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Using play-by-play data from the past five years, recent recruiting rankings, and a measure of production from returning players, Bill Connelly has projected the S&P+ rankings for all 128 FBS teams. Your Texas Longhorns come in at 34.
I was told there would be no math. Is this witchcraft?
This S&P+ was a pretty accurate measure of relative strength last year. Picks based on S&P+ picked against the spread correctly better than 52% in the 2015 regular season. Connelly's straight-up picks accurately chose the winner in 644 of the 829 FBS games in 2015 (77.68%).
Our opponents go like so:
Notre Dame - 11
UTEP - 126
Cal - 49
Ok State - 23
OU - 4
Iowa State - 71
Kansas State - 67
Baylor - 13
Texas Tech - 43
West Virginia - 33
Kansas - 112
TCU - 31