Not a lot of change for Texas this week, because we were expected to win. TAMU's projections took a hit with their loss (they still project to give Texas its 4th toughest game), and OU needs to win out to reach 8 wins before their bowl. TT/OSU is a big game. I have added a section on the bottom for undefeated teams. TCU is waiting for Texas to stumble (would they stay ahead of an undefeated Cincy?), and BSU hired that PR firm because TCU has supplanted them. I figure the chances of an undefeated team coming out of the SEC at over 70%, given honest officiating, and 100% given reality.
In order, here are the games involving undefeated teams that are most likely to get one beat...
SEC CG (duh)
Cincy @ Pitt
B12 CG
Bama @ Auburn
Texas @ TAMU
Florida at S. Carol.
Cincy hosting WVU
| Texas | 92.81 | Sag | Pts | Odds | |||
| ULM | 9 | 66.14 | -30.17 | W | Expected (sum) | 11.78 | |
| @Wyo | 11 | 55.93 | -33.38 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 7.78 | |
| TT | 3 | 82.24 | -14.07 | W | root odds | 0.93 | |
| UTEP | 12 | 57.54 | -38.77 | W | |||
| CU | 10 | 64.83 | -31.48 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 100.00% | |
| OU | 1 | 87.82 | -4.99 | W | 10 win odds | 1.57% | |
| @Mizzou | 5 | 73.04 | -16.27 | W | 11 win odds | 19.08% | |
| @OSU | 2 | 80.96 | -8.35 | W | 12 win odds | 79.34% | |
| UCF | 8 | 66.21 | -30.10 | W | |||
| @BU | 6 | 68.37 | -20.94 | 0.95 | |||
| KU | 7 | 74.23 | -22.08 | 0.96 | |||
| @TAMU | 4 | 73.64 | -15.67 | 0.87 | |||
| OU | 87.82 | ||||||
| BYU | 5 | 80.28 | -7.54 | L | Expected (sum) | 7.23 | |
| Idaho St | 12 | 37.00 | -54.32 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 5.23 | |
| Tulsa | 11 | 67.82 | -23.50 | W | root odds | 0.72 | |
| @Mia | 3 | 84.01 | -0.31 | L | |||
| BU | 10 | 68.37 | -22.95 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 97.90% | |
| Texas | 1 | 92.81 | 4.99 | L | 6 win odds | 18.65% | |
| @KU | 6 | 74.23 | -10.09 | W | 7 win odds | 43.40% | |
| KSU | 9 | 72.47 | -18.85 | W | 8 win odds | 37.95% | |
| @NU | 2 | 85.15 | 0.83 | L | |||
| TAMU | 8 | 73.64 | -17.68 | 0.93 | |||
| @tt | 4 | 82.24 | -2.08 | 0.53 | |||
| OSU | 7 | 80.96 | -10.36 | 0.77 | |||
| OSU | 80.96 | ||||||
| UGA | 6 | 76.59 | -7.87 | W | Expected (sum) | 8.71 | |
| Hou | 7 | 75.70 | -8.76 | L | Exp. B12 rec | 5.71 | |
| Rice | 11 | 48.99 | -35.47 | W | root odds | 0.49 | |
| Gram | 12 | 46.95 | -37.51 | W | |||
| @TAMU | 4 | 73.64 | -3.82 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 100.00% | |
| Mizzou | 9 | 73.04 | -11.42 | W | 10 win odds | 51.89% | |
| @BU | 8 | 68.37 | -9.09 | W | 9 win odds | 36.53% | |
| Texas | 2 | 92.81 | 8.35 | L | 10 win odds | 11.58% | |
| @ISU | 5 | 68.68 | -8.78 | W | |||
| TT | 3 | 82.24 | -2.22 | 0.53 | |||
| CU | 10 | 64.83 | -19.63 | 0.95 | |||
| @OU | 1 | 87.82 | 10.36 | 0.23 | |||
| TT | 82.24 | ||||||
| ND | 10 | 51.87 | -33.87 | W | Expected (sum) | 7.78 | |
| Rice | 12 | 48.99 | -36.75 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 4.78 | |
| @Texas | 1 | 92.81 | 14.07 | L | root odds | 0.57 | |
| @Hou | 5 | 75.70 | -3.04 | L | |||
| UNM | 11 | 48.99 | -36.75 | W | Bowl Eligible Odds | 100.00% | |
| KSU | 8 | 72.47 | -13.27 | W | 7 win odds | 31.58% | |
| @NU | 2 | 85.15 | 6.41 | W | 8 win odds | 41.93% | |
| TAMU | 7 | 73.64 | -12.10 | L | 9 win odds | 18.56% | |
| KU | 6 | 74.23 | -11.51 | W | |||
| @OSU | 3 | 80.96 | 2.22 | 0.47 | |||
| OU | 4 | 87.82 | 2.08 | 0.47 | |||
| @BU | 9 | 68.37 | -13.87 | 0.84 | |||
| TAMU | 73.64 | ||||||
| UNM | 12 | 48.99 | -28.15 | W | Expected (sum) | 5.96 | |
| Utah St | 10 | 63.74 | -13.40 | W | Exp. B12 rec | 2.96 | |
| UAB | 11 | 60.63 | -16.51 | W | root odds | 0.19 | |
| Ark | 4 | 80.66 | 7.02 | L | |||
| OSU | 6 | 80.96 | 3.82 | L | Bowl Eligible Odds | 76.00% | |
| @KSU | 5 | 72.47 | 2.33 | L | 6 win odds | 37.45% | |
| @TT | 3 | 82.24 | 12.10 | W | 7 win odds | 8.82% | |
| ISU | 8 | 68.68 | -8.46 | W | 8 win odds | 0.69% | |
| @CU | 7 | 64.83 | -5.31 | L | |||
| @OU | 1 | 87.82 | 17.68 | 0.07 | |||
| BU | 9 | 68.37 | -8.77 | 0.76 | |||
| Texas | 2 | 92.81 | 15.67 | 0.13 | |||
| BU | 68.37 | ||||||
| @WF | 7 | 75.25 | 10.38 | W | Expected (sum) | 4.45 | |
| Conn | 10 | 76.16 | 4.29 | L | Exp. B12 rec | 1.45 | |
| NWSt | 12 | 38.09 | -33.78 | W | root odds | 0.12 | |
| Kent St | 11 | 62.38 | -9.49 | W | |||
| @OU | 1 | 87.82 | 22.95 | L | Bowl Eligible Odds | 0.70% | |
| @ISU | 9 | 68.68 | 3.81 | L | 5 win odds | 28.59% | |
| OSU | 8 | 80.96 | 9.09 | L | 6 win odds | 4.06% | |
| NU | 4 | 85.15 | 13.28 | L | 7 win odds | 0.19% | |
| @Mizzou | 6 | 73.04 | 8.17 | W | |||
| Texas | 2 | 92.81 | 20.94 | 0.05 | |||
| @TAMU | 5 | 73.64 | 8.77 | 0.24 | |||
| TT | 3 | 82.24 | 13.87 | 0.16 |
| Texas | 92.81 | Sag | Pts | Odds | |||
| @BU | 68.37 | -20.94 | 0.95 | Undef. | 58.89% | ||
| KU | 74.23 | -22.08 | 0.95 | ||||
| @TAMU | 73.64 | -15.67 | 0.87 | ||||
| B12CG | 85.15 | -7.66 | 0.75 | ||||
| Florida | 93.08 | ||||||
| @SC | 74.20 | -15.38 | 0.87 | Undef. | 40.89% | ||
| FIU | 57.09 | -39.49 | 0.99 | ||||
| FSU | 77.61 | -18.97 | 0.94 | ||||
| SECCG | 91.99 | -1.09 | 0.505 | ||||
| Bama | 91.99 | ||||||
| @MSU | 76.35 | -12.14 | 0.8 | Undef. | 30.58% | ||
| Chatt | 48.28 | -47.21 | 0.99 | ||||
| @Aub | 77.16 | -11.33 | 0.78 | ||||
| SECCG | 93.08 | 1.09 | 0.495 | ||||
| SEC Undef. | 71.47% | ||||||
| Cincy | 86.57 | ||||||
| WVU | 75.50 | -14.57 | 0.83 | Undef. | 40.67% | ||
| Ill | 64.71 | -25.36 | 0.99 | ||||
| @Pitt | 83.42 | 0.35 | 0.495 | ||||
| TCU | 91.20 | ||||||
| Utah | 76.69 | -18.01 | 0.93 | Undef. | 91.15% | ||
| @Wyo | 55.93 | -31.77 | 0.99 | ||||
| UNM | 48.99 | -45.71 | 0.99 | ||||
| BSU | 87.29 | ||||||
| Idaho | 66.20 | -24.59 | 0.99 | Undef. | 92.18% | ||
| @Utah St | 63.74 | -20.05 | 0.95 | ||||
| Nevada | 67.02 | -23.77 | 0.99 | ||||
| NMSU | 46.86 | -43.93 | 0.99 | ||||