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Thunder Vs. Mavericks: Check Ball, Run That Back

After a disjointed "condensed" regular season and a rough batch of opening-round games on Saturday overshadowed by Derrick Rose's devastating knee injury, the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder reminded basketball fans of how great the NBA can be with an exhilarating 99-98 shootout in Game 1.

Now, the fun part really begins. An NBA playoff series is all about adjustments, click past the jump for some of the decisions that will face Scott Brooks and Rick Carlisle ...

Star-divide

1) The center position.

Brendan Haywood and Kendrick Perkins are fairly similar players: surly 260+ brick walls with limited lateral quickness and almost no offensive skill. They're extremely important in a series against Marc Gasol or Andrew Bynum; they're pretty much useless in this one. A rough analogy: having an elite CB in a match-up with a triple option team.

This is part of what makes Memphis and LA so dangerous: their big men severely impede the other team's roster flexibility.

If I were Rick Carlisle, I'd have Brandan Wright in the game for 35+ minutes a night in this series. He's a much better shot-blocker and offensive threat than either Mahinmi or Haywood.

Brooks was playing Perkins on Dirk in Game 1, which is crazy to me. Dirk had a few turnovers, but he's going to figure out a guy who can't move his feet or contest his shot pretty quickly.

2) The 5th Thunder on the floor

We know that Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, Serge Ibaka and James Harden will be on the floor in crunch-time. If Brooks doesn't want Ibaka on Dirk because it prevents him from being a help-side defender, the logical choice is Nick Collison, who gives them more skill and quickness on the interior than Perkins.

A real wild-card would be putting Daequan Cook out there for his shooting, which would force Kevin Durant into defending Dirk. The Thunder had real success with Eric Maynor in this unit last season; his loss will be felt in this series.

3) Derek Fisher

This season, Fisher is averaging 5 points and 2 assists on 37% shooting. He has a PER of 5.9. There's nothing deceiving about those stats; he's really that bad. He's a 37-year old guard who can't score, shoot, defend or make plays for others. Every minute he is on the floor is a huge win for Dallas and a pretty big blow to Brooks' reputation.

4) Jason Kidd

Would any Dallas fan care to argue that he's a more valuable player than Delonte West? I'm honestly curious as to how you can watch those two play and think Kidd should be the one on the floor in crunch-time.

Neither team had an ideal rotation for this series in Game 1; now we'll see which coach blinks first.

Before the series started, I said Thunder in 7, which I'll stick with. However, this should be a lot closer than the Thunder in 5 predictions that were sweeping around the NBA blogosphere. It's definitely close enough where Brooks doing things like sticking with Perkins and Fisher could cost them the series.

I think home-court as well as the Harden/Terry matchup will give Oklahoma City the edge, but the real story is going to be Dirk vs. Durant. That's two of the most indefensible scorers in the NBA going toe-to-toe, and I expect at least one or two Larry Bird vs. Dominique Wilkins type shoot-outs in this series.

Check ball. This should be fun.

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Comments

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Carlisle vs Brooks is a pretty ridiculous mismatch...

I want to feel good about OKC taking the series, but I’m in no way confident because of the coaching. I think I like the thought of them going small in crunch time - I’d really like it if Cook were a better shooter. What else would they have to give up to turn him into my man Brandon Rush? Massive defensive upgrade and a better outstide stroke.

by hiphopopotamus on Apr 30, 2025 8:32 AM CDT reply actions  

Zone

How much do you think Dallas’ ability to play zone is a particular matchup problem for the Thunder who thrive on having better athleticism than their opponent on a nightly basis?
That plus the presence of a guy like Dirk makes it feel like one of those international games where the Europeans would beat the Americans.

by Nickel Rover on Apr 30, 2025 8:44 AM CDT reply actions  

Clippers may do the Thunder and Spurs a favor

And take Memphis out of the equation.

by Horncasting on Apr 30, 2025 9:53 AM CDT reply actions  

Durant's late game clutchiness was a lot of fun

I’m not sure if the close result was indicative of the Mavs giving OKC their best shot and it not being good enough or if it means every game is going to be a coin flip. I do know that Carlisle vs Brooks is Ali vs Butterbean.

And hell yes I play a small line-up in crunch time with Daequan Cook. If his 3s are falling, OKC can’t really be defended. If they’re not, you pull him and run out Collison. Having Perkins out there in crunch time is one of my many grievances against Brooks.

I have a different perspective on Derek Fisher insofar as I believe he should be on the roster, but not so much in the games. I want him on the bench offering his maturity and perspective. I don’t want him on the court - I’d rather run Ivey out there.

by Scipio Tex on Apr 30, 2025 1:47 PM CDT reply actions  

2-0 Thunder

But both games could have gone either way. I was treated to the superb genius of Brooks having Perkins try to cover Dirk in Game 2. Is there a word for coaching malpractice?

by Scipio Tex on May 1, 2025 10:48 AM CDT reply actions  


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