2011 Adjusted Stats

by Huck L Berry on Sep 25, 2011 4:14 AM CDT in Texas Longhorns and Other Football

Adjusted stats and ratings (including my EWP ratings) for this season are now available. Given that this is the first release and I'm getting back in the groove after the BC IT department and interns changed everything, just let me know if you see any issues.

Keep in mind that all of this is very volatile early in the season. As an example, the teams were actually very weakly connected after last week's games. Based on that amount of data, any standard power ratings set would have had Texas A&M favored over Oklahoma by 40 points. Speaking of matchups, the matchup analyzer is now live for 2011, but you can also preview actual upcoming matchups using the links in the game report.

A couple of minor notes:

1. Air Force has still only played one FBS opponent after four weeks so all of their ratings and adjusted stats are based on their game against TCU
2. I tried to keep an eye on the calculations while they were running and it appears that all the stats are connected except for fourth down conversions.

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You sexy beast.

by LonghornScott on Sep 25, 2011 5:11 AM CDT reply actions

Is your cpu catholic? Domers and 3 opponents in the top 10. Pitt at 1-2 over 3-0 texas. I know its early- just funny.

by Wulaw Horn on Sep 25, 2011 8:30 AM CDT reply actions

Dancing banana

by maninblack on Sep 25, 2011 8:48 AM CDT reply actions

Iowa st 32 Texas 28 ouch! i dont see that one happening.

by MONTY on Sep 25, 2011 9:06 AM CDT reply actions

I have a terrible time using the drop down menu under defensive stats, for instance. The drop down disappears before I can get the cursor over one of the options

by ut-06 on Sep 25, 2011 10:34 AM CDT reply actions

2 and 7 on the rest of the season?
I’d fade that.
I think we’ll end up at worse 8-4 and depending on continuity of the learning/ improvement curve… could surprise everyone.

by coyote on Sep 25, 2011 10:56 AM CDT reply actions

buy ,sell or trade on the Horns, im going all in

by MONTY on Sep 25, 2011 10:58 AM CDT reply actions

Half of Texas’ season stats have Garret Gilbert in the equation. I would say 2-7 too if he was still our QB.

by dick on Sep 25, 2011 11:05 AM CDT reply actions

Biggest issue for Texas in the next two matchups appears to be Special Teams. Unfortunately, that isn’t something that can be explained away by poor QB play or how opposing offenses are choosing to attack our defense. This is a real weakness right now and needs to be addressed.

by Lobo89 on Sep 25, 2011 11:26 AM CDT reply actions

LSU’s adjusted points allowed per game is negative. I don’t care how many games into the year we are, that’s sick.

by Dagga Roosta on Sep 25, 2011 12:48 PM CDT reply actions

ut-06, I put together this quick and dirty alternate links page for those having difficulties with the dropdown.

by Huckleberry on Sep 25, 2011 1:58 PM CDT reply actions

LSU allowed over 400 yards passing this week, and they knew they were going to pass. They took advantage of turnovers. They will lose a game or two this year. Les Miles is still the coach.

by MONTY on Sep 25, 2011 4:38 PM CDT reply actions