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Around SBN: 7 Important Questions About The Heat Vs. Celtics Series

And The Thunder Roll...

Last year, I advocated that the OKC Thunder ditch Jeff Green at their first opportunity.

Star-divide

My thinking on Green a year ago:

Nice player, only 23 years old, but do we really want Durant’s enforcer averaging 6.0 rebounds a game on the season? Durant is outrebounding him substantially and that’s not a load he should be shouldering. The Thunder need more AC Green and less Jeff.

My minority opinion is that the Thunder should dangle the attractive young player and see what the market will offer instead of commit to a major contract this offseason, particularly if it precludes the Thunder from resigning guys like Harden or Ibaka down the road. He’s a good player. I’m just not sure if he’s the right player.

Thunder GM Sam Presti was thinking along the same lines. Now Green is a Celtic (where they're complaining that he doesn't rebound - who could have guessed!?) and the package of players Sam brought to the OKC Thunder have turned them into a postseason force to be reckoned with. Last night's pasting of the Lakers in Los Angeles was only the latest triumph for the Thunder, who have gone 18-4 since March 2nd and are now 54-26 overall, one game out of second place behind the Lakers and Mavericks.

By contrast, the Celtics are 14-11 since acquiring Green, fading from 1st to 3rd in the East.

The new look Thunder are best thought of as 8 satellites - 4 big and 4 small - orbiting around two stars, Westbrook and Durant.

They feature a four man rotation at 4 and 5: Collison, Perkins, Mohammed, Ibaka. Everyone is 6-10 and they all weigh between 245 and 275. Not quite Krstic and Green in terms of physical identity is it? The first three are physical, smart veterans who enjoy taking people down in the lane and doing the dirty work and Ibaka is a physical freak shot blocker who runs like a gazelle. Rebounding is now a team strength, they defend the post, and the ability to apportion 96 game minutes amongst 4 capable bigs makes them fairly unique in the league. You can't beat the Lakers by getting longer, but you can by getting stronger.

The supporting smalls are perfectly suited to their roles. James Harden drops 20 on you if you overplay Durant and Westbrook (averaging 16 per game since trade), Sefolosha is their defensive stopper on the perimeter, SG Daequan Cook has proven to be a pleasant surprise with some scoring punch, and Eric Maynor is an effective backup PG.

You now have a team that can run, bang, with a legit bench, with multiple scoring options that are actually complementary to the Thunder's elite duo.

The rest of the league is aware of this. Watch the last two games of the season. The West's postseason jockeying will be centered largely on how not to draw the Thunder. George Karl of the Nuggets has already said he wants no part of the Thunder in Round 1 and it's clear that the Lakers know that this team may hold their kryptonite in Round 2.

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I still can’t believe that Ainge made that deal. Green is an effective 3/4 and can be a 3rd or 4th option on a team but he is in no way equal value for Perkins. A legit 5 in his mid 20’s who doesn’t need the ball and is more than happy to fight for his teamates and can play excellent D and rebound. It lets Ibaka reach his potential as a weakside shot blocker and not have to defend centers.

Sam Presti should be commended for waiting out all the mediocre offers and pulling a robbery.

by biznesstime on Apr 11, 2011 1:26 PM CDT reply actions  

Getting Perkins for Green was an absolute steal. Everyone knew it immediately, especially the Celts fans. I look forward to cheering for KD in the playoffs. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them win it all this year.

by dick on Apr 11, 2011 1:29 PM CDT reply actions  

After watching the Nuggets beat up the Lakers at Staples and then Dallas in between two serious beatings by OKC I’m convinced that the Thunder are the only real threat to the Lakers in the west.

I initially thought the Nuggets could get a first round win over either Dallas or San Antonio buy running the old guys out of the gym in an elongated series. But the Thunder are younger, more talented and tougher.

The Nuggets and the Thunder are the only interesting teams to watch in the west. The Nuggets because they aren’t Carmello’s team any more and I want them to win to show the NBA just how fucked up the star system is. OKC obviously because of Durrant, and they’re actually fun to watch too.

by roach on Apr 11, 2011 1:33 PM CDT reply actions  

Presti learned his craft a little too well—and the Spurs may end up paying for that.

Did anyone take a flyer on a Bulls/Thunder NBA Final when the year started? Me neither, but it would have gotten you very good odds.

by jonestopten on Apr 11, 2011 1:33 PM CDT reply actions  

Hey Scipio could you get some shitty Garth Brooks stuck in my head? Oh you could? Thanks a bunch.

by nordberg on Apr 11, 2011 1:42 PM CDT reply actions  

OKC and Chicago each have a legit chance to go deep in to the playoffs. I never would have imagined either at the start of the season.

Even Artest didn’t want a piece of the Thunders bigs. Perkins turned him in to a skeered jump shooter last night. Those Thunder big bodies also provide Durant pillars of cement, so he can leverage an extra split second off a screen. Perkins set some nasty rhinoceros picks.

They honestly look like a different team at both ends of the court.

by Mocking Bird on Apr 11, 2011 1:51 PM CDT reply actions  

If only Chicago had been dumb enough to pull off a similar Omer Asik for Courtney Lee trade.

by jc25 on Apr 11, 2011 1:58 PM CDT reply actions  

bizness -
 
If Ainge doesn’t get the Garnett gift from his buddy McHale, you could argue that his tenure as GM is nothing but failure. I’m not sure why – when you have a team of aging veterans – that you get rid of the guy in his 20s.
 
dick -
 
I think smart people knew it. I saw a lot of people making the mistake of comparing statistics and believing that the Celts got the better end of it.
 
roach -
 
Good thoughts. I think the 1st round series in the West will be pretty interesting. It’s interesting how everyone has written off the Spurs. They are a 60+ game winner, right?
 
jones –
 
That would have been a potentially rewarding Vegas bet. Right now I like Lakers-Bulls, but Thunder-Bulls is absolutely in the realm of possibility. The Lakers wanted to send a message to the Thunder by playing their hardest and blowing them out at home and this has been an interesting turn of events.
 
Still, this is the NBA. And I don’t discount the potential for whistles to affect a playoff series in favor of the pre-ordained.
 
nordberg -
 
AND THE LIGHTNING STRIKES!

by Scipio Tex on Apr 11, 2011 1:59 PM CDT reply actions  

Mocking Bird -
 
The Bulls are my clear favorite in the East.
 
Durant lit up Artest on 11 of 15 shooting. A far cry from last years playoff series. That’s a big deal. If the Lakers have to try to use Kobe on Durant, the Mamba is going to lose his legs in the 4th quarter and Westbrook will run the Lakers mercilessly.

by Scipio Tex on Apr 11, 2011 2:03 PM CDT reply actions  

I had a Jeff Green-like affect on every inter-mural team I ever played hoops with.

I think I could still bring it, fwiw.

by parlin on Apr 11, 2011 2:25 PM CDT reply actions  

I think your teams’ primary objection is that every time you were passed the ball you placed the ball under your foot and asked the assembled crowd, “Why basketball, gentlemen?”

by Scipio Tex on Apr 11, 2011 2:29 PM CDT reply actions  

Did he also remove his shoes and socks and stage a sit-in on the court?

by Eskimohorn on Apr 11, 2011 2:52 PM CDT reply actions  

Supposedly NBA salary cap rules prevented the Celtics from offering Perk nearly as much as he could make in the open market Ainge felt like he had to trade. Why he dealt one of the NBA’s best interior defenders for a nice 3/4 hybrid is another question. Conventional wisdom is that Greene has the body type to limit Lebron/D-Wade. I think everyone saw how that worked in practice yesterday.

by Roland Gunner on Apr 11, 2011 3:01 PM CDT reply actions  

Scipio — The NBA is facing a lock-out that could ruin the sport like the NHL’s in 2004. The only way that doesn’t happen is a Lakers/Heat NBA Finals … which would be THE international sporting event of the year and make the league an absurd amount of money here and worldwide. It’s something to keep in mind when you’re watching the refs in the playoffs this year.

by tjarks on Apr 11, 2011 3:06 PM CDT reply actions  

Tjarks – break it down for us.

by Sailor Ripley on Apr 11, 2011 3:15 PM CDT reply actions  

A big hearty $%&@ you for getting that song stuck in my head.

by Garth Brooks on Apr 11, 2011 3:19 PM CDT reply actions  

Scipio,

I wouldn’t say I’ve written off the Spurs I’m just skeptical of their success. They remind me of pudgy white pickup basketball guy. You know the guy nobody want on their team, but as soon as the game starts he does nothing but drill threes from the time line.

They may still win it all, but man they look old, slow and “fundamental” They make the Hickory High look athletic and smooth.

by roach on Apr 11, 2011 3:19 PM CDT reply actions  

You guys obviously do not understand basketball. The Thunder is not going to make the Western Conference finals! The Spurs play team ball and will win it all because of that. Sorry for all you guys that have a crush on KD, but it ain’t happening open your eyes.

by Rolandv464 on Apr 11, 2011 3:33 PM CDT reply actions  

You got us, Roland!

by Scipio Tex on Apr 11, 2011 3:36 PM CDT reply actions  

Roland lives inside one of Greg Popovich’s facial scars.

by Vasherized on Apr 11, 2011 3:53 PM CDT reply actions  

Who is this Garth Brooks or which you speak, mate?

by Chris Gaines on Apr 11, 2011 4:08 PM CDT reply actions  

I’m a Spurs fan. I love them…but dammit, Roland.

by Burnt Orange Wookiee on Apr 11, 2011 4:16 PM CDT reply actions  

“They may still win it all, but man they look old, slow and "fundamental"”

I keep hearing this opinion of the Spurs this year and I just have to wonder how many people have actually watched any of their games. Offense has actually carried them for the better part of the season. Parker and Ginobili are 2 of the more athletic, exciting players in the league IMO, and the Spurs have gone through a pretty impressive youth movement and athletic upgrade the last 2 seasons.

by Horncasting on Apr 11, 2011 4:25 PM CDT reply actions  

tjarks-

The lockout is happening regardless of the Finals, teams in Minn. Memphis, N.O, Sac, and several others are getting killed now and good ratings don’t make them additional $$$$.

Horncasting-

At this point I have trouble trusting Ginobli and Duncan to stay healthy enough for a long playoff run.

Roland Gunner-

Excellent point on the cap rules preventing an extension by the Celts, but i’m still wondering if they tell the league that Perk is available and willing to sign a 4y $32M extension if Jeff Green is the best offer they get.

by biznesstime on Apr 11, 2011 4:48 PM CDT reply actions  

Following up on the Perk trade points. As I try to get inside Ainge’s head on this…first of all it’s a whiny looking place. Seriously, no one in the league looked more whiny than him, until Kurt Thomas entered the league. Second, maybe he thought that if they were going to lose Perk, and trade him, make sure it’s at least a west conference team…maybe? I thought it was awesome as a casual Thunder fan from the start. It’s only remained so. Certainly may have swung the west in a new direction for years to come.

Whenever a trade like this occurs that improbably swing the balance in a new direction I think we should call it a Gasol. Or use it as a verb, as in the “Celtics sure Gasoled that one.” Nothing will ever beat that poo-poo platter the lakers sent memphis for Pau. Still kills me.

by Burnt Orange Wookiee on Apr 11, 2011 5:08 PM CDT reply actions  

Biznesstime – I agree, health and reliance on the 3 pt shot are my biggest worries for the Spurs.

by Horncasting on Apr 11, 2011 5:32 PM CDT reply actions  

So… the correlation between team ball and the championship is 1.
And… team ball is a binary variable.
And… the spurs are the only team for whom the team ball variable equals 1.

Got it.

by HoyaHorn on Apr 11, 2011 5:50 PM CDT reply actions  

The Spurs have a really good shot if Ginobili and Duncan hold up. This is a team that relies pretty heavily on the three ball, no question. I don’t think we necessarily have to be on fire from outside the arc to win, but if we go ice cold from the perimeter we are toast. If we do get hot from the 3-point line, we are damn near unstoppable because that opens up drives to the basket for Parker, Ginobili and Hill.

As far as athleticism, the Spurs have some of the most athletic guards in the NBA and that translates to a fast break game that we have not had in years. We are definitely undersized in the front court, but Blair plays bigger than his size defensively and on the boards and can get a hot scoring hand from time to time. We have added Splitter, who is a legit big and has played some solid ball of late. We’ll need him to continue that in the playoffs. We need McDyess to elevate his game and provide productive minutes on a consistent basis.

From a physical standpoint, we are not the most talented team, though we are a lot more athletic overall than we have been in years and the disparity on this front is not near what the pundits would have you believe. The Spurs play good team ball and can beat you in several different ways. We are a very deep team with a bench that can score in bunches. I think we have as good a shot as anyone.

by Felonious Monk on Apr 11, 2011 5:59 PM CDT reply actions  

Even considering salary cap implications, the Perkins trade makes no sense to me. The Celtics are in “win now” mode. Garnett, Allen, and Pierce don’t have 5 years left in the tank. Trading Perkins (whose importance against the lakers was obvious when he was absent last finals) mortgages a legitimate finals run this year for winning a few more games next year.

by HoyaHorn on Apr 11, 2011 6:00 PM CDT reply actions  

I pretty much took your Jeff Green opinion and made it my own. When this trade dropped your original piece immediately came to mind. I was actually talking to a sucker (friend of mine) that thought the Celtics got the better of the deal. After expertly pointing out Green’s rebounding deficiencies my friend was easily swayed.

I bet that same friend at the beginning of the season that the Thunder would finish top four. Now if you’ll get me Steve-O – he wants me to call him Steve-O – Wynn’s phone number I’d be much obliged.

Anyway, nice call on Green.

by magnusbleuveigner on Apr 11, 2011 7:33 PM CDT reply actions  

I think a Man United-Barcelona Champions League final would elicit just a wee bit more international interest than Heat-Lakers

by Eastred on Apr 11, 2011 8:12 PM CDT reply actions  

How dare you bring you global perspective.

by Scipio Tex on Apr 11, 2011 10:08 PM CDT reply actions  

This is a bit tangential to the OP, but a great KD story nonetheless. Didn’t see it posted on BC before, so apologies in advance if it was. It’s worth the read just to confirm what we already know: Kevin Durant is one cool dude. LINK

Seems he got a private shoot-around with Obama last year. He invited a couple of teammates, him mom and his grandmother. That’s it. No entourage, no cameras, no press. And he didn’t want it publicized.

If this were any of a dozen other NBA stars, they’d have squeezed every ounce of media pub out of the "event" they could. This kid just thought it was cool to get to shoot a few with the prez.

If there’s a more humble, down to earth professional athlete on the planet, I don’t know who it’d be. Makes me proud he’s a horn.

by TKO on Apr 12, 2011 8:09 AM CDT reply actions  

I want to see KD and Messi together like Manute and Spud.

by Drew Dunlevie on Apr 13, 2011 12:17 AM CDT reply actions  

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