As everyone should know by now, I am a computer ratings geek. I have my own set of ratings, but I recently decided to set out to design a computer ratings system that accommodates the factors that either must or in my opinion should be reflected in a system used by the BCS. With […]
Based on the power ratings available here
Scores rounded to nearest whole numbers and/or common football scores
The ratings predictions went 51-17 this week making them 367-83 overall after three weeks. Games with predicted spreads of 28+ are 62-2, spreads of 14-28 are 151-16, spreads of 7-14 are 76-20, and spreads under 7 are 78-45.
Class 5A
Division I
Regional […]
I’ll cut right to the chase. I now believe that my previous analysis of the computers was too rosy. While I stated that Tech as the wedge in Wolfe’s system was only possible and not certain, it now looks like there’s no way it will hold. Tech currently has a score of […]
Based on the power ratings available here
Scores rounded to nearest whole numbers and/or common football scores
The ratings predictions went 111-25 this week making them 316-66 overall after two weeks. Games with predicted spreads of 28+ are 57-2, spreads of 14-28 are 129-14, spreads of 7-14 are 66-19, and spreads under 7 are 64-31. Obviously the […]
Based on the power ratings available here
Scores rounded to nearest whole numbers and/or common football scores
The ratings went 205-41 last week (including the regular season games postponed by Hurricane Ike in lower classification districts with a BYE through the first round). Games with a predicted margin of 28+ were 44-2, 14-28 point margins were […]
It’s important to note that the best part about the current Texas high school football playoff setup is that because the UIL now sends four teams from each district to the playoffs, Austin High (Loyal Forever, bitches) has a decent chance of actually going from time to time.
So in honor of the playoffs, here are […]
Ratings
I missed last week’s update, but the links are below for this week. The only good news about getting seriously ill before the Tech game is that I don’t have much recollection of what happened during the game. So that’s nice.
All Teams Ratings
D-1A Only Ratings
Ratings Odds and Ends
A few things to note about […]
Looks like the computers love the Big 12 South. 40% of the BCS Top Ten are from the Big 12 South. Basically, the 5th best team in the Big 12 will have a home game for the Conference championship.
2. Texas Tech
4. Texas
6. Oklahoma
9. Oklahoma State
14. Missouri
The Ratings
Well, they’re definitely new and when you start out really low then you’re probably going to improve. So I’ve got that going for me.
Which is nice.
The previous version of the ratings had a couple of issues that bothered me. The first was that the composite ratings would occasionally have a team ranked […]
A losing record in the third week and a review of Sagarin’s predicted lines and retrodictive accuracy caused me to revisit my predicted margin formula. So below are the season results so far followed by this week’s predictions using the new formula. What I noticed was that I was more accurate on games […]
Ratings Update
As always, both the All Teams and the Division I-A only ratings have been updated. And Texas’ rating continues to get more and more absurd with the potential to get even more out of hand. In both sets of ratings, Texas has defeated the #2 and #5 teams in consecutive weeks. […]
The second week of the ratings vs. point spreads for this season was a wash. The ratings went 25-25-0 against the spread. Season to date:
Confidence
Record
Overall
58-42-2
14+
7-2-0
10+
5-7-1
7+
11-10-0
Ratings Update
Even though it was expected that Texas would move up to #1 in both the All Teams ratings as well as the Division 1-A Teams only ratings, I had no idea how ridiculous the rating value for Texas would be. Equally amazing is the all Big 12 South top 3 and 5 of […]
Last year I began to track my ratings’ performance against the point spread for all games. (I use the ratings set that includes all teams instead of the Division I-A only ratings because more data is always better when evaluating true team strength.) This is where I should be launching into an infomercial about […]
ChrisApplewhite on the pontiff.
Scipio on resting up for the Fiesta.
Scipio on Boeckman, Pryor and Tressel.
Scipio on lesser bowls.
TaylorT on the BCS Championship Game.
Scipio on the Sewing Circle.
Huck explains the BCS.
Scipio on RTDB.
CallKev on Colt McCoy.
srr50 remembers Tommy Nobis and the 1965 Orange Bowl
TaylorT on a Longhorn Legend
Barking Carnival hosts the blogpoll Roundtable Round Up
Trips on this year’s squad.
TaylorT’s series on cheating in 10 chapters.