Essentially repeating the analysis I did for the basketball tourney, I have run the baseball tournament through the superregionals. There it gets a little trickier for my rudimentary analysis with a double elimination setup, so I will likely revisit the analysis after the supers and analyze the CWS itself.
| Reg | Seed | Team | Super | Omaha |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A u s t i n |
1 | Texas | 73.08% | 39.11% |
| 4 | Army | 0.30% | 0.00% | |
| 3 | Boston College | 6.48% | 0.88% | |
| 2 | Texas St. | 20.13% | 6.02% | |
| F t W o r t h |
1 | TCU | 39.39% | 19.82% |
| 4 | Wright St. | 0.10% | 0.00% | |
| 3 | Oregon St. | 37.83% | 22.60% | |
| 2 | Texas A&M | 22.69% | 11.56% | |
| A t l a n t a |
1 | Georgia Tech | 65.48% | 39.40% |
| 4 | Georgia St. | 0.63% | 0.04% | |
| 3 | Southern Miss | 15.80% | 5.76% | |
| 2 | Elon | 18.10% | 7.19% | |
| G a i n e s |
1 | Florida | 72.06% | 39.68% |
| 4 | Bethune-Cookman | 0.77% | 0.03% | |
| 3 | Jacksonville | 3.84% | 0.47% | |
| 2 | Miami (FL) | 23.33% | 7.43% | |
| T e m p e |
1 | Arizona St. | 88.04% | 77.97% |
| 4 | Kent St. | 0.37% | 0.04% | |
| 3 | Cal Poly | 5.08% | 2.00% | |
| 2 | Oral Roberts | 6.51% | 2.74% | |
| C l e m s o n |
1 | Clemson | 45.33% | 7.28% |
| 4 | Tennessee Tech | 0.08% | 0.00% | |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. | 26.16% | 4.55% | |
| 2 | Alabama | 28.43% | 5.43% | |
| G r e e n |
1 | East Carolina | 72.94% | 48.69% |
| 4 | Binghamton | 0.03% | 0.00% | |
| 3 | George Mason | 1.48% | 0.16% | |
| 2 | South Carolina | 25.55% | 12.28% | |
| C h a p e l |
1 | North Carolina | 57.23% | 26.14% |
| 4 | Dartmouth | 0.30% | 0.01% | |
| 3 | Kansas | 20.78% | 5.85% | |
| 2 | Coastal Carolina | 21.68% | 6.87% | |
| F u l l e r |
1 | Cal St.-Fullerton | 86.33% | 78.18% |
| 4 | Utah | 1.35% | 0.35% | |
| 3 | Gonzaga | 6.85% | 3.30% | |
| 2 | Georgia Southern | 5.46% | 2.51% | |
| L o u i s |
1 | Louisville | 31.08% | 3.85% |
| 4 | Indiana | 3.23% | 0.11% | |
| 3 | Vanderbilt | 32.63% | 5.41% | |
| 2 | Middle Tennessee St. | 33.06% | 6.29% | |
| T a l l a |
1 | Florida St. | 56.83% | 17.76% |
| 4 | Marist | 0.02% | 0.00% | |
| 3 | Ohio St. | 3.50% | 0.24% | |
| 2 | Georgia | 39.64% | 11.64% | |
| N o r m a n |
1 | Oklahoma | 65.32% | 52.00% |
| 4 | Wichita St. | 0.91% | 0.13% | |
| 3 | Washington St. | 20.29% | 11.42% | |
| 2 | Arkansas | 13.48% | 6.81% | |
| I r v i n e |
1 | UC-Irvine | 53.92% | 37.39% |
| 4 | Fresno St. | 1.19% | 0.16% | |
| 3 | San Diego St. | 7.63% | 2.66% | |
| 2 | Virginia | 37.27% | 23.13% | |
| O x f o r d |
1 | Mississippi | 61.89% | 26.59% |
| 4 | Monmouth | 0.21% | 0.00% | |
| 3 | Western Kentucky | 15.85% | 3.48% | |
| 2 | Missouri | 22.05% | 6.59% | |
| H o u s t o n |
1 | Rice | 53.26% | 25.04% |
| 4 | Sam Houston St. | 5.04% | 0.80% | |
| 3 | Xavier | 0.36% | 0.01% | |
| 2 | Kansas St. | 41.34% | 18.24% | |
| B a t o n |
1 | LSU | 71.89% | 46.59% |
| 4 | Southern | 0.19% | 0.00% | |
| 3 | Baylor | 20.60% | 7.61% | |
| 2 | Minnesota | 7.31% | 1.70% |
Arizona St. and Fullerton have gift-wrapped roads to the CWS thanks to weak regional pairings for the supers. Louisville is the 3rd-most likely team to advance out of their own regional.