COLLGE FOOTBALL BETTING: Over/Under Regular Season Wins

Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports

I'll lose your money at a slower rate than Ben Bernanke.

Armed with the regular season win total (no bowl, no conference championship) betting lines released by 5dimes, I will now guide you to a prosperous and successful 2013. Actually, total win predictions with partial numbers (7.5, 9.5, 11.5 etc) are notorious sucker bets, but I'm assuming you're a sick gambler who spends more time playing roulette instead of craps.

If you're not a gambler, it's still a fun exercise, because it's a way of challenging our perceptions.

For quick clarification a +120 bet means you must wager $100 to win $120. A -120 bet means you wager $120 to win $100.

And before we get into my bets, the leisure suits handicapped Texas in such a way that I wouldn't consider it (9.5 Wins, Over -150, Under +110) in either direction. Screw that. That's lose-lose.

**

My favorite bets (of a lot of bad ones).....

KSU

Over 8.5 (+150)

Under 8.5 (-195)

My bet: Take Under 8.5 with the stiff penalty.

Vegas is pushing you hard to a nine win prediction, based on 3 things. An appealing payout (and strong penalty on the Under bet), the seductive guarantee of Kansas State's 3 OOC wins, and the default assumption that KSU will pull it together simply because Bill Snyder is in charge of things.

A successful over bet requires KSU to go 6-3 in the Big 12 with a brand new defense, a tough in-conference early schedule, and a new QB. Playing in a league where 7 of the Top 10 teams are Top 40 material. Snyder's 2011/2012 teams - essentially the same crew of guys that went 21-5 - are all gone now. Before them, there were two Snyder KSU teams that went 6-6 and 7-6, respectively. I'm wagering that's the kind of KSU team we're looking at in 2013.

Texas A&M

Over 9.5 (-180)

Under (+150)

My bet: Take Under. Bet $100 to win $150.

This isn't Aggie hate. I would run away from this bet at even odds. A&M's schedule is kinder than Johnny Football's online course load, and it's clear that Sumlin has tapped into something, but I'm more than happy to take a flyer on A&M's chances for a small implosion based on the mercurial nature of their signal caller, or simply just banking on a successful season losing three games against some of the following: Alabama, @Ole Miss, Vandy, @ LSU, @Mizzou.

I'm not a fan of A&M's defensive prospects and that puts them in peril in games that most have already marked with a W. In short, you're being paid a bonus to bet on the chances of A&M going a respectable 9-3. That's not bad. And if they string together a magical season, so be it.

Do you see any bets that you like?

If you don't want to follow the link, here's the chart:

Alabama Houston N.C. State Texas
Over 11.5 (+140) Over 5.5 (+120) Over 6.5 (-185) Over 9.5 (-150)
Under 11.5 (-180) Under 5.5 (-160) Under 6.5 (+145) Under 9.5 (+110)
Arizona Illinois North Carolina Texas A&M
Over 7.5 (-120) Over 3.5 (-160) Over 9.5 (+170) Over 9.5 (-180)
Under 7.5 (-120) Under 3.5 (+120) Under 9.5 (-230) Under 9.5 (+140)
Arizona State Indiana Notre Dame Texas Tech
Over 9.5 (+175) Over 5.5 (-190) Over 9.5 (-135) Over 7.5 (+145)
Under 9.5 (-245) Under 5.5 (+150) Under 9.5 (-105) Under 7.5 (-185)
Auburn Iowa Northwestern UCLA
Over 6.5 (+120) Over 5.5 (-120) Over 9.5 (-175) Over 8.5 (+125)
Under 6.5 (-160) Under 5.5 (-120) Under 9.5 (+135) Under 8.5 (-165)
Baylor Iowa State Ohio State USC
Over 7.5 (-175) Over 5.5 (-175) Over 11.5 (+160) Over 10.5 (+115)
Under 7.5 (+135) Under 5.5 (-245) Under 11.5 (-210) Under 10.5 (-155)
Boise State Kansas Oklahoma Utah
Over 10.5 (+120) Over 3.5 (-120) Over 9.5 (+160) Over 5.5 (+145)
Under 10.5 (-160) Under 3.5 (-120) Under 9.5 (-210) Under 5.5 (-185)
Boston College Kansas State Oklahoma State Vanderbilt
Over 4.5 (+140) Over 8.5 (+155) Over 10.5 (+170) Over 7.5 (+100)
Under 4.5 (-180) Under 8.5 (-195) Under 10.5 (-230) Under 7.5 (-140)
BYU Kentucky Oregon Virginia
Over 8.5 (+100) Over 3.5 (-160) Over 10.5 (-190) Over 4.5 (-120)
Under 8.5 (-140) Under 3.5 (+120) Under 10.5 (+150) Under 4.5 (-120)
Cal Louisville Oregon State Virginia Tech
Over 4.5 (+110) Over 10.5 (-130) Over 8.5 (-210) Over 9.5 (+140)
Under 4.5 (-150) Under 10.5 (-110) Under 8.5 (+160) Under 9.5 (-180)
Central Florida LSU Penn State Wake Forest
Over 8.5 (+125) Over 9.5 (+120) Over 8.5 (+150) Over 5.5 (-170)
Under 8.5 (-165) Under 9.5 (-160) Under 8.5 (-190) Under 5.5 (+130)
Cincinnati Maryland Pitt Texas Tech
Over 9.5 (+120) Over 6.5 (-140) Over 5.5 (-110) Over 7.5 (+145)
Under 9.5 (-160) Under 6.5 (+100) Under 5.5 (-130) Under 7.5 (-185)
Clemson Miami Purdue Wake Forest
Over 10.5 (+165) Over 9.5 (+115) Over 5.5 (+175) Over 5.5 (-170)
Under 10.5 (-215) Under 9.5 (-155) Under 5.5 (-245) Under 5.5 (+130)
Colorado Michigan Rutgers Washington
Over 3.5 (-140) Over 9.5 (-155) Over 6.5 (+110) Over 7.5 (-120)
Under 3.5 (+100) Under 9.5 (+115) Under 6.5 (-150) Under 7.5 (-120)
UConn Michigan State SMU Washington State
Over 5.5 (-140) Over 8.5 (-120) Over 5.5 (+140) Over 4.5 (-130)
Under 5.5 (+100) Under 8.5 (-120) Under 5.5 (-180) Under 4.5 (-110)
Duke Minnesota South Carolina WVU
Over 5.5 (+120) Over 5.5 (-120) Over 9.5 (-195) Over 5.5 (-210)
Under 5.5 (-160) Under 5.5 (-120) Under 9.5 (+155) Under 5.5 (+160)
Florida Mississippi Stanford Wisconsin
Over 9.5 (+120) Over 8.5 (+120) Over 9.5 (-195) Over 8.5 (-210)
Under 9.5 (-160) Under 8.5 (-160) Under 9.5 (+155) Under 8.5 (+160)
Florida State Mississippi State Syracuse
Over 10.5 (+110) Over 5.5 (+140) Over 4.5 (-120)
Under 10.5 (-150) Under 5.5 (-180) Under 4.5 (-120)
Georgia Missouri TCU
Over 9.5 (-195) Over 5.5 (-180) Over 9.5 (+180)
Under 9.5 (+155) Under 5.5 (+140) Under 9.5 (-210)
Georgia Tech Nebraska Tennessee
Over 8.5 (-120) Over 9.5 (+100) Over 5.5 (-210)
Under 8.5 (-120) Under 9.5 (-140) Under 5.5 (+160)

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