin or T-Magic.

Even if they have no idea how to use them, Texas has not struggled of late to find the shifty playmakers that can wreak havoc in the spread like Goodwin or the rare Percy Harvin.

Most Common Opponents:

It looked like Texas was going to take advantage of a league where every defense was being recruited and designed to stop the wide-open passing attacks with the jack'n'jill running game and a talented interior. Instead, virtually every Texas opponent has found such holes in the Texas defense.

Regardless, the fact that Texas can choose their linemen from a state rich in talent means that our Horns are criminally incompetent if they fail to take advantage and build a running game that can punish all the non-OU teams in the Big 12 who will rarely have NFL-caliber tackles to hold down the middle of the field.

Balanced scheme guarantees that Texas has superior weapons to attack the Big 12 defenses wherever they are weak. The spread utilizing a QB who can run builds automatic balance into an offense.

Current Strengths:

We know the defense will be good at Texas as long as Muschamp is here. He's recruiting the best athletes in the country, he's developing them and then he's deploying them with the cutting edge schemes in defensive football. The Texas offense is used to carrying the water around here and it shows when Davis eschews the run-game approach for the season and attempts to do things that result in "sudden change", bad field position, and rarely sustained drives. He's clearly bitter about playing 2nd fiddle to Muschamp even if he's not interested in putting in the work necessary to take back the edge in practice.

Given that Texas has the advantages that can lead to a consistent running game and a conference full of opponents who can't stop it that leaves a pretty direction for the offense to take, no?

Names:

A lot of people would surely like for Texas to target Holgorsen from our upcoming opponent and if he bests Muschamp in round 1 for the top young coordinator belt that will surely increase that sentiment. For me, while he is clearly very flexible and inventive I'm guessing he would not push Texas in the direction of running-based football where I think we should be heading.

Applewhite's another popular choice and I'm not sure exactly what kind of scheme he would opt for at this point in his career. Early on he was heavily influenced by Davis but at this point he seems to have passed him by. He's also learned from Saban so your guess is as good as mine to what his foundational offense would look like.

Apart from these two local choices I don't have a list of names but would defer to Muschamp's judgement and so should Mack.

Basketball:

Last time we checked in here Rick Barnes had just lead what we expected to be a dynamic and loaded squad to the most frustrating basketball season of my life as a Longhorn fan. The high priest of the Nickel Rover temple assures me that auspices are better this season.

For instance, we are seeing the team assume an interesting take on the classical "us vs. the world" method of motivating team cohesion by blaming last year's seniors.

Matt Hill, Dogus Balbay, and our now de facto backup small forward Gary Johnson have assembled a coalition to sweep the locker room elections on a platform of "eff James and Pittman." The new government is looking strong early.

Jordan Hamilton addressed the team with an apology for his occasionally selfish play last season and is clearly a guy we need to have a big year to see the kind of success that will ease the pain of having to see Greg Davis' good name dragged through the mud. After seeing the home game against OU when the team was sparked to victory with a few Hamilton-made offensive possessions that had the team more excited than any other series I saw that year I wonder if his ascendancy to a larger role on last year's team was blocked by the influence of the senior leadership.

At any rate, the team has been purged by the departure of the seniors, Avery Bradley, Varez Ward and Shaun Williams. The latter 3 would surely have been talented assets but last year demonstrated the need for chemistry and team offense/defense.

The results are already available in the forms of an early 83-52 victory over the Midshipmen and 89-58 triumph over La Tech. Not having observed Thucydibarnes brilliant naval achievement at Salamerwin center I can only point you towards the observations of those who did and offer my take on the trusty box score.

Success in basketball comes from securing possession and protecting those possessions with efficient shooting and an avoidance of turnovers. It's these simple principles that result in Laker finals victories year after year rather than the extraordinary abilities of Kobe in hitting contested shots at the rate of an average player shooting within the flow of an offense, but I digress.

In this instance, the triremes were advanced on the backs of Hamilton and Johnson in leading Texas to a 50 to 30 advantage in both rebounds and shooting percentage over the Midshipmen and 47-41 rebounding edge against La Tech.

While the offense slowly evolves into a conceptually superior unit it's essential that they protect the ball and the glass as though they were defending the pass of Thermopylae because they aren't really a sizable group.

Gary Johnson is the key here as a "glue guy" who does the things like rebounding, drawing fouls, and scoring efficiently which actually win games. Hill is more aptly compared to adhesive as a passer into the low post and extra screening surface on the perimeter or on the baseline. If Wangmene can give 10-12 minutes per game of defensive harassment, rebounding, rim protection and occasional missed Balbay-layup corrections officer then all the better.

Shaun clearly saw the writing on the wall with Hamilton and it makes GJ all the more important as one of our only options at the 3 should Jordan be injured or incur too many fouls.

With a more wide-open attack that emphasizes the transition game, steals and doesn't plant a 300 pounder in the paint I'm a much bigger fan of seeing Turkish Delight on the court. It's hard not to root for a guy who puts in such effort and has such dazzling athleticism.

Brown has some exciting abilities but until his turnovers decrease he has to sit on the bench because this team can't afford them at the rate they are shooting right now. Between him, Balbay and Joseph Texas has a good cast of guards to initiate fast break opportunities that will be essential in scoring enough to keep up with the Jayhawks and Wildcats.

Which brings us to Tristan Thompson. Rebounder, finisher around the rim, defensive presence. If he can grow into the role of defensive anchor and rack up easy baskets on feeds and transition baskets he sets a high ceiling for this team. I hope to God he sticks around for a year of Wright Conditioning and Myck Kabongo.

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What evidence do you have that Applewhite is any different/better than Davis?

You know, other than the fact that it’s tough to be below the floor.

by Horncasting on Nov 11, 2010 5:04 PM CST reply actions  

Great point about tempo and how it affects inferior talent. I felt like our tempo slowed last season and I often wondered if our offense sputtered where it should have zoomed. I’ve always felt that when teams run a no-huddle spread attack, it doesnt give the defense a chance to adjust (or breathe). As much as it pains me to say, the first couple of OU drives this year was a textbook example of how to attack offensively.

Now, if you’ll excuse me, I need to go wash my mouth out with soap.

by gardzilla on Nov 11, 2010 5:25 PM CST reply actions  

I have to wonder if it’s also not time to question the Mushcamp to HC decision; fait accompli? Ethical questions aside, is he the best person to take this program for the next 10 years+? Perhaps this complete destruction of what had been wrought is an opportunity to revisit that decision? I think I still lean to yes (and don’t really have alternatives to offer) but recognize he is far from a finished product.

And although I’m soundly in the camp with Gilbert as a kid with a ton of potential trapped in GD GD’s quagmire, I have to question if right now he should be in the category of a kid who throws well. I probably like him better as a runner right now. His timing, touch, windup, footwork – all in serious need of some effective coaching.

Interesting comment about GD GD being ‘bitter’ as second fiddle to Muschamp. I usually view him as too much of a sloth to care about shit like that, but there could be some real truth to that.

Still do not understand Williams’ decision to transfer. Doesn’t really make sense on paper, as the opportunity and minutes should be there. Have to assume it’s for reasons the rest of us can’t see.

by Black Scholes on Nov 11, 2010 5:41 PM CST reply actions  

Black Scholes, good points. I’m wondering if shaun was fitting into the “world” that the basketball team is pitting themselves mentally against.

by Nickel Rover on Nov 11, 2010 5:55 PM CST reply actions  

I believe that would be Themistobarnes.

by Soldier of Orange on Nov 11, 2010 5:58 PM CST reply actions  

“since the spread is clearly the best offense in football”

The best offense I’ve ever seen in my life was the USC ‘05 offense. The reason why we won was Vince Young, but it’s also because we had a better, deeper and more experienced defense that made plays (remember the Ting brothers or whatever). Make no mistake, that offense was formidable.

I think the metric we need to consider for “the best offense” is one that gives you the best chance to win, not just rack up stats or even score points. When you see pace-adjusted stats and efficiency, spread offenses are less impressive at times.

I do think Kevin Wilson’s system is pretty amazing and could be the best system given a deeper OU team. If you were deep on both sides of the ball, increasing plays is obviously the way to go. I also think of them more as a multiple-offense, rather than a spread, since they do run a balance of plays under center and use traditional TE’s and FB’s.

I think their o-line talent/depth has betrayed them and they’ve had issues in the secondary (and with coaching). Still, I long for a hungry offensive staff that would optimize our talent to new levels.

by Eskimohorn on Nov 11, 2010 6:00 PM CST reply actions  

No one can point to any hard data that MA is a good coach or a good recruiter. The only hard data we have that he is not a good OC is that he was fired by Saban.

I take all the hearsay, opinion and folk lore for what it is really worth. Nothing. Zip. Nada.

Show me the data.

by Bill Bixbly on Nov 11, 2010 6:23 PM CST reply actions  

Bill – Let me know when you are going to start spraying horse manure willy nilly like that again. I’ll get my Gallagher concert wear on.

by Sailor Ripley on Nov 11, 2010 7:11 PM CST reply actions  

You forget Andy Dalton as a quarterback who can throw and is an effective runner.

You are being kind to say Russell Sheppard is okay throwing the ball.

Justin Fuente is a name to consider and I am not convinced that the thread is the best offense. I think it requires the least pieces to make it work.

by Davey O'Brien on Nov 11, 2010 7:27 PM CST reply actions  

What is this “Bassquette Bowl” you write of?

I would agree that the thread offense is not best, seeing as that is what GD’s offense, and the season, always hangs by.

by LurkerintheDark on Nov 11, 2010 7:48 PM CST reply actions  

If Mack does not get Davis out. We will loose Muschamp and Applewhite and the people they have recruited in the future. We have definately got a problem with Mack. I fear that he has lost touch with the problems of this program. He looks to the future being Muschamp. If he does not get a new OC that Muschamp agrees with Muschamp will be gone in December or Janurary. Listen people this could get very Bad. I am afraid Mack cares more about friendship than this program and its future.

by l on Nov 11, 2010 8:24 PM CST reply actions  

The bad football makes me unhappy.

by I Must Be Old on Nov 11, 2010 9:30 PM CST reply actions  

I am afraid Mack cares more about friendship than this program and its future.

What was your first clue?

by Blueshorn on Nov 11, 2010 9:36 PM CST reply actions  

Can we talk about the headline and how that got through our phalanx of journalism interns?

by Vasherized on Nov 11, 2010 9:36 PM CST reply actions  

I want to completely immerse myself in basketball but the current state of the football program just weighs so heavily on my mind and soul.

by floridianhorn on Nov 11, 2010 11:39 PM CST reply actions  

Gilbert doesn’t throw well. Robert Griffin isn’t a Great One. Colt ran well and threw well.

Disagree on the Spread, if you want to win MNC’S. The Spread can get crushed on any given Saturday, as it relies soooo darn much on the QB. It also doesn’t Establish the Run. Yes when properly executed it scores points, but it is unpredictable and is an equalizer for teams of lesser talent. We are trying to be Air Coogs, when we should be Wisconsin with better athletes.

by Orange River on Nov 12, 2010 12:44 AM CST reply actions  

Eskimohorn the reason we won that game was due to Vince Young and some inexplicable decision making by USC. Our defense was better than theirs, but it wasn’t saying much. No body wants to say it, I will USC was the better team and should have won the game. They led by 12 points in the fourth quarter. People seem to forget that. Our defense made about two plays that game. Our defense with the talent we had in the secondary and on the defensive line woefully underachieved in my opinion. The ’04 defense was the best defense Mack had pre-Muschamp. It was mostly due to our mediocre line backing play. We got torched by Aggy, Oklahoma State, and Justin Zwick. The rest of the schedule was full of mediocre offenses.

By the way that ’SC offense was the best I have ever seen

by PrimeTime on Nov 12, 2010 12:53 AM CST reply actions  

Bill, I know someone who interviewed with Sabab for the OC job at Bama. When Saban asked him about his offensive philosophy he said he wanted to be balanced between Run/Pass. He could tell that was not the answer Saban was looking for and then Saban told him he wanted to run the ball alot more than throw it. Eat the clock, play good D and special teams. This is a long way of saying you can’t judge what Major did at Bama as if he true autonomy to run the offense. It also explains why he left after 1 year. Given your current situation with Davis, I don’t know how much influence he has now. From what I’ve read on Aggie sites, he does hit the recruiting trail hard and goes to a lot of high school games. Other than that you can’t say much either way as you really haven’t seen him running the show.

by Kilgore Trout on Nov 12, 2010 7:57 AM CST reply actions  

We need another petition to Belmont to fire GDGD.

by reesetex on Nov 12, 2010 8:29 AM CST reply actions  

OK. I promise not to lose it this time.

by TSD on Nov 12, 2010 8:30 AM CST reply actions  

Is this Heaven?

by Santini on Nov 12, 2010 8:31 AM CST reply actions  

No. It’s Iowa.

by Phxhorn on Nov 12, 2010 8:31 AM CST reply actions  

So what you’re saying… Is that GDGD needs to be fired immediately?

by tackchevy on Nov 12, 2010 8:41 AM CST reply actions  

Call the best play in the world.

Or I’ll eat your soul.

by spider on Nov 12, 2010 9:12 AM CST reply actions  

Griffin right now isn’t nearly as accurate as Vince was. During the Baylor game I remember thinking after Griffin missed on several throws, that’s why VY was so great. There have may been better running quarterbacks and there have been better passing quarterbacks, but no qb in college football history was as good at both as Vince was.

by kevwun on Nov 12, 2010 10:19 AM CST reply actions  

One thing that Mack said when he first came here is that he converted over to the pro style offensive philosophy while at UNC in order to help in recruiting. His theory was that in order to get the best athletes, you needed to be running a pro style scheme since those kids wanted to be ready to jump to the next level.

Of course those days were prior to the popularity and sophistication of modern spread offenses. So things have changed. It does make me wonder, however, if a competently run pro style offense might not be still our best future, provided that we had superior athletes to operate it. It certainly has done well for Jim Harbaugh at Stanford, with far fewer recruiting stars beside the names of the players on their roster.

BTW, I wouldn’t mind seeing Harbaugh succeeding Mack here, if Will decides to leave for UGA or elsewhere.

by nietztsuki on Nov 12, 2010 10:29 AM CST reply actions  

The Evolution of Mack Brown:
Injector of Lifeblood into a Once Great Program – Coach February – MNC Winner – Bridesmaid – Selfish Asshole

Mack Brown giveth and Mack Brown taketh away.

Mack Brown:2010 Texas Football::Jeff Skilling:2001 Enron
Regardless of what logic, reality, and common sense reveal, the old man from Tennessee believes that he is (by far) the smartest guy in the room. That belief/attitude makes Mr. Brown an extreme threat to Longhorn, Inc.

At this point, complete disaster – either finishing 4-8 or being humiliated by both OSU and TAMU – offers the best chance for meaningful change within Moncrief-Neuhaus.

by Prince Albert on Nov 12, 2010 10:32 AM CST reply actions  

You go to Gallagher concerts?

VY is leading the AFC in passer rating, fyi.

Kilgore Trout has a good take on Saban/Applewhite. It just wasn’t a good fit. I tend to focus on the fact that Saban hired him in the first place.

Shepard is one horrendous passer of the football. The kid at Oregon runs well and throws well.

by magnusbleuveigner on Nov 12, 2010 10:53 AM CST reply actions  

For me right now on offense the reference standard is Oregon. Its not just what they do but how they are doing it.

I am not a film breakdown guy but from what I have seen they are the best executing team in the country and I would submit the best conditioned.

As for mobile QBs some interesting stats. Most would call Darron Thomas at Oregon a mobile QB. He has 400 yards rushing to GG’s 269. That gap is even smaller when you consider that GG has all that in the last four games.

You dont have to have a QB who can take it to the house. He has to be a threat to move the chains. Unfortunately if your QB is your only running threat, that is more difficult.

by bullzak on Nov 12, 2010 11:09 AM CST reply actions  

“There have may been better running quarterbacks”

Couldn’t disagree more.

by Blake B on Nov 12, 2010 11:10 AM CST reply actions  

Look no further then Okie State to see what a difference a good OC can make. They were picked to finish somewhere near the bottom of the B12 south…Holgorsen has the offense humming, and it’s contagious to the rest of the team, it makes everyone pick up their level of play. The same thing is happening at TAMU, Tannehill comes in and beathes new life into their offense and suddenly the defense plays with some fire. Maybe it shouldn’t be that way, but it is… emotion plays a huge role in college football. Preaching to the choir here…

“A lot of people would surely like for Texas to target Holgorsen from our upcoming opponent and if he bests Muschamp in round 1 for the top young coordinator belt that will surely increase that sentiment. For me, while he is clearly very flexible and inventive I’m guessing he would not push Texas in the direction of running-based football where I think we should be heading.”

My guess is that he is going to get a HC offer somewhere… I’m also in the group of “not being sold on the spread” as the offense of choice.

by sunset87 on Nov 12, 2010 11:20 AM CST reply actions  

I don’t see any evidence of the spread being the end-all best option for an offense. Several schools have been successful and are being successful right now with pro and/or run centric offenses.

What I wish we had was an offense that would take FULL advantage of our recruiting strengths. I want deep throws down the field, I want lots of running the ball in the middle of the field, I want plays designed to get quick scat-backs/big receivers the ball in isos or space, and I want a good to great-throwing quarterback who can run.

No reason we can’t have an offense that features all of the above. Truly, if you were to take the players we have on offense right now and design an offense to balance run/pass and fit our current players, we would have success. I can’t guarantee undefeated, but I can guarantee a Texas-standard team.

Examples of some basic rules and playcalls: Kirkendoll, Malcolm never get WR screens. JK falls down untouched, Malcolm not consistent enough with his hands. Let him drop 1 out of 3 30yd bombs, not 2yd swings. WR screens only to Goodwin (if he plays), Davis, and Hales. Motion Goodwin and Hales into backfield occasionally. 2 WR screens MAX per half.

Cody runs primarily in middle, DJ and Fozzy primarily outside, counter, Cody with 260lb fullback action, DJ never in for blocking – either running or swinging out. No TEs on the field. can mix in Hopkins or Kelly as a blocking TE, 2 RB and 4 WR sets. Throw deep to our fast but lacking hands receivers. Roll out Gilbert. Don’t play Goodwin if he won’t block unless called WR screen or reverse. Don’t play Kirkendoll unless obvious and important passing down.

Looking at the pieces that we have, there are not many Big12 teams I would trade our offensive players for, if any with future potential. It’s a shame we couldn’t have “ONCE” actually tried the offense we discussed for the season. Rice and Wyoming, we didn’t throw deep and open it up for Gilbert. Then the moment we were in trouble, we threw and threw up all over the place.

by Balltastic Motivization on Nov 12, 2010 12:10 PM CST reply actions  

FWIW – Muschamp’s brother Mike is a Head Coach and Offensive Coordinator at a high school in Atlanta, GA. Will talks to Mike often. Mike runs the spread.

by Crow on Nov 12, 2010 12:29 PM CST reply actions  

I watched an Applewhite-coordinated offense at Rice, in person. He is a smart play caller. Or at least he was in that instance. He knew what his players did well and called games thusly. He also used the idea of surprise, a little known concept around here. Anybody who thinks he could do worse than what we currently have is either blind or, sorry to say, not very bright when it comes to football.

But, it’s NOT going to happen. GD will NOT be fired, unless Mack leaves too. If you can’t see that then you are deaf or, sorry to say, not very bright when it comes to understanding people.

by . on Nov 12, 2010 12:39 PM CST reply actions  

The people arguing with NR’s statement about spreads don’t understand what a spread is. USC in 2004 was the last non-spread MNC. NFL teams are transitioning to spread offenses. There are a lot of spread offenses to choose from.

by TaylorTRoom on Nov 12, 2010 1:28 PM CST reply actions  

Thanks Heugatter, exactly.

For everyone dissing the spread in regards to it being “able to be shut down any given saturday” (like just about every offense) and not “able to establish a running game.”

Exactly how many more championships does Florida need to win using a run-heavy spread? 2 in 3 years didn’t do it for you? Did y’all watch the Vince Young Longhorns? Which feature would you describe as more integral to our success, running or passing?

Technically the spread is not an offense, it’s a formation that can be applied to most offensive concepts. My argument is that we should have an offense that utilizes spread formations and concepts that match it well.

When I said you can recruit to any offense at Texas I was thinking of Peterson or Harbaugh’s schemes but it would require excellent positional coaching and strength and conditioning because there aren’t a lot of elite-level fullbacks, tight ends and other auxiliary units essential to the “pro-style” offense which is usually just a power run/play action offense. You have to build those guys. Easier to get a dual-threat QB who has been groomed on Texas 7-on-7 contests and base around zone-read. Rely on the depth of the talent to cover you in the event of QB injury. That’s why we do that…

by Nickel Rover on Nov 13, 2010 2:52 AM CST reply actions  

If I recall correctly the 2005 Vince Horns only passed about 33% of the time.

Vince still had 3000 passing. Theres your run heavy spread.

by bullzak on Nov 13, 2010 8:43 AM CST reply actions  

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