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How The Thunder Built A Title Team In Five Years

With Carmelo and Deron Williams now playing in the NY metropolitan area, a new narrative about the NBA has steadily gained steam: How can small markets survive in an NBA where star players control their own destiny?

Putting aside whether that should even matter to the average basketball fan, this tiresome concern trolling has one glaring flaw: the Oklahoma City Thunder.

** The new labor agreement should reflect the interests of the majority of basketball fans. The majority of the NBA's fans live in big cities. Therefore the labor agreement should favor teams in big cities. One fan in Salt Lake City shouldn't take priority over ten in LA ... living in a small town doesn't make you more important. **

With the signing of Kendrick Perkins to a four-year extension, the Thunder have locked down an excellent young player -- Russell Westbrook, James Harden, Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka and Perkins -- at each position. And with the Lakers, Mavericks and Spurs advancing in age, there aren't many long-term obstacles to the Thunder in the West.

Durant, who grew up near Washington DC, and Perkins, who grew up in Houston and played the first part of his career in Boston, had no problem staying in the 44th biggest media market in the US. While the easy answer is that Durant has more character than LeBron and Carmelo, the reality is he would have made the same decision if their situations were reversed.

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What counts for "civilization" in Oklahoma.

Mismanagement, not market-size, cost Denver and Cleveland their franchise players. While Sam Presti (the Thunder's GM) and Danny Ferry (the Cavaliers' former president of basketball operations) were both disciples of Gregg Poppovich and RC Buford in San Antonio, only Presti took their lessons to heart.

He tweaked the Spurs blueprint a bit in Oklahoma City, but the core principles remain the same, and they should give hope to fans in small markets throughout the NBA.

#1: Commit fully to rebuilding.

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Know when to fold 'em.

When Presti was hired by the Seattle Supersonics in 2007, the team had won 31 games and missed the playoffs the last two seasons. Their best two players, Rashard Lewis and Ray Allen, were 27 and 31 respectively.

They were stuck on the "mediocrity treadmill" -- too good to get a high draft pick and too bad to make any noise in the playoffs. At that point, Seattle had nothing too lose.

So Presti made the unpopular decision to start a fire-sale, one that would drastically change the balance of power in the NBA. He sent Allen, a future HOF, to Boston for Jeff Green, Wally Szczerbiak and Delonte West. He signed-and-traded Lewis, a former All-Star, to Orlando for a second-round pick and a $9 million trade exception.

** Without Ray Allen, KG doesn't agree to come to Boston ... **

From a talent perspective, he got fleeced. But that wasn't the point. Lewis and Allen wouldn't be around when the Sonics were good again; all their presence would do is hurt Seattle's ability to get ping-pong balls in the draft.

#2: Get a franchise player in the draft.

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Imagine Durant and Aldridge in Portland ...

Some years the #2 pick in the draft is Kevin Durant ... and some years the #2 pick is Hasheem Thabeet.

For all of Presti's brilliance, if Portland takes Durant first, none of it really would have mattered. But that's life in the NBA, where superstars are essential to winning anything.

But getting an All-NBA player is only the beginning, not the end, of the journey towards a championship.

3) Draft guys who "fit" around your franchise player.

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Westbrook, and his flaming mohawk, was not an easy choice.

The other benefit of stripping your roster bare is how many chances it gives you in the lottery. The Thunder won 20 games in Durant's rookie season, "earning" the #4 pick in the 2008 Draft. In contrast, the Nuggets made the playoffs Carmelo's rookie season and never had another lottery pick during his tenure; the Cavaliers had only more during the LeBron era -- Luke Jackson.

** The second you select a franchise player, the clock is ticking on building a team around him. You have his rights for four years no matter what, so your best option might be to strip down your team immediately. Unless you have an under-25 All-Star, everyone on your roster should be on the market. Worst case, you get three lottery picks to find another All-Star. **

Russell Westbrook averaged only 13 points / 4 rebounds / 4 assists playing off of Darren Collison at UCLA, but the Thunder saw the 6'3 190 guard as the perfect slasher to exploit Durant's ability to open up the lane with his jumper and they realized that Durant's ability to create an efficient shot at will made a "true" point guard somewhat superfluous.

With the #24 pick, they took a flier on Serge Ibaka, a raw and athletic 6'10 forward playing on a second-league Spanish team.

The Thunder made incremental progress the next season, winning 23 games and replacing PJ Carlesimo with Scott Brooks in mid-season. But with a young core of Durant, Westbrook and Green, everyone recognized that they were a team on the rise.

The #3 selection in the 2009 Draft would probably be their last lottery pick. They picked James Harden, an athletic 6'5 220 shooting guard out of Arizona State. He wasn't the most talented player available, but he was the best "fit" around the Thunder's core.

Tyreke Evans and Ricky Rubio, the #4 and #5 selections, were sub-par shooters who need the ball in their hands to be effective; their games wouldn't complement Durant and Westbrook. Stephen Curry is a more natural scorer than Harden, but a back-court of him and Westbrook would be severely undersized defensively.

And while the Thunder desperately needed a defensive-minded big man, none of the available options -- Jordan Hill, Tyler Hansbrough or Earl Clark -- would have helped them.

#4: Use your cap space shrewdly.

Under the current soft-cap system, teams have a small window to add talent around their franchise player. Once he gets a max-deal after his fourth season, the salary cap space is gone, and the window is closed.

Presti recognized that top talent wouldn't flock to a rebuilding team in a small market, so he avoided the free agency sweepstakes. In contrast, Ferry gave Larry Hughes a cap-crippling 5-year $70 million contract.

Instead, Presti began "renting" his cap space to teams looking to avoid paying the luxury tax. He turned the trade exception he got from the Rashard Lewis deal into Kurt Thomas, with the Suns giving him two first-round picks (which became Serge Ibaka and Eric Bledsoe) in exchange for absorbing Thomas' salary.

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Kurt Thomas' biggest contributions to the Sonics/Thunder came off the court.

The next season, he flipped Thomas to the San Antonio Spurs, who were looking for an extra post defender to match-up with the Lakers in the playoffs. In return, he got a first-round pick which he used to take a chance on Byron Mullens, a raw seven-footer out of Ohio State.

In 2009, the Utah Jazz were shopping Matt Harpring, who had suffered a career-ending injury, and his insured $6.5 million salary in order to get under the luxury tax. Presti once again rented his cap space to Utah, grabbing a promising young point guard -- VCU's Eric Maynor -- in return.

#5: Identify the missing piece.

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The best acquisition of the 2011 trade deadline.

For all the Thunder's young talent, they weren't going anywhere with a front-line of Nenad Krstic and Jeff Green, jump-shooting big men who couldn't rebound or block shots. Presti gambled on size in the draft -- getting Kansas center Cole Aldrich last season -- but he refused to trade for an aging big man like Marcus Camby, who wouldn't be a long-term solution for the Thunder.

So when Boston began making the 26-year old Kendrick Perkins, a 6'10 280 brick wall of a center, available, Presti was ready. He offered them two young pieces -- Green, a talented power forward that the Thunder weren't willing to pay long-term, and a future #1 from the LA Clippers -- and a deal was struck.

** That pick came from Eric Bledsoe, a draft pick the Thunder acquired back in 2007 as a part of the Kurt Thomas trade. **

When he started in Seattle in 2007, Presti had an aging capped out team going nowhere. Five years later, the Thunder have a perfectly complementary starting five of Westbrook / Sefolosha / Durant / Ibaka / Perkins with solid players coming off the bench in Maynor, Harden, Nick Collison and Nazr Mohammed.

** Collison's contract was one more brilliant piece of cap management: a five-year $25 million deal which gave him $13 million up-front. So they paid Collison his money before Durant's extension kicked-in and shredded their cap room, and now are paying him less than $3 million each of the next four seasons. **

Most importantly for a small-market team like the Thunder, their long-term fiscal outlook is good despite committing over $160 million to Westbrook and Durant (assuming max deals under the new CBA will be fairly similar). Perkins just signed to a reasonable four-year $35 million extension, while Harden and Ibaka's (relatively) limited roles in Oklahoma City should depress their market value.

The future in Oklahoma couldn't be brighter, despite the size of their market. And short-term, the Thunder are going to be a very tough out in the playoffs.

The way the Western playoff bracket is shaking out, Oklahoma looks locked into the #4 seed and a match-up with San Antonio in the second round. They've got the size to contain Duncan down-low in Perkins and Mohammed, while San Antonio's aging back-court doesn't have the athleticism to handle Durant and Westbrook on the perimeter.

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The Spurs should be very concerned about a second-round series with the Thunder.

** The one lower-seeded team Oklahoma should worry about is Portland, who became the dreaded "team no one wants to play" with the acquisition of Gerald Wallace last week. **

Their Western Conference Finals opponent would be either Dallas or LA. The Thunder now have the size to at least contain LA's big men; that series would come down to Durant's ability to score on Ron Artest, Harden's ability to defend Kobe Bryant and Westbrook's ability to score on Kobe when LA switches Derek Fisher off of him. Against Dallas, Durant and Westbrook would have an athletic advantage on the perimeter, but their chances to advance to the NBA Finals would depend on Ibaka's ability to defend Dirk Nowitzki.

So at first glance, I'd say the Thunder have a great chance at making the WCF and a puncher's chance of reaching the NBA Finals. And if a championship comes to Oklahoma, Durant, Westbrook and Perkins will get the majority of the credit, but the man behind the curtains -- Presti -- shouldn't be overlooked.

Building a championship-level team in a small-market isn't easy, but it can be done.

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Good article

by feros on Mar 2, 2011 5:20 PM CST reply actions  

Terrific article. Extremely well-reasoned and -written.

by PB on Mar 2, 2011 5:22 PM CST reply actions  

Well done.

by java on Mar 2, 2011 7:03 PM CST reply actions  

How many more articles are you going to repost from the other fantakke sites?

by ut_bkc on Mar 2, 2011 8:00 PM CST reply actions  

Indeed…great article, and about the single NBA team that I would actually watch more than six seconds on TV.

by uthookem on Mar 2, 2011 8:02 PM CST reply actions  

Oh, and no kidding, ut_bkc…the absolute gall of these free websites to put whatever the fuck they want for anyone to read with an internet connection is simply appalling. I guffaw at the thought.

by uthookem on Mar 2, 2011 8:11 PM CST reply actions  

I know! It was bad enough that I had to read and enjoy it once.

by ut_bkc on Mar 2, 2011 8:31 PM CST reply actions  

Excellent read. Perkins is from Beaumont, though.

by The General on Mar 2, 2011 8:54 PM CST reply actions  

Good article. Durant hasn’t been quite as good this year cause of that slow start and some poor shooting stretches but with him and Westbrook they have 2 legit superstars now and Perkins gives them a 2nd good starting big man.

Amazing what they’ve done there. Also, don’t count out Sefolosha. Not a scorer but a very good player.

by Nickel Rover on Mar 2, 2011 8:58 PM CST reply actions  

The Bledsoe pick was actually acquired from Miami. They got the pick by agreeing to take on Daequan Cook.

by LegendaryHorn on Mar 2, 2011 9:36 PM CST reply actions  

Wonderful breakdown. I hope Morey has some of Presti’s sense. He isn’t doing horribly and he’s been crippled by Yao, but I could see this type of turnaround for them in the next 3-4 yrs.

by Biggity on Mar 3, 2011 3:37 AM CST reply actions  

Biggity, that happens only if Morey lucks into the right draft pick. I think, on average, there’s about 1 HOFer in every draft. Getting lottery pick #14 ain’t gonna cut it. Morey’s closer to making the playoffs this year than he is to locking down a top 3 pick (and this doesn’t appear to be the draft to want a top 3 anyway). And he’s also closer to getting fired than he is to a Zombie Sonics-type turnaround.

by jc25 on Mar 3, 2011 9:31 AM CST reply actions  

It seems that a number of NBA teams don’t believe in the draft outside the lottery. That is, if you don’t have a lottery pick you can’t get anything worth having.

Good teams like the Spurs, seem to be able to find talent later in the draft a la Tony Parker or Manu Ginobili. The Celtics Rajon Rondo also qualifies.

One of my main criticisms of the Nuggets over the years was that they would give away their draft picks for nothing. They finally got Ty Lawson late, but that was more because he was a North Carolina guy and Denver is a sucker for anything in light blue.

by roach on Mar 3, 2011 1:18 PM CST reply actions  

Small market success has been summed up in the last decade in one team – the San Antonio Spurs. They play as a team, have recruited for the spots they need, and continuously pull people out of the woodwork to fulfill their roles – from Bruce Bowen to Matt Bonner to Gary Neal. I spent 7 years in San Antonio, and still follow the team. Some of the best team basketball I’ve seen since Phi Slamma Jamma.

by SaltWaterCroc on Mar 3, 2011 4:15 PM CST reply actions  

It can be done. But you need a looooot of luck.

In the NBA, you just have to have a looooooot of luck.

by Homesick Alien on Mar 3, 2011 4:16 PM CST reply actions  

Although each sport has very different dynamics, I have a couple other examples of teardown and rebuild jobs that have paid off:

It was either one or two seasons ago that the green bay packers were one of the youngest teams in the league after kicking brett to the curb and committing to rodgers. We know how that turned out.

The texas rangers traded texiera for a haul from atlanta in one of the most lopsided deals in baseball since houston got jeff bagwell. It’s said that the rangers reached success last year a year earlier than they had planned. The farm system took a hit when they traded for an ace at the deadline last season, but they still have plenty left to make another trade this season if necessary.

Mark Cuban, I fear, is so committed to winning all the time that he won’t be willing to go through this rebuilding process in two years when kidd and dirk are gone or on their way out. I don’t want the mavericks to turn into the 1998 – 2006 dallas cowboys.

by Nero on Mar 3, 2011 8:02 PM CST reply actions  

Nero — Cuban’s a really sharp guy. He gets it.

"I’ll tell you, if they’re trying to get a great draft pick, they’re doing it the right way," he said with a chuckle. "If you rebuild, you rebuild. I was thinking about it today: It’s like, OK, you’re going to have a six-month season. Which means six months will be brutal and painful. And the next six months, you’re the king of the town, because you have a shot at the No. 1 pick, with great cap flexibility."

http://www.nj.com/nets/index.ssf/2009/12/dallas_mavericks_owner_mark_cu.html

Though I don’t see the Mavs needing to rebuild anytime soon. Dirk is only 32. Steve Nash is still playing at a high level at the age of 37; I don’t see why Dirk couldn’t. Height and shooting ability are the two skills that correlate the most with career longevity. It’s not like Dirk’s game depends on athleticism; he’s not going to get any shorter or lose his shooting touch in the near future.

by tjarks on Mar 3, 2011 8:18 PM CST reply actions  

OKC has embraced the Thunder beyond what I expected. The 3 new players got standing ovations when introduced at the Laker game. When Robinson came in against the Pacers, you would have thought Michael Jordan was in the house. So far, the OKC experiment is good for everyone.

by ransomstoddard on Mar 4, 2011 1:47 PM CST reply actions  

Oh, and any team with two Horns on it will be my favorite

by ransomstoddard on Mar 4, 2011 1:48 PM CST reply actions  

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