Texas and TAMU had the big jumps in the Sagarin Predictor model that drives this analysis. Texas is now listed as one of the nation's top 3 teams, and would be a .5 point dog to Florida and a .5 point favorite over Bama. TAMU is a solid, middle of the road Big 12 squad, which is much better than they looked three weeks ago.
Texas has the inside track for the Big 12 Championship game, and looks to be a 23 point favorite at BU, a 20 point favorite hosting KU, and a 15 point favorite at TAMU. For comparison, in 2006, going into the last three games, we were 17 point favorites hosting OSU, 15 point favorites at KSU, and 13 point favorites hosting TAMU.
TAMU looks like they will be bowl eligible, needing a collapse against both CU and BU to not be so. BU isn't going to make it, although they could screw up TAMU's season.
The OSU/TT game in two weeks will go a long ways towards deciding their respective bowl fates, and looks to be a very even game.
The OU/NU game is huge. NU looks like the North's strongst team, but will have a hard time winning the North with a loss to OU. However, if OU loses, it will be great because...OU will have lost.
| Texas | 92.62 | Sag | Pts | Odds | |||
| ULM | 11 | 64.53 | -31.59 | W | Expected (sum) | 11.74 | |
| @Wyo | 8 | 59.47 | -29.65 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 7.77 | |
| TT | 3 | 82.24 | -13.88 | W | root odds | 0.93 | |
| UTEP | 12 | 58.99 | -37.13 | W | |||
| CU | 10 | 64.99 | -31.13 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 100.00% | |
| OU | 1 | 87.80 | -4.82 | W | 10 win odds | 2.38% | |
| @Mizzou | 5 | 74.14 | -14.98 | W | 11 win odds | 21.46% | |
| @OSU | 2 | 78.78 | -10.34 | W | 12 win odds | 76.16% | |
| UCF | 9 | 66.15 | -29.97 | 0.97 | |||
| @BU | 7 | 66.47 | -22.65 | 0.95 | |||
| KU | 6 | 75.88 | -20.24 | 0.95 | |||
| @TAMU | 4 | 74.30 | -14.82 | 0.87 | |||
| OU | 87.80 | ||||||
| BYU | 7 | 77.32 | -13.98 | L | Expected (sum) | 7.765 | |
| Idaho St | 12 | 35.93 | -55.37 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 5.765 | |
| Tulsa | 10 | 67.46 | -23.84 | W | root odds | 0.67 | |
| @Mia | 3 | 82.32 | -1.98 | L | |||
| BU | 11 | 66.47 | -24.83 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 98.79% | |
| Texas | 1 | 92.62 | 4.82 | L | 10 win odds | 0.00% | |
| @KU | 5 | 75.88 | -8.42 | W | 11 win odds | 0.00% | |
| KSU | 9 | 71.94 | -19.36 | W | 12 win odds | 0.00% | |
| @NU | 2 | 83.96 | -0.34 | 0.505 | |||
| TAMU | 8 | 74.30 | -17.00 | 0.92 | |||
| @tt | 4 | 82.24 | -2.06 | 0.53 | |||
| OSU | 6 | 78.78 | -12.52 | 0.81 | |||
| OSU | 78.78 | ||||||
| UGA | 7 | 75.52 | -6.76 | W | Expected (sum) | 8.27 | |
| Hou | 6 | 76.51 | -5.77 | L | Exp. B12 rec | 5.27 | |
| Rice | 12 | 47.18 | -35.10 | W | root odds | 0.49 | |
| Gram | 11 | 49.94 | -32.34 | W | |||
| @TAMU | 4 | 74.30 | -0.98 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 100.00% | |
| Mizzou | 8 | 74.14 | -8.14 | W | 10 win odds | 5.77% | |
| @BU | 9 | 66.47 | -8.81 | W | 11 win odds | 0.00% | |
| Texas | 2 | 92.62 | 10.34 | L | 12 win odds | 0.00% | |
| @ISU | 5 | 71.22 | -4.06 | 0.66 | |||
| TT | 3 | 82.24 | -0.04 | 0.5 | |||
| CU | 10 | 64.99 | -17.29 | 0.92 | |||
| @OU | 1 | 87.80 | 12.52 | 0.19 | |||
| TT | 82.24 | ||||||
| ND | 10 | 53.39 | -32.35 | W | Expected (sum) | 7.87 | |
| Rice | 12 | 47.18 | -38.56 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 4.87 | |
| @Texas | 1 | 92.62 | 13.88 | L | root odds | 0.60 | |
| @Hou | 5 | 76.51 | -2.23 | L | |||
| UNM | 11 | 49.06 | -36.68 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 100.00% | |
| KSU | 8 | 71.94 | -13.80 | W | 10 win odds | 0.00% | |
| @NU | 2 | 83.96 | 5.22 | W | 11 win odds | 0.00% | |
| TAMU | 7 | 74.30 | -11.44 | L | 12 win odds | 0.00% | |
| KU | 6 | 75.88 | -9.86 | W | |||
| @OSU | 4 | 78.78 | 0.04 | 0.5 | |||
| OU | 3 | 87.80 | 2.06 | 0.47 | |||
| @BU | 9 | 66.47 | -15.77 | 0.9 | |||
| TAMU | 74.30 | ||||||
| UNM | 12 | 49.06 | -28.74 | W | Expected (sum) | 6.72 | |
| Utah St | 10 | 65.48 | -12.32 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 3.72 | |
| UAB | 11 | 59.60 | -18.20 | W | root odds | 0.28 | |
| Ark | 4 | 79.88 | 5.58 | L | |||
| OSU | 6 | 78.78 | 0.98 | L | Bowl Eligible Odds | 72.74% | |
| @KSU | 5 | 71.94 | 1.14 | L | 10 win odds | 0.00% | |
| @TT | 3 | 82.24 | 11.44 | W | 11 win odds | 0.00% | |
| ISU | 8 | 71.22 | -6.58 | W | 12 win odds | 0 | |
| @CU | 7 | 64.99 | -5.81 | 0.73 | |||
| @OU | 1 | 87.80 | 17.00 | 0.08 | |||
| BU | 9 | 66.47 | -11.33 | 0.78 | |||
| Texas | 2 | 92.62 | 14.82 | 0.13 | |||
| BU | 66.47 | ||||||
| @WF | 7 | 73.11 | 10.14 | W | Expected (sum) | 3.59 | |
| Conn | 10 | 74.08 | 4.11 | L | Exp. B12 rec | 0.59 | |
| NWSt | 12 | 38.09 | -31.88 | W | root odds | 0.19 | |
| Kent St | 11 | 63.71 | -6.26 | W | |||
| @OU | 1 | 87.80 | 24.83 | L | Bowl Eligible Odds | 2.32% | |
| @ISU | 9 | 71.22 | 8.25 | L | 10 win odds | 0.00% | |
| OSU | 8 | 78.78 | 8.81 | L | 11 win odds | 0.00% | |
| NU | 4 | 83.96 | 13.99 | L | 12 win odds | 0.00% | |
| @Mizzou | 6 | 74.14 | 11.17 | 0.22 | |||
| Texas | 2 | 92.62 | 22.65 | 0.05 | |||
| @TAMU | 5 | 74.30 | 11.33 | 0.22 | |||
| TT | 3 | 82.24 | 15.77 | 0.1 |