Quick Thoughts On Oakland and the Draw
If you're like me, you were relieved to learn that Oakland University is in Michigan and not "gun to the side of your White Sox cap" Oakland, CA; Oak-town as it were. This decreases the chances of J'Covan Brown getting in a fight by a factor of 10.
I was also somewhat relieved after pouring over Oakland's schedule. They were impressive in league play against schools like IUPUI, had a close loss vs. Michigan State at Auburn Hills, and shocked Tennessee on their home floor. Other than that, they've performed about as well as you'd expect out of a team that is disinterested in guarding but boasts an NBA talent like Benson inside. If Texas can limit OU's ability to run offense through Benson, play credible transition defense, and simply enjoy the fruits of the Grizzlies' matador defense, then the Horns will win comfortably. Allow Benson to catch it where he wants it when he wants it, lack good floor balance to stop the break, while turning the ball over, then Texas is in a nail biter.
Key 1. Guarding Keith Benson. He's a 6'11" 230 pound likely first round NBA draft pick. Looks like he's got tremendous touch around the basket and consistent range to the foul line and has hit some threes on the year. He can have all the 3's he wants if I'm Texas. Benson is purportedly really athletic but watching his film I think that impression comes from his shot blocking prowess which I'd argue looks like more of a combination of length and great timing.
Offensively he didn't have the jumping jack explosion I thought I'd see, but he is really good at carving out space, has good footwork, and touch with either hand. But he's not nearly the athlete that Tristan Thompson is and I think Wangmene's combination of strength and size means he can be effective on Benson. I'd play Alexis big minutes on Benson and have Tristan come over the top to help.
Key 2. Attack Benson. I think it's important to drive the ball right to Benson's chest as much as possible if he's not playing Thompson, and then feeding Thompson as much as possible when Benson draws that assignment. Oakland is going to let us catch it where we want it and they're going to let us drive the ball, so Hamilton, Brown, and Thompson can get it to the rim if we don't settle for jumpers.
If this game is called tightly it's an advantage for Oakland if and only if we don't go right after Benson. If the officials let us play, it's a big advantage for Texas because we're bigger faster and stronger at virtually every position. Either way, it's going to be important to attack the rim as much as possible this game.
Key 3. Transition Defense. Shot selection is the important component to good transition defense followed by floor balance and both elements are tied in with Key 2. We can't settle for jumpers in this game because not only does it help protect Benson from foul trouble, but it more than likely will fuel Oakland's transition game.
The Horns advantage inside comes at the four and three spots so we have to get the ball up on the glass from inside the paint and make the Grizzlies team rebound. When they're all going to the defensive glass they can't get out in their break. Win-win for Texas.
Now when we do drive the ball, especially with a guard, the second guard has to rotate back and be deeper than anyone else on the floor. But if we're forcing the Grizzlies to send 4 to the glass to compete because we're not settling for jumpers, floor balance shouldn't be much of a problem.
Key 4. Embrace tempo. I'm not suggesting we try to force transition against OU, but I think it would be dangerous to artificially slow the game down in an effort to make them uncomfortable. That's what prohibitive underdogs do when trying to matchup to a better opponent. We have a better team with better skills and better athletes. If Oakland wants to run and they're giving us favorable numbers in transition, then punish them at the rim. If we get a secondary break 3-ball in rhythm with a rebounder, then take it. This thought floating around out there suggesting we walk the ball up the floor and get into a half court game tells me some folks haven't watched our half court offense lately. Sure, if we don't have numbers, then pull it out and run your stuff, but to suggest we eschew a 3 on 2 break opportunity for a half court possession is silly.
I actually feel confident about this game, but I'm damn near depressed about having to face Arizona in the next round. That's a good basketball team. They're well coached, they have a superstar in Derrick Williams, and they'll guard us. They're better than Kansas State and by far the best 5 seed in the tournament. Meanwhile Florida, a team that was dominated in its last game, has losses to UCF, Jacksonville, and South Carolina gets to play Santa Barbara and probably UCLA to get to the round of 16. I don't have the words for how asinine that is. Oh well.
Thoughts?
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Agreed pretty much down the line.
I don’t think Oakland is going to beat us, but it’s a travesty of epic proportions that this team, with all it accomplished, doesn’t essentially have a bye into the second round and then get a 7/10 type game, and instead has the Pac 10 tournament.
When I initially heard about our seed I thought perhaps Rick or Deloss had gang banged a tournament selection committee member’s wife or daughter. When I saw the lol idiocy of this bracket I will instead chalk it up to abject stupidity and incompetence, as opposed to an axe to grind against the horns.
Still, other than Colorado and Tech not getting in, we were the most hosed team in the actual tournament. Disgraceful job by the committee
by Wulaw Horn on Mar 14, 2011 11:32 AM CDT reply actions
Pac 10 champ, not pac 10 tournament. Sorry.
by Wulaw Horn on Mar 14, 2011 11:33 AM CDT reply actions
I actually feel confident about this game, but I’m damn near depressed about having to face Arizona in the next round. That’s a good basketball team. They’re well coached, they have a superstar in Derrick Williams, and they’ll guard us.
Arizona will not guard you. They’re Bayloresque on the defensive side of the floor. I would not worry at all about scoring on Arizona.
But they can score on you. And I don’t think I’d want Thompson on Derrick Williams, because he’s a driver, gets to the line at will and would have Tristan in foul trouble all night.
by Hiphopopotamus on Mar 14, 2011 12:36 PM CDT reply actions
Good work, as always.
I feel better about this matchup now, but there was a clear game plan throughout most of the last month and Barnes seemed to ignore it. How this team performs in the tournament is going to end up mostly on their own attitude and approach. If they wear the 4 like a chip, only half-listen to coaching and just go play, then it could be fun.
My enthusiasm for the tournament took a blow yesterday, but it was softened by listening to Bilas rip the committee & bracket.
by Matt Cotcher on Mar 14, 2011 12:44 PM CDT reply actions
Hip, they’ll guard us compared to what Oakland is going to do. And yes, we can’t have Thompson on Williams or Benson for long stretches. At some point you’d think he’d get some star treatment, but it hasn’t happened yet.
by Trips Right on Mar 14, 2011 12:52 PM CDT reply actions
If Texas gets any coaching at all, any at all, they don’t lose to Oakland
by ransomstoddard on Mar 14, 2011 12:53 PM CDT reply actions
Matt, thanks. I agree about the coaching thing but I also think legs play a big part. I thought we looked much better in the Big 12 tourney on both ends and I’m pretty sure that had to do with rest. I’m not going to count the KU game because no one can beat that team when Brady Morningstar and Taylor play over their heads like that and your best interior player gets saddled with foul trouble.
by Trips Right on Mar 14, 2011 12:56 PM CDT reply actions
Saw Oakland’s conference tourney game on ESPN3, and I’m with Trips, Benson is good, but he’s not THAT good. He’s 6’11, somewhat athletic and somewhat skilled, which makes him a monster in the Summit League. But he’s not anything close to a lottery pick, and there’s no way he should be able to handle Thompson on either side of the floor; he’s got a real high center of gravity and he’s pretty easy to knock off balance.
I’d compare him to a Tony Battie / Hilton Armstrong type; he’ll be a late first-rounder / early second-rounder and he’ll be a ten-year NBA player, but he’s not exactly a world-beater or anything.
The game I saw it looked like Oakland ran more of their offense through Hamilton, their 5’11 175 point guard. He’s fast and he can shoot, but Balbay and Joseph should be able to contain him.
Could Oakland beat us? Yea. Should they? No.
by tjarks on Mar 14, 2011 1:10 PM CDT reply actions
“Oakland is going to let us catch it where we want it and they’re going to let us drive the ball, so Hamilton, Brown, and Thompson can get it to the rim if we don’t settle for jumpers.”
Put Balbay in that camp. The guy can slash to the rim. Might pass off when he gets there, but he can attack it. I think sometimes CoJo feeds off that too – he’ll watch Balbay get to the rim, then give it the ol’ college try himself.
I never have a clue what JCB will do. Guy’s a nutjob. He can ball though.
by defmob on Mar 14, 2011 1:29 PM CDT reply actions
I’ll channel Yogi Berra here to say you can tell by watching that Joseph takes the lead in pushing the ball. He doesn’t take it all the way much, but they at least try to get in position to do that, and it makes sense.
The spacing on offense, though…. what’s that smell?
by Bob in Houston on Mar 14, 2011 1:43 PM CDT reply actions
Oakland over Texas. Both the University and the City of
by Oaksterdam on Mar 14, 2011 2:21 PM CDT reply actions
Oakland smack that didn’t involve the mention of a gat…nice.
by uthookem on Mar 14, 2011 2:26 PM CDT reply actions
I think Memphis has a decent shot of knocking off Zona. Cats have sleeped walked some this season and the Tigers are playing with house money. Horn fans can stick around to stir up some 12 seed magic in Tulsa.
by 4Horns on Mar 14, 2011 2:36 PM CDT reply actions
Memphis has a lot of talent but yeah, they suck. Arizona sucks too though. Oakland is the toughest of the 3.
by Neon on Mar 14, 2011 2:52 PM CDT reply actions
“What’s the capitol of Texas?”
“Austin.”
“WRONG Commie, it’s Houston!”
by nobis60 on Mar 14, 2011 2:58 PM CDT reply actions
Arizona is 67th on KenPom defensive ratings and that’s only because they have an odd outlier in that they are ranked 2nd in 3pt FG defense. It’s something that the stat geeks have been pointing at all season. Arizona is 280th in the country in 2pt FG defense. Just awful.
by dick on Mar 14, 2011 3:28 PM CDT reply actions
2nd in 3pt FG D and 280th in 2pt FG D? If there was ever a game that called for the Bob Knight shot fake behind the arc….sounds like this team will go flying past you into the bench.
by nobis60 on Mar 14, 2011 3:40 PM CDT reply actions
It tells me that no one in the PAC 10 can shoot it.
by Trips Right on Mar 14, 2011 4:05 PM CDT reply actions
I’d like to see J’Covan make a big contribution in this game, but rotating back on D is far from his strong suit and well need to do that after every offensive possession.
5-12 upsets are among the most common in this ritual. Don’t count Memphis out for that reason, even though AU is the better team on paper.
by Frank the Plank on Mar 14, 2011 4:05 PM CDT reply actions
“It tells me that no one in the PAC 10 can shoot it.”
It means that when Arizona played teams that shoot the 3 well, that team shot the 3 poorly against them. When Arizona played teams that suck as shooting the 2, that team did really well on 2 pointers.
That stat has been that way for months so it isn’t just Pac 10 play. I would say the 3pt shot stat is just a random outlier and the 2pt defense is a legit issue.
by dick on Mar 14, 2011 4:28 PM CDT reply actions
dick — That’s a weird stat b/c Arizona is a pretty athletic team. They should be at least decent defensively. Texas/Arizona is the game of the second round if both teams take care of business round 1. I was at the Memphis/SMU game where Papa Dia dominated the Tigers’ front-court, so I really can’t see them beating Derrick Williams.
by tjarks on Mar 14, 2011 4:57 PM CDT reply actions
Now that I think about it, Arizona does kind of remind me of Missouri, in the sense that they’ll let you shoot so they can get the ball back. They live for run-outs and they’ll try pull-up threes.
Texas does have the defensive mindset that can frustrate Arizona. They’ll itch to shoot after 20 seconds.
by Bob in Houston on Mar 14, 2011 4:57 PM CDT reply actions
“When Arizona played teams that suck as shooting the 2, that team did really well on 2 pointers.”
I hope GJ’s 15 ft jumper is listening.
by Castle ARRRGGGHHH! on Mar 14, 2011 5:31 PM CDT reply actions
Trips,
That is why I put up the link yesterday. When I looked over the Oakland schedule, they looked like a good team, but not a team that screamed upset. We need to take care of the ball and play smart, but we do have the talent to win.
The angst on here seemed a little overdone. However, we shouldn’t be a #4, and we shouldn’t be playing a good team. The committee was lazy and incompetent.
by java on Mar 14, 2011 5:34 PM CDT reply actions
Total in this game is 154 which is a track meet by most standards, and Loyola Marymount pace by Texas Standards. So if we’re 10 point favorites, Vegas thinks the game is going to be 82 to 72. Personally, I’d bet the under. As a benchmark, the UNC vs. Duke total was 148 and both those teams can score. That game went way under.
by Trips Right on Mar 14, 2011 9:55 PM CDT reply actions
java, I watched the Michigan State-Oakland game and the Oakland-Tennessee game, so I guess I got exposed to the best games they’ve played. Benson was excellent, and they seemed to hit just about every open three. Welcome to last Saturday, if that’s the case.
But if I’m Oakland, I suppose I’m concerned about Thompson making Benson do things defensively that he’s not used to — either guy could get into foul trouble. Maybe Thompson, the better athlete, has the edge there. And Texas has the best defense in the country, and pressured the three-point line all season. They can hurt Oakland where they are strongest.
And where Texas still has Pomeroy’s top-rated defense, Oakland ranks 200th. They just need to make good shots, because they should get them.
by Bob in Houston on Mar 15, 2011 9:35 AM CDT reply actions
I think your Key 2 is a great point, but I doubt we implement it. Not a great history of exploiting issues like that under Barnes. I do think Wangmene will be a good defensive matchup on Benson and expect Barnes to give Wangmene the minutes to see what he can do. Wangmene does seem to have improving confidence, although he will always struggle with hands of stone.
The matchups that really concern me is when/if we’ll face a big, physical playmaker at guard. Balbay or not, I think that’s our achilles.
by Black Scholes on Mar 15, 2011 3:33 PM CDT reply actions
do y’all remember that guy Sydmil Harris? I found out tonight that he speaks 5 languages.
UNBELIEVABLE! go horns.
by txsa on Mar 17, 2011 12:45 AM CDT reply actions

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