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Texas High School Football Update

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The high school pages are now updated at, including the EWP Ratings, Power Ratings, matchup analyzer, and team and district pages. As always, many thanks to Jerry at for his fine work collecting scores data across the state.

Updated Probability Forecast Table (All Classes)

Class 5A

Division I

Southlake Carroll continued their outstanding playoff run with a thrilling comeback 28-24 victory over Dallas Skyline. Their opponent in the state championship game will be Fort Bend Hightower, who easily moved past San Antonio Madison by a final of 54-35. Carroll is around a 13-1/2 point favorite this week and about a 1-to-4 favorite to win the title.

Division II

In Division II, Cibolo Steele moved past Port Arthur Memorial 51-31 in one semifinal and will now face a Spring DeKaney squad that blew out Region I champ Mansfield Timberview 56-19 in the other semifinal. This one shapes up to be a very competitive championship matchup and in fact the analyzer pegs it as a pick'em contest, the first of a few this weekend.

Class 4A

Division I

Lake Travis continued to roll over all teams not named Cedar Park as they crushed Pearland Dawson 45-14 in one semifinal. The Cavaliers won their two matchups against the Timberwolves by a combined 8 points while no other opponent has gotten closer than 21. Their opponent in the state title game, though, has had an impressive playoff run of their own. Waco Midway won easily over Tyler by a surprising 51-20 score to advance to the championship game. That still isn't enough to prevent Lake Travis from being three touchdown favorites to take their fifth title in a row.

Division II

Speaking of great playoff runs, Aledo crushed another strong opponent, this time scoring five touchdowns in the third quarter on their way to a 68-28 blowout over Corsicana. The other semifinal was a thrilling affair as Manvel kicked the game-winning field goal on an untimed down at the end of the game to defeat Calallen 31-28. Aledo enters the championship matchup as 9-point favorites in what should be an exciting title game.

Class 3A

Division I

Congratulations to Tyler Chapel Hill as the Bulldogs claimed the 3A Division I state championship with a 20-19 win over Alvarado. After scoring a touchdown to pull within a point early in the fourth quarter, Alvarado attempted a swinging gate style two point conversion but an early snap doomed the play from the start.

Division II

Argyle handled Monahans easily, as predicted, in one semifinal as they took the win 34-14 to advance to the final. In the other semifinal, Wimberley avenged last season's semifinal loss to Coldspring-Oakhurst 21-14 to set up the title bout against Argyle. This matchup is our second pick'em of the week with Argyle an ever-so-slight favorite.

Class 2A

Division I

Tatum saw their outstanding run end at the hands of Hempstead 21-14 in one semifinal. Melissa knocked out Muleshoe 49-36 in the other to set up this week's title game, another pick'em game on championship weekend.

Division II

Refugio trounced upstart Lexington 63-33 to take care of business in their half, but Cisco pulled a mild upset in the other half as they beat Corsicana Mildred 35-28 to earn their trip to the title game. Refugio is a 13-1/2 point favorite in this battle of undefeateds.

Class A

Division I

Mason had no problems with Garrison as they triumphed 46-14 in one semifinal while Mart fell 47-28 to Stamford in the other. Mason enters the championship game as solid two touchdown favorites to win it all.

Division II

Tenaha was expected to handle Burton easily in their semifinal and did not disappoint as they won 63-28. The other semifinal was an even bigger blowout as Munday crushed Wellington 62-22 to earn the right to play Tenaha for the title. Despite being heavy favorites throughout the playoffs, Tenaha is "only" a 7-1/2 point favorite this weekend.


After navigating the difficult Region II playoffs, Borden County was unable to take home the title as they fell to Throckmorton 48-36 in the championship game in Abilene. Hats off to the Greyhounds on their title.

In Division II, Richland Springs took the Division II title in a 76-28 mercy rule win over Motley County in their title game. After entering the Division II playoffs as favorite, the Coyotes never let up. Congratulations to them on a dominating championship season.