College Football Betting: Vegas Odds For 2012 National Championship & Conference Races

by Sailor Ripley on Jun 20, 2025 1:52 PM CDT

Highlights:

Odds to win the 2012-2013 BCS National Championship

USC 3/1

Alabama 11/2

LSU 11/2

Oklahoma 10/1

Florida State 12/1

Texas 28/1

BIG 12 - Odds to Win

Oklahoma 1/1

Texas 4/1

TCU 11/2

West Virginia 11/2

Kansas State 12/1

Odds to win the 2012-2013 BCS National Championship

USC 3/1

Alabama 11/2

LSU 11/2

Oklahoma 10/1

Florida State 12/1

Oregon 12/1

Georgia 14/1

Arkansas 20/1

Michigan 20/1

Notre Dame 28/1

Texas 28/1

Virginia Tech 30/1

West Virginia 30/1

South Carolina 30/1

Clemson 33/1

Nebraska 40/1

Wisconsin 40/1

Florida 50/1

TCU 50/1

Auburn 60/1

Michigan State 60/1

Boise State 65/1

Kansas State 75/1

Miami (Florida) 75/1

Oklahoma State 80/1

Mississippi State 100/1

Missouri 100/1

Texas A&M 100/1

Tennessee 125/1

Cincinnati 150/1

Iowa 150/1

Louisville 150/1

Penn State 150/1

Arizona 200/1

Boston College 200/1

BYU 200/1

California 200/1

Georgia Tech 200/1

Pittsburgh 200/1

Stanford 200/1

UCLA 200/1

Washington 200/1

NC State 250/1

South Florida 250/1

UCLA 250/1

Oregon State 300/1

Conference Odds

ACC - Odds to Win

Florida State 1/1

Virginia Tech 3/1

Clemson 5/1

Miami (Florida) 9/1

Georgia Tech 15/1

North Carolina 15/1

Virginia 18/1

NC State 20/1

Wake Forest 35/1

Boston College 50/1

Duke 100/1

Maryland 100/1

ACC Atlantic Division - Odds to Win

Florida State 1/2

Clemson 11/4

NC State 9/1

Wake Forest 16/1

Boston College 22/1

Maryland 30/1

ACC Coastal Division - Odds to Win

Virginia Tech 10/11

Miami (Florida) 9/2

North Carolina 11/2

Georgia Tech 6/1

Virginia 13/2

Duke 30/1

BIG 12 - Odds to Win

Oklahoma 1/1

Texas 4/1

TCU 11/2

West Virginia 11/2

Kansas State 12/1

Oklahoma State 22/1

Texas Tech 30/1

Baylor 40/1

Iowa State 65/1

Kansas 100/1

Big East - Odds to Win

Louisville 9/4

South Florida 7/2

Cincinnati 5/2

Pittsburgh 13/2

Rutgers 13/2

Syracuse 20/1

Temple 20/1

Connecticut 25/1

Big Ten - Odds to Win

Michigan 2/1

Wisconsin 5/2

Nebraska 7/2

Michigan State 15/2

Penn State 12/1

Illinois 20/1

Iowa 20/1

Northwestern 35/1

Purdue 50/1

Indiana 65/1

Minnesota 100/1

Big Ten - Leaders Division Winner (Without Ohio State)

Wisconsin 1/2

Penn State 3/1

Illinois 15/2

Purdue 10/1

Indiana 15/1

Big Ten - Legends Division Winner

Michigan 11/10

Nebraska 9/4

Michigan State 4/1

Iowa 8/1

Northwestern 12/1

Minnesota 40/1

PAC 12 - Odds to Win

USC 5/8

Oregon 2/1

Washington 12/1

California 18/1

Stanford 25/1

Arizona 35/1

Utah 35/1

UCLA 40/1

Arizona State 50/1

Washington State 50/1

Oregon State 60/1

Colorado 100/1

PAC 12 - North Division Winner

Oregon 2/5

Washington 5/1

California 17/2

Stanford 10/1

Washington State 15/1

Oregon State 22/1

PAC 12 - South Division Winner

USC 1/6

Arizona 10/1

Utah 10/1

UCLA 15/1

Arizona State 18/1

Colorado 30/1

SEC - Odds to Win

Alabama 11/5

LSU 11/5

Georgia 11/2

Arkansas 7/1

South Carolina 10/1

Florida 12/1

Auburn 22/1

Mississippi State 30/1

Missouri 35/1

Tennessee 35/1

Texas A&M 40/1

Vanderbilt 60/1

Kentucky 100/1

Mississippi 100/1

SEC - East Division Winner

Georgia 17/10

South Carolina 5/2

Florida 3/1

Missouri 11/1

Tennessee 11/1

Vanderbilt 16/1

Kentucky 25/1

SEC - West Division Winner

Alabama 8/5

LSU 8/5

Arkansas 4/1

Auburn 12/1

Mississippi State 15/1

Texas A&M 20/1

Mississippi 50/1

Be excellent to each other.

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Comments

Best values

There are no values in a preseason MNC bet, but the best relative values for conference races (i.e. best bets, not pure prediction) strike me thusly:

ACC - Clemson, UNC, Georgia Tech

Big East - Louisville, Pitt

Big 10 - Michigan, Michigan St.

Big 12 - Texas

Pac 12 - I see no real value play. Stanford?

SEC - Georgia, South Carolina, Florida

by Scipio Tex on Jun 20, 2025 2:09 PM CDT reply actions

West Virginia

also looks like a pretty decent value to me to win the Big 12.

I think Stanford is definitely the most attractive value pick in the Pac-12.

"If God dwells inside us like some people say, I sure hope He likes enchiladas, because that's what He's getting."

by RedmondLonghorn on Jun 20, 2025 2:52 PM CDT up reply actions

there is no value

in any of these lines. Sum totals all equal 130 or better. These are always a scam

by codaxx on Jun 20, 2025 3:07 PM CDT up reply actions

"relative values"

by Scipio Tex on Jun 20, 2025 4:18 PM CDT up reply actions

Not sure I'm sold on WVU's chances

TCU was my dark horse, but they fucked it up.

by Scipio Tex on Jun 20, 2025 4:19 PM CDT up reply actions

shame you cant sell odds

tcu is too high, so is Bama

by codaxx on Jun 20, 2025 2:09 PM CDT reply actions

"Without Ohio State"?

Guess they’re ineligible. Missed that.

Damn shame. (Chuckles silently)

by edsp on Jun 20, 2025 2:30 PM CDT reply actions

A&M; has the same odds of winning the MNC

as Kansas has of winning the B12. This strikes me as a perfectly rational, organic non-coincidence.

by HawkHorn on Jun 20, 2025 2:49 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs

According to the lines

Texas A&M - better than Ole Miss! I can’t wait for the bumper stickers.

Now "Longhorn in Mexico".

by Longhorn in Canada on Jun 20, 2025 2:55 PM CDT reply actions

Old vs. New Big 12 teams

Odds of winning MNC:

Old teams
Nebraska 40/1
Missouri 100/1
Texas A&M 100/1
Colorado - something worse than 300/1

New teams
West Virginia 30/1
TCU 50/1

Hmmmmm…….

by Horncasting on Jun 20, 2025 2:58 PM CDT reply actions

I get what you're saying,

but to be fair, all those teams have to play one extra game in a conference championship so that often decreases the odds. Plus, according to this, the Big 12 only has 6 teams with 300/1 odds or better of winning the MNC, therefore it is an easier road in theory, with the exception of Nebraska as the Big 10 also only has 6 teams with odds.

www.oreadboomkings.fantake.com

by Triston27 on Jun 20, 2025 4:23 PM CDT up reply actions

To also be fair, the SEC only plays 8 confernce games. This leads to easier non con scheduling. For instance, the AGs will be playing 2 D2 opponents. If a team wins to the SEC on the way to the MNC, they will only have played 9 conference games.

by UT_BKC on Jun 20, 2025 4:47 PM CDT up reply actions

betting versus probability

The betting odds give a pretty hefty house take. If the odds are added up, there’s 163 percent probability that there will be a champion. Normalizing, USC has a 20 percent probability and UT has a 2 percent probability.

by hydromod on Jun 20, 2025 3:06 PM CDT reply actions

Yeah

These are always terrible values. But fun nonetheless. And an interesting insight into popular perception.

by Scipio Tex on Jun 20, 2025 4:20 PM CDT up reply actions

TCU is only slightly less likely than the Longhorns to win the Big 12, and more so than the K-State Baron Samedi Voodoo cats, after a great big giant clusterfuck of an offseason? Probably unlikely.

by Dreadful on Jun 20, 2025 3:47 PM CDT reply actions