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Linsanity Lands in Houston

Score.

Hey, remember when Daryl Morey tweeted about how he regretted letting go of Jeremy Lin? Apparently you can right past wrongs...and it just takes a 3000% salary raise to do it! I wish my former employers had that same attitude.

With the New York Knicks making the ridiculous decision ($) that bringing on the aging/bloated/inebriated corpses of Marcus Camby, Raymond Felton, and Jason Kidd were the right moves, the Houston Rockets have finally executed an off-season transaction that the fanbase can, well, kinda, sorta get behind.

In a vacuum, the Lin signing makes little sense. Kyle Lowry, since traded to Toronto, was a better player, signed for less money and less years. Unrestricted free agent Goran Dragic, since signed with Phoenix, was a more known commodity and flourished in Kevin McHale's offense, and inked for comparable dollars to Lin. And if the Rockets were truly committed to blowing things up, why not just turn the reins over to a replacement level guy like the already rostered Shaun Livingston?

But in the real world, I love the move. And here's why.

Star-divide

LIN AS A MARKETING TOOL

This one is fairly obvious. In the US, the Rockets are just another middling mid-market team. But in Asia, their brand is right up there with the winning tradition of the Lakers, the global reach of the Knicks, and the legacy of Jordan's Bulls. Having mined the Far East movement for years with Yao Ming, owner Les Alexander just added another money-making machine to his operation.

As an Asian-American, I know I'm jazzed about the addition of Lin to my team. I've got a whole Facebook feed to prove others are too. But I am curious to know what the sentiment is from the fanbase at large--judging from Houston sports talk radio the past few weeks, general responses range from indifferent to negative. Of course, some of these fans also think it makes no sense to trade for a top-five player like Howard, either. Suffice to say I can't be friends with those callers.

Regardless of public opinion, the bottom line is that Lin moves the needle. He can and will generate massive advertising and merchandise dollars. And if you pragmatically believe that sports business is more than just about on-field wins, then the Lin signing is nothing less than a massive success for the Rockets front office. Quoting Grantland's Jay Caspian Kang:

Does it seem weird to anyone else that the one team willing to take on Lin's now-huge salary is the one team that has direct knowledge of just how much money an Asian star player can bring a franchise via international marketing?

I'm just asking.

LIN AS A BASKETBALL PLAYER

If there is one position above all others where Morey has shown proficiency in talent evaluation, it's at point guard. Since taking over the reins as GM, Morey has drafted Aaron Brooks with a late first, fleeced Memphis for Lowry and Phoenix for Dragic, and made the correct decisions to trade Brooks (for Dragic, natch) and match Lowry's restricted offer sheet.

By the way, it's worth mentioning that the Rockets really liked Lin last summer. The front office just couldn't justify keeping a non-rostered player at the expense of the equally good Dragic, who had a guaranteed contract.

The big difference between a 23 year-old Lin and 26 year-olds Lowry and Dragic is, of course, that "P" word. At this point, Lowry and Dragic are pretty much known commodities. Both are serviceable point guards in a league replete with All-Star talent at the 1. Meanwhile, the cosmic Lin is chock full of Potential.

On a team that is currently going nowhere fast, that's gold. The Rockets' recent transactions (amnestying Luis Scola, trading Lowry and Samuel Dalembert, letting Dragic walk) leads me to believe that Alexander is finally allowing Morey to jump off the mediocrity treadmill. Simply, that means: go big or go young.

If the Rockets are truly committed to tanking for a year or two, it makes sense to play young players with potential and see if you already have a big fish on your team. Lin and Rockets hopeful Omer Asik both fit that bill, and maybe one of Houston's recent mid-round firsts like Royce White blossoms. If not, well, here's to favorable ping pong balls.

LIN AS A BARGAINING CHIP

Efforts by Morey to land either Dwight Howard or Andrew Bynum this off-season have thus far been fruitless. Truly, it seems that every year, Morey faces and fails the Sisyphean task of reeling in a much-needed superstar.

The bottom line is that Houston has not been perceived as an attractive NBA destination. Sure, Morey offers zero state taxes, the John Lucas offseason connection, and oodles of humidity. That's been such a motivator that borderline All-Stars playing for Houston like Kevin Martin have just...stopped trying! It feels like there is All-Star repellent sprayed fully around Beltway 8.

Of course, if Howard started to think about the dollars or sense, he would realize that playing with Lin could be a financial windfall.

And you know what, if Lin is as good as Morey thinks he can be, a Rockets team led by Howard (or Bynum) and flanked by Lin could be the foundation to something great. I'd bet my bottom dollar that Morey is a top 5 general manager in the NBA, and if he could just cover his superstar shortage, the Rockets would be on the verge of something special. (By the way, how apoplectic must New York fans be, knowing that James Dolan and Mikhail Prokhorov are running their superstar-led teams into the ground?)

Is Lin the definitive answer to "how can we put you with an NBA Championship trophy today?" No, but I do believe that he can be a star on the basketball court. And in the meantime, he just made the Rockets much more entertaining and topically relevant. At the very least, Morey has already half-won.

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Comments

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This

Is a great read. Interesting perspective, insightful analysis, and great writing. Personally, I think the Rockets won’t get anyone else, and we will be betting on the “favorable lotto balls” option.

I don’t comment much anymore, but just wanted to say this was really good stuff.

Hook’em

"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Jul 18, 2025 9:19 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

As a Rockets fan

I find them 1000x more interesting this week than I have since 2009.

I’m even fine with not landing Howard or Bynum. Lin, the rookies, and the Toronto #1 from the Lowry deal are an interesting enough reshuffling of the deck to stand for me as an improvement over the status quo.

For the first time in a very long time, I don’t feel like I know before the season starts the exact, boring, unlovable way it’s going to pay out.

We’re finally getting the next chapter started.

by Young Williams on Jul 18, 2025 9:49 AM CDT reply actions  

What is the likely spot

That Toronto pick will end up? Is it “protected” in ways I don’t usually understand? And will Toronto be good enough to push that pick down to late in the first?

"A lot of people look for the easy way to do anything, in swimming there is no easy way." - Eddie Reese

by SwimTexas on Jul 18, 2025 1:51 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

its guaranteed lottery protected

In other words if the pick isn’t in the lottery we don’t get it until next year. I think it does this for five years. No need for another 15-30 draft pick when its shown 2nd round picks have more value on average than those.

Karate? The Dane Cook of martial arts?

by Rocket94 on Jul 18, 2025 3:23 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

These have been my thoughts too.

I like what the Rockets are doing. Don’t try to win 40 games a year; try to win 55 or, failing that, try to win 25. They’re going all-in on Howard (or Bynum) and if they don’t get him, they’re going to be terrible for a couple of years, but they’ll get some picks and rebuild from there (something they haven’t been able to do since Yao was drafted). One situation would obviously be preferable to the other, but Plan B isn’t a bad one. The worst thing you can be in the NBA is mediocre (especially when you’re not a popular free agent destination).

And, in case the Rockets do end up having to tank the next few years, at least you have a ticket seller and revenue generator in Lin, who will, if nothing else, excite the asian-american community in Houston in a way that I don’t even think Yao did (because of the sense among young asian-americans born in the US that he’s one of them). And hell, Lin’s 23 years old and showed flashes last year. Maybe he develops into a legitimate top-20 player. Who knows? All of this while not killing the cap in case the Rockets do reel in a big star.

I like the move.

now (periodically) tweeting @BZatBON

by billyzane on Jul 18, 2025 10:07 AM CDT reply actions  

You are far, far more optimistic to me about the direction of the Rockets.

Unless Orlando panics the only way to get Howard is Houston gives up half their roster, takes on a crap load of bad contracts and worse attitudes, and then has to convince Dwight he didn’t leave Orlando for basically the same weather, same talent, and refineries instead of the Mouse.

I am tired of reading and hearing about the genius of Morey and drafting players who can play multiple positions with high basketball IQ’s only to see them get traded two years later so the cycle can be repeated.

Morey has gone all in and if Lin is a bust or he doesn’t land Howard or Bynum he will be gone in a year or two. He has avoided bad contracts and if Lin is the guy who couldn’t make Golden State a year ago instead of the guy who was great for a month last year he way overpaid.

Finally, I don’t give a shit about Rocket marketing overseas. Tell me when t-shirt and jersey sales overseas count in the standings.

by davey o'brien on Jul 18, 2025 11:10 AM CDT reply actions  

Finally, I don’t give a shit about Rocket marketing overseas. Tell me when t-shirt and jersey sales overseas count in the standings.

It gives the Rockets the ability to better withstand luxury tax hits, for one. Then there’s signing bonuses. That’s directly related to the competitiveness of the team.

by Scipio Tex on Jul 18, 2025 11:18 AM CDT up reply actions  

True if you have someone to spend the money on in the first place and Morey

has yet to show he has the ability to convince any big player that he can build a winning team.

Everyone wants to point to the problems of selling Houston, but remember that multiple NBA players live here in the off-season so I don’t buy that as the primary problem. I do buy that Morey is hung-up on being the smartest guy in the room and knowing valuing the individual as much as his system of valuing players.

Houston sold a shit load of jerseys and t-shirts with Yao and Steve Francis, but I don’t seem to remember them willing to freely spend the money as you suggest. What I saw was an owner unwilling to let the team drop so they could rebuild and a GM who continues to trot out 6-8 forwards who supposedly can play three positions, but really aren’t good at any one of them.

by davey o'brien on Jul 18, 2025 11:23 AM CDT up reply actions  

Morey's ability to build a winning team

with spare parts and duct tape is already settled. He can. I think the question is whether he can build a great team.

by Scipio Tex on Jul 18, 2025 11:26 AM CDT up reply actions  

Guess we see it differently as Houston has been 8 games above .500

and not made the play-offs over the past three years. They aren’t as bad as some teams in the East, but right now if they don’t land Howard or Bynum they are looking like a team that is the worst in their division. You simply can not expect to be competitive in the NBA with that many rookies and first time NBA players and their two big off-season acquisitions to date look to be a guy with a year in the D-league and a very good month and a back-up center who makes DeAndre Jordan look explosive on the offensive end of the floor.

Morey has shown he can keep a team competitive, but he has not shown that he can pull the strings to build a winning team in the only area that truly matters, the play-offs.

by davey o'brien on Jul 18, 2025 11:39 AM CDT up reply actions  

Linsanity is doing the same thing over and over....

Morey took over in 2007, ate a shit sandwich with Yao’s health, and Houston should have become a 25-30 win team. He made the best of it. By not tanking purposefully and getting value from castaways, he also trapped himself in the NBA’s middle class. Any move has to be evaluated vs. its options. Either the Rockets stay what they are - which you’re not happy with - or they do something else - which you’re not happy with. The common theme is your unhappiness.

by Scipio Tex on Jul 18, 2025 11:55 AM CDT up reply actions  

No one disagrees that the Rockets need to change what they have been doing

over the past few years.

Lowery and McHale get into a pissing match and they ship him off for picks. Great except that they fucked up the negotiations with the other point guard and now overpay for Lin based upon his body of work.

I just don’t have confidence in his ability to do anymore that put together a group of guys who are competitive and I go back again that money over the past few years has not been the issue for the Rockets so why doesn’t anyone want to play for a team in a town many of these guys live in the off-season?

by davey o'brien on Jul 18, 2025 12:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Here is my frame of reference on this and then I am done with it.

Since Morey has come to Houston there is a continuing loop involving player acquisitions.

We hear about how Player X has a high basketball IQ, long, can play multiple positions on the floor, and to date he has yet to really hit on a player.

Aaron Brooks was nice, but really didn’t fit once Adleman left Houston. The rest have pretty much been role players and the two lottery picks he has made basically have given the Rockets what they got out of second round pick Chandler Parsons.

It is pretty much acknowledged that outside the early, early rounds of the NBA draft everything is pretty much a crap shoot which everyone has to deal with in the league. That means you either get better by free agency or suck and hope for the best in the lottery.

Houston took the first approach, but we have again been treated to the same cycle of trade guys when it is time their first contract comes up, get picks which “Houston can leverage in the future” and stash away cash for that big free agent signing. If I hear or read one more time about Houston making a low risk high ceiling decision I might puke because that is the number two tag-line to Morey’s time in Houston paired with " high basketball IQ who can play multiple spots."

I would much rather hear Morey saying he is going all in than the loop we continue to hear in Houston and all of this only works if they can land that one great player. He hasn’t shown he can woo anyone so I guess there is hoping for the Toronto pick.

by davey o'brien on Jul 18, 2025 12:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

2009-10
Morey took over in 2007, ate a shit sandwich with Yao’s health, and Houston should have become a 25-30 win team. He made the best of it. By not tanking purposefully and getting value from castaways, he also trapped himself in the NBA’s middle class.

In retrospect, Morey’s greatest failure as a GM was probably not tanking the 2009-10 season. At the time, it was reasonably expected that Yao could come back from surgery and still be a factor, and McGrady set to come off the books at the end of the year. Depending on the luck of the lottery, they could have had John Wall, Derrick Favors, DeMarcus Cousins, or Greg Monroe—all worthwhile building blocks.

by jc25 on Jul 18, 2025 1:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

It's only Morey's failure,

If it was his option to begin with.

I don’t think Leslie was okay with that at all.

Not saying DM can do no wrong, but it’s impossible to judge without knowing exactly what his boss is instructing him to do.

by Young Williams on Jul 18, 2025 3:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

Tell me when t-shirt and jersey sales overseas count in the standings.

The whole point of a professional team is to make money for its owner.

Winning games is the main avenue towards profitability as it leads to ticket and merchandise sales.

But its not the only avenue. Yao proved that for Houston. Lin will see if it can carry over without great play. Tebow’s been selling merchandise since before his first wobbly NFL bounce-pass left his fingers.

by CMDR on Jul 18, 2025 11:43 AM CDT up reply actions  

How many magazine covers did he make and jerseys did he sell

prior to his one month run? How much media attention do you think ESPN gives him in Houston versus NY?

Yao was a huge presence in China both literally and figuratively. The Chinesse government ran his ass into the ground by not letting him have summers off so he could play for that horrible national team of theirs prior to and in the Olympics.

How many people in China knew who Lin was a year ago and will still buy his garb in a year if he is a bust. Yao was an icon there before he set foot in Houston. Right now we don’t know if Lin is legit or pyrite.

Les can do what he wants with the team. The only saving grace for the Rockets in this town is how bad Drayton ran the Astros into the ground and football hasn’t started yet.

by davey o'brien on Jul 18, 2025 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yao created the brand, Lin just has to sustain it.

Yao had to be as good and as big a deal as he was to create the Rockets brand in China and get the merchandise onto the racks. And getting the Rockets to change their logo to a more Chinese friendly one.

Lin just has to have enough of a profile to change the name on the back of the jerseys that have already been on the racks for years.

by CMDR on Jul 18, 2025 11:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

Not saying it will definitely work, but there’s a reason the connection is on everyone’s minds.

by CMDR on Jul 18, 2025 11:58 AM CDT up reply actions  

All fine and good, but until Les starts handing out money to the fans in Houston

or this influx of cash gets re-invested back into players I will say it again the only thing that matters is wins and I mean wins in the play-offs when you are talking about the NBA.

by davey o'brien on Jul 18, 2025 12:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

you could probably show me some stats...

to counter this but if you’re leading with what a great marketing tool he is he probably isn’t the answer at anything for this team. and as far as potential being a strong suit…i think we’ve seen the ceiling and that it’s unsustainable. he’s not as good as lowry and probably not dragic. as a basketball move it’s borderline terrible. as far as selling tshirts or whatever…i guess i’m glad the rockets are good at that?

by mattw on Jul 18, 2025 11:17 AM CDT reply actions  

All stats regarding Lin are small sample size...

…part of what makes Morey’s prediction game so frustrating.

here’s an interesting one, though:

Per 36 Minutes Last Season (Pts/Ast)
Jeremy Lin 19.6/8.3
Kyle Lowry 16.0/7.4
Goran Dragic 15.9/7.2

by jc25 on Jul 18, 2025 1:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

Howard is a cancer and I hope we don’t get him.

Lin I’m indifferent on. He only played about 30 games, turned the ball over at a high clip, and for all the talk of the great turn around they had (61.5% win during that period), they only won 43% of their games against teams with winning records. He will make the rockets a lot of money (yay?…), and he is probably the perfect pg to lead the rockets to a lottery pick. I’m sure he’ll be exciting to watch.

by UT_BKC on Jul 18, 2025 11:17 AM CDT reply actions  

Is winning 43% of your games against winning teams good or bad? It seems logical that most teams would have worse than a .500 record against. 500+ teams.

When people were shooting down VY’s career winning percentage by citing his slightly below .500 record against .500+ teams, they were ignorant of the fact that his record against winning teams was actually on par with most all-time greats.

I don’t know if that’s the case here, but without context, 43% sounds pretty good to me.

by feedbag on Jul 18, 2025 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

There were 17 teams (inclding the knicks) with records better than 500. Six of them had worse records than the Knicks against top teams, and 3 of them had worse overall records in Dallas, Phoenix, and Utah. Orlando was another and they had 1 more win. Philly was a bit of an outlier finishing so low but doing well against top teams. Essentially, that 43% woudl put them at 7 out of 17.

by UT_BKC on Jul 18, 2025 2:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

Great Read

Agree on all points. The negativity on the Houston radio airwaves is unbelievable. You’d think this team was close to winning a championship and this move has killed all chances. Acting like they’ve given him a long-term deal when in reality it’s minimal with huge POTENTIAL gains.

And if Howard (or any member of his insane clown posse) knew how huge Lin’s international appeal could be for his career (just look at how Yao’s influence affected Stevie Franchise and T-Mac), he’d relish the chance to come to Houston.

by MR_HORNS on Jul 18, 2025 11:28 AM CDT reply actions  

How exactly is the overseas money divvied up in the NBA, especially in terms of jersey sales and stuff like that? I’d be surprised if the other owners agreed to a system that would give teams like the Lakers and the Heat more of an advantage.

by tjarks on Jul 18, 2025 12:29 PM CDT reply actions  

the benefit to the Rockets

is selling superstars on coming to Houston to sell their personal brand. “Dwight, come to Houston and you can sell billions of sneakers and jerseys in China, raising your sponsorship value.”

It would be impossible, through revenue sharing, to eliminate every benefit Houston would draw from this. As it is, I don’t know how they split up the overseas monies.

by Nickel Rover on Jul 18, 2025 12:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

I get the negativity,

because you have to view it in the context of losing Dragic and Lowry. Regardless of what other moves the Rockets made, it’s impossible to feel that the point guard position hasn’t been weakened. The Rockets had two NBA starter-quality point guards, and managed to lose both. If it weren’t for the moronic moves the Knicks made, they’d have matched the contract and who knows who we’d be stuck with.

So from that stance, I’m with Davey in that I’m sick of hearing about Morey’s genius, the accumulation of tradeable assets, and 3 position players.

That being said, I’m not DOWN on Lin, I just view it as a downgrade from where we were, and it adds at least the potential of an additional roster spot that may need to be upgraded before the Rockets can return to relevance.

by TexanNick on Jul 18, 2025 1:32 PM CDT reply actions  

You need to take the long view with the Rockets

If this were a team ready to compete for a championship this year, then yeah, I’d say that sacrificing Dragic/Lowry to get Lin is a bad basketball move. But this isn’t a “tweak the roster to get over the hump” era for the Rockets. They’ve been doing that for a couple of years, and they’re doing remarkably well considering the lack of anyone remotely resembling a franchise player, but they’re not going to be a championship-caliber team with any of those three if they don’t sign a franchise player.

So the new strategy appears to be go all in on either a superstar or a very high lottery pick and then build a team of quality component parts around that person (the latter of which is something I think we’ve seen that Morey can do quite well). The thinking with Lin seems to be that he would complement Howard quite well with his pick and roll / drive and dish game (see, e.g., what he did for Tyson Chandler last year). And if the Rockets don’t get Howard, then at the very least you have a popular player who will drive revenue during the down years so that Alexander isn’t hesitant to spend money once the team gets back on its feet. And his contract, while it would have been bad for the Knicks, really isn’t that bad for the Rockets, especially considering Lin’s potential upside.

now (periodically) tweeting @BZatBON

by billyzane on Jul 18, 2025 1:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

agreed

from a basketball perspective, Lin is an attractive partner for Howard.

You’d think Lowry and Dragic had burned down Rome the way some people regard this move. Granted he didn’t play an entire season, but Lin was comparable to both of them and is 3 years younger.

Easy decision for Houston.

by Nickel Rover on Jul 18, 2025 2:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

BZ

It’s a move I understand, even if it didn’t thrill me. That said, I probably didn’t put enough emphasis on the fact that I LIKE Lin.

I understand taking the long view, and I share it. I’ve been advocating abandoning the mediocrity treadmill (great phrase) for some time, and whatever finally convinced Morey/Alexander to pursue that path, well, thank God.

by TexanNick on Jul 18, 2025 2:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

great read

The biggest thing is Lin is 23, a pg who realistically can average 15 and 7 with less usage. Although in the Rockets offense he should average more. He’s young enough to grow with the Rookies and good enough to.play beside someone like a Dwight Howard. This just gives morey flexibility for years to come while also fattening Les’s pockets.

Karate? The Dane Cook of martial arts?

by Rocket94 on Jul 18, 2025 3:35 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Not sure what to make of Lin's turnover problem

It is hard to know if this is the effect of him having to pound the ball so much in D’Antoni’s offense (Steve Nash always had high turnover rates as well), or if something more is going on.

I am on Twitter @jeffchaley
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by Reggieball on Jul 20, 2025 5:45 AM CDT reply actions  


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