Texas Basketball: 3 Down (and Out), 3 To Go
Texas is currently halfway through its brutal 6 game stretch. In my "Murderer's Row" preview, I posited that 3-3 was an attainable goal. Well, so much for that optimism. Three games in, and the young Horns have notched three losses. Well, a 3-3 split is still in arm's reach. It's just a really, really, Mr. Fantastic-like long arm.
vs. Iowa State (Tue Jan 24, 8:00p, LHN)
Texas fans who hate continued dominance from the Bill Snyder Junior College Family Tree may end up despising the Cyclones. Desperate for a program that mattered, Iowa State hired an alum with no previous coaching experience in Fred Hoiberg, who saw his easiest path to success paved with transfers. Enter a quartet of flameouts: Royce White (Minnesota), Chris Allen (Michigan State), Chris Babb (Penn State) and Anthony Booker (Southern Illinois). Oh, you may have heard of them, all right. In Iowa State's win over Texas, they combined for 55 of ISU's 77 points.
The Cyclones currently sport a 4-2 conference record and are 14-5 overall. Thing is, they're just not that good. ISU has no notable non-conference wins, and their victory against Texas is the only noteworthy win. But can the Cyclones come into Austin and beat the Horns? Abso-friggin'-lutely.
Sophomore Royce White leads the team in practically every per minute category (13.3 PPG, 9.3 RPB, 4.5 APG, 1.2 SPG, 1.2 BPG, 3.7 TPG). Against Texas, he got to the line 17 times and luckily sank only 8 of those. White's a matchup nightmare for Texas but the Horns' big men should be flying high after limiting KU's Thomas Robinson on Saturday. Fellow bigs Melvin Ejim and Anthony Booker look like JAGs, but so do Texas' big men most times.
Chris Allen is a scoring-inclined point guard that can't really shoot. It also helps that he's not a good passer. I'm fairly certain that Michigan St. is happier with their Keith Appling-Travis Trice PG duo. Allen won't hesitate to shoot the 3, and neither will his backcourt mates Scott Christopherson, Royce Babb, and Tyrus McGee. They've combined to knock down 38.5% on 392 3-pt attempts. As a team against Texas, Iowa St. hit 10 of 21.
To win, Texas needs to harass White and, ideally, get him in a little bit of foul trouble. On the perimeter, the Horns need to do a better job of identifying shooters and not letting them hoist open jumpers. In Big 12 play, Texas has allowed opponents to shoot 41.0% from beyond the arc, and if they let Iowa State make shot after downtown shot, it could be a long night.
Personally, I think Texas comes ready to play and notches a comfortable victory. Given that the game is on LHN, I'll have to settle for following on the Twitter while watching reruns of Chopped.
@ Baylor (Sat Jan 28, 12:00p, CBS)
The Baylor Bears are Texas' biggest matchup nightmare in the conference. The Bears are looooong in the frontcourt, have one of the most athletic small forwards in the nation, and possess specialist skills on the perimeter. They also lack any kind of notable experience and are (barely) coached by Scott Drew.
After starting the season 17-0, Baylor has dropped its last two. They were dominated on the road by Kansas and then at home against Missouri. Their undefeated start had a lot of national media throwing around terms like "Elite" and "#1 seed." At the time, I cautioned that KU and Mizzou may knock them down a peg or two. Now I'm not always right and usually mostly wrong, but I'd like to pat my back for that one. Baylor's still on par with Missouri talent-wise, with the Tigers skewing backcourt while the Bears are frontcourt heavy. But Missouri has the experience and Kansas has the coaching, and Baylor may find itself in third place by the time Big 12 play concludes.
They're still a matchup nightmare for Texas, though. Sophomore Perry Jones and freshman Quincy Miller are the two highest rated draft prospects in the Big 12. They can score (13.7 PPG / 12.9 PPG) and defend, but sometimes look uncomfortable coexisting together. Wing Quincy Acy has no such problem. He can play on any team in the country and on my team any day. He's a high-flyer and explosive finisher. If any of them are struggling or in foul trouble, Baylor can go to its ridiculously deep bench. Senior Anthony Jones would probably start for some lesser high major teams, and Cory Jefferson is a sophomore who could explode (a la Acy last year) when Jones and Miller leave.
Frankly, I'm not quite sure how the Texas bigs can keep up with these horses, but they'll have to try. Fairly or not, the Bears have been labeled as "soft", and, in contrast to their Elite 8 team two years ago, don't have a true center like Josh Lomers or defensive paint terror like Ekpe Udoh. I guess the "punch 'em in the mouth" philosophy applies. Clint Chapman and Jaylen Bond will have to be aggressive offensively, and Jonathan Holmes needs to be fresh off of chasing around ISU's White and do the same on Acy.
Their backcourt has a bunch of nice pieces but no star. The Bears continue to stubbornly start AJ Walton, despite his inability to shoot (68 FGA) or stop turning over the ball (33.4% TO Rate). Like the rest of the country, I prefer Pierre Jackson, who actually plays more minutes than Walton overall (68 to 51% of min played). Jackson can shoot (49.3% 3-Pt%) and dish (40.3% ARate). He's a first-year JuCo transfer, and as he gains game experience, he'll get better and better. Brady Heslip is one of the best long distance gunners in the country (47.0% 3-Pt%) and looks even more annoying than Aaron Bruce. Freshman Deuce Bello is the only one with true 2-guard length, but he's more athlete than basketball player at this point in his career.
The defense is susceptible, and the Tigers shredded it to the point where Drew temporarily abandoned his base 1-3-1 zone for a terribly run man-to-man D. The key is to avoid Baylor's interior length and attack from the wings. Good games from Julien Lewis and Sheldon McClellan would be ideal, and Myck Kabongo and J'Covan Brown need to identify and attack the soft spots in the zone. Texas is also a good offensive rebounding team, and should be able to sneak by Baylor's big men to crash the glass (see the punch 'em in the mouth philosophy). A high scoring game is probably Texas' best bet, but I don't foresee a win in Waco.
vs. Missouri (Mon Jan 30, 8:00p, ESPN)
I already covered Missouri's personnel for their first matchup (see here).
In the first matchup, Missouri's shooters basically blitzkrieged Texas early, and even J'Covan's big night couldn't bring the Longhorns within striking distance. Missouri is going to make its fair share of shots; the key is to try and limit their offensive efficiency as much as possible.
I'm hopeful that Clint Chapman will bring his A game against Ricardo Ratliffe, and to do so, Chapman will have to avoid the quick fouls that took him out of rhythm in Columbia. Texas should also look to be the aggressor in the paint, and some hard-nosed play from Jaylen Bond may be just what the doctor ordered. I thought his 9 minutes were too little last game, as he's got the ideal size to knock Ratliffe out of his comfort zone.
Against Missouri's four guard lineup, Rick Barnes chose to start off playing zone. His rationale was that he didn't want his freshmen chasing around Kim English. Instead, Texas just let Marcus Denmon burn them instead. Yes, the Tigers have a multitude of weapons. But so do the Longhorns (they're just way less experienced and efficient!), and they need to use them. Missouri has no answer on the wing for the bigger Jonathan Holmes (10 points, 7 rebounds last game), and Myck Kabongo has a significant height and gallop advantage over the small Phil Pressey. If Texas can avoid falling into an early hole, the home crowd noise and team confidence should build, hopefully culminating in a win. And hey, maybe J'Covan j'goes for 30+ again.
Not pulling out a victory against Kansas St. or Kansas hurts, but the Longhorns still have a shot at a couple of wins heading into a much easier second half conference schedule. Let's hook those W's, Rick.
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I think you’ll have a much better shot at Missouri this time around. Missouri plays worse on the road than they do at home (see last year.) They may have won at Baylor, but if the Bears were in the hands of a competent game coach, they would have won. Missouri relies heavily on their shooting and that is prone to failure in a hostile environment. The better the attendance at the Erwin center for this game, the better your chances of taking them down. As a lifelong Jayhawks fan, I’ll be pulling hard for UT. Just remember that you owe Missouri a farewell ass-kicking just the same as you owe one to A&M.
by Mark W on Jan 24, 2026 2:47 PM CST reply actions
Terrific roundup, jc.
Part of the background on Chris Allen is that he, um, violated team rules frequently at MSU. It is interesting that his fellow ex-Spartan, Korie Lucious, also landed at Iowa State. He’ll be eligible next year. Not sure how many of the other transfers were similarly misfit. But they can play ball.
Not sure if I’m going to review the Missouri-Baylor DVR I grabbed, but I was told by a reliable source that blocking out was optional for Baylor on Saturday. If Texas gets after it on the boards, they have a shot against the Bears, even though like you, I fear the match-up in general.
I was hopeful but not optimistic that Texas could take down KU. They actually did quite well considering how poorly they shot. I am more hopeful and somewhat optimistic regarding their chances against Missouri next week.
by Bob in Houston on Jan 24, 2026 2:56 PM CST reply actions
Missouri plays worse on the road than they do at home (see last year.)
Mark, I think you can “see every team in the world” for that statement. I’m also not sure what “relies on its shooting” means when the team currently has the most efficient offense in the country. I mean, in order to score one must shoot. So, to that extent, I agree entirely.
Great write up, JC. Re Mizzou, the most surprising thing about this team to me is how well it rebounds and how it wins the “points in the paint” battle so often. Small, sure, but good at crashing the boards and good at creating easy shots and open looks. While not deep at all (7 scholarship players - the 8th guy just finished being Mizzou’s third string TE), it’s got all kinds of experience.
Winning at Texas will be difficult. I’m glad that game is soon as it seems UT is improving as the years progresses (regardless of the Ls).
by Phenomenal Smith on Jan 24, 2026 3:29 PM CST reply actions
Ph. Smith - You are correct that “relies on shooting” is a truism insofar as nobody wins without shooting baskets. However, what I was implying was that Missouri relies on outside shooting. I’ve never looked up the numbers, but I am fairly certain that you would find a Chi-squared distribution on shooting percentages based on distance from the basket. In other words, the closer you are to the basket, the better your chances of making it. I would think that this goes without saying, but I thought it went without saying that “relies on shooting” implied outside shooting.
You are also correct that virtually everyone plays worse on the road than they play at home. However, Missouri played MUCH worse on the road than they did at home last year. This is, of course, speaking solely in terms of winning percentage. Last year they were 7-1 at home in conference play while they were 1-7 on the road in conference play. That qualifies as “much worse” on the road. Until such time as Missouri shows that they have truly conquered their inability to win on the road in conference play, I think it bodes well for UT’s chances against Missouri.
by Mark W on Jan 24, 2026 3:44 PM CST reply actions
Great write-up. Looking forward to the game. Thanks!
And thanks for the heads up TexasWright!
by potinmylungs on Jan 24, 2026 3:59 PM CST reply actions
Texas leads 46-31 with 11 min to play in second half. And that’s on 0-9 first half FG shooting by JCB. Luckily the Sigh-clones are shooting 28% from the field with multiple air balls. Without Royce White they’d still be in single digits.
Steady play all around by Lewis, Kabongo, and Chapman.
TexasWright just won a tote bag signed by Rick Barnes.
by Vasherized on Jan 24, 2026 9:24 PM CST reply actions
Four straight turnovers in a row by Texas. 46-35. Ejim just got rejected by the rim on a breakaway dunk. Huckleberry feels his pain.
by Vasherized on Jan 24, 2026 9:30 PM CST reply actions
my starting 5 bongo,brown,mclellan,bond,chapp
by wisconsinhornybadger on Jan 24, 2026 9:53 PM CST reply actions
final: Texas wins 62-55. We still got a shot.
by Jake Lonergan on Jan 24, 2026 10:17 PM CST reply actions
Tried our best to give this one away. 16 point lead evaporated to 3 with 30 seconds left.
Kabongo with the steal and layup to seal it.
On to Waco. Verne and Clark with the call on CBS again.
by Vasherized on Jan 24, 2026 10:22 PM CST reply actions
Texas basketball fans are a disgrace.
6000 fans at a home game is embarrassing and most of them sitting on their hands.
by my name is nobody on Jan 25, 2026 6:44 AM CST reply actions
6,000 fans. But, but, Wulaw Horn- Rick Barnes has all the advantages in the World. We’re Texas damnit- being one of the top 10 programs over the past decade isn’t good enough- we demand better- we are entitled…
by Wulaw Horn on Jan 25, 2026 9:07 AM CST reply actions
Kill the buzz with the Blackout Network, the system itself taking three sophomores off our team, and the historic nature of UT fans = 6,000 in attandance. just the way it is…
by cloydtex on Jan 25, 2026 10:18 AM CST reply actions
I just don’t see how the LHN killed the buzz when most of the games that have been shown were the in-state fodder that were inconsequential to their development outside of scrimmage time.
by Bob in Houston on Jan 25, 2026 11:02 AM CST reply actions
Bob- I’m a nut and watch every last bit of Longhorn hoops I can. I used to sleep at DKR every sunday night so I could pull courside seats on Monday back when that was how it was set up…
I can tell you that the LHN has made me less of a fan. Maybe it’s having a 1 year old daughter, but I watched all the games on TV last year with her when she was an infant. Maybe it’s the nature of being so many new faces, and not getting to see them but 2 times in non-conference schedule.
I haven’t missed a tv game yet this year, but I feel way less connected to this team then I have since I started school in 1996. I can’t think I’m the only one who feels this way.
And BTW- I’m super excited about the LHN. I Think its going to be tremendous after the growing pains are done. I will immediately switch providers the second someone in my geographic area carries it (I’m in Victoria Texas).
by Wulaw Horn on Jan 25, 2026 11:24 AM CST reply actions
Let’s not forget there was also some severe weather conditions to contend with (No, not the Cyclones). It was also a late game against a team that does not really register anywhere on the basketball scale of importance since Marcus Fizer. However, after doing some research (read: google search) I discovered a shocking fact.
Average home attendance of a Division 1 basketball program was 5,237 fans in 2011. That means that on our “pathetic, disgraceful, etc” fans show up more on our worst attendance day than your average NCAA team has show up EVERY day. Before you attack the fans look at the circumstances. BTW I think it’s about time for the Frank Erwin Center to be either severely remodeled or demolished. That building can suck the life out of even the rowdiest rock concert crowd, let alone a basketball crowd.
Average NCAA Div I attendance = 5,237
Pathetic UT crowd = 6,000
http://www.ncaa.org/wps/wcm/connect/public/ncaa/pdfs/2011/2011+ncaa+mens+basketball+attendance+full+report
Facts yo, get into ’em.
by TheBlanton on Jan 25, 2026 11:25 AM CST reply actions
Wulaw, not denying that failing to launch the LHN in a meaningful way has kept people from watching games they might have watched. I just think that it is an excuse for people who want to complain about the LHN. In your case, having a toddler is a big reason for not spending as much time on hoops as you may have previously.
I look at it like the baseball team. People always say, oh, they like the baseball model in terms of signing rules. There’s still a ton of turnover because of the draft. There is constant retooling, if not rebuilding. JC guys fill slots just about every year. Doesn’t keep the baseball fans from following the team, or me from picking it up late in the season, even though there have not been a lot of games available for free.
The other thing I would say about a lack of connection this year, is that outside of Brown, fans had a hard time perceiving what the team was going to be like. The freshmen, outside of Kabongo, were virtually unseen, and even with MK there was no way to get a handle on how he would do. We’re two-thirds through the regular season, and the unpredictability is still off the scale.
As to the attendance, it’s been a long time since a conference game drew so few. Rather than argue it, I’d just restate that the major reason for attendance problems is the ability for large LHF donors to lock up lower-level basketball tickets that they really don’t care about using. After that comes the disinterest in sitting in the mezz, as compared to the view on TV. And there is just a lack of interest in the game among the people in this state. So, you have to put a winner on the floor, a big one, to have hope of selling out a 16,000-seat arena.
Barnes used to complain about attendance fairly often early on, but he and Dodds must have come to an understanding, because he just doesn’t go there anymore.
by Bob in Houston on Jan 25, 2026 12:10 PM CST reply actions
You all are much more tolerant of J’Covan than I would be.
by Hiphopopotamus on Jan 25, 2026 2:21 PM CST reply actions
Hip: He’s the only guy they have who can get a defense to move. He’s averaging 4 assists per game with a 1.75/1 A/TO ratio. And, FWIW, I didn’t see anybody else lining up threes in crunch time on Saturday.
I can’t recall that Barnes has said a critical word this season about how JCB has played.
by Bob in Houston on Jan 25, 2026 4:28 PM CST reply actions
jc25 -
Awesome piece.
Mizzou is our best shot for a win. Baylor is just too goddamn big. If we can go off from the 3 point line, we may have a shot, but I’m not sure how we get a rebound.
by Scipio Tex on Jan 25, 2026 4:32 PM CST reply actions
Hip — that’s an interesting take coming from someone who’s had to tolerate Sherron Collins and Tyshawn Taylor. J’Covan’s O-Rtg this season to date is higher than anything Collins or Taylor has ever put up. Due to his supporting case, Brown has to take on an inordinate amount of usage responsibility. It’s shown over the past few games and if you just saw him forcing shots against a stout KU D, I can see why you’re down on Brown. But he’s got a ridiculously high basketball IQ, can hit from anywhere on the floor, and brings a “World’s Greatest” mentality that pushes him to thrive. He’s my favorite Horn to watch since KD/Augustin and it’s really not even close. It’s a shame that he’s relegated to playing for this team and perhaps a Kabongo/Ridley-less team next year. Add a two-man game with Tristan Thompson and we’d be talking about them like Robinson/Taylor.
by jc25 on Jan 25, 2026 4:46 PM CST reply actions
You guys remember Darren Kelly when he was here? He had similar relative burden to JCB and if you only saw his shooting stats, you must have thought he was selfish SOB. Then you’d watch the games and realize he’s the only option at the end of a possession.
JCB needs to get back to distributing the ball, but his teammates need to present themselves. It’s chicken-egg right now and I’m not sure how that cycle is broken short of Sheldon McCllelan and Kabongo growing up.
by Scipio Tex on Jan 25, 2026 4:55 PM CST reply actions
Scipio:
With any luck, hopefully J’Covan’s teammates will end up having the careers of Kelly’s teammates during his senior season. (I assume that is the team you are referring to. Kelly’s junior year he played with Mihm and Gabe.) That team in Kelly’s senior season was loaded with freshman who ended up forming the base of the Final Four and Sweet 16 teams. We didn’t appreciate at the time just how important those guys would become.
Also, I would love to have a player like Chris Owens on this team. Or maybe just more playing time for Jaylen Bond, who has a lot of similar attributes.
by Reggieball on Jan 25, 2026 7:08 PM CST reply actions
Fair enough, you all certainly see him more than I do. And my criticism of Brown by no means should absolve Collins or Taylor of their carelessness.
But while Brown is having to carry them some this year, he didn’t have that burden the past two years, and his numbers were considerably worse then, I believe. I’m all for the confident mentality, but you all say he isn’t distributing because others aren’t presenting themself… I’d argue it’s the job of the team leader to get them to. But I tend to think he likes things the way they are.
by Hiphopopotamus on Jan 26, 2026 8:19 AM CST reply actions
Hip: Brown was not any better than average (if that) his first two years, but started this year as other-worldly and has settled into excellent. His career trajectory reminds me of Jacob Pullen and it wouldn’t shock me at all if Brown was the Big 12 POY next year.
by jc25 on Jan 26, 2026 10:54 AM CST reply actions
Hip: Next time you watch Texas, take a few seconds to watch Lewis, McClellan, Bond and Holmes. They just don’t have the confidence to do things that they are capable of doing (which of course is typical of freshmen). Next year, they’re gonna be a lot better, but that doesn’t help right now.
I would have liked to see Brown dish for someone with a more-open three on the last shot Saturday, but I looked at the tape — nobody was open to get a better shot than he had.
by Bob in Houston on Jan 26, 2026 12:02 PM CST reply actions
You’re probably right. I especially like McClellan and will be disappointed if he isn’t a household name (within Big 12 circles) by next season.
by Hiphopopotamus on Jan 27, 2026 2:54 PM CST reply actions

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