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Texas Longhorns Vs. Wyoming Cowboys Football Preview

There's Longhorn football in Austin on September 1st, 2012 and for those of us who can't make it in person, it will be widely available on ham radio and Barking Carnival's riveting Live Game threads. In my early non-con preview, I called Wyoming a Respectable Sacrificial Lamb; offered at our altar to serve as a useful potential scout for the types of offenses our defense will see all year, a proof to see if our offense can dominate lesser defenses.

I still hold that view. The question Wyoming poses is basic: has Texas improved enough to dominate college football's middle class?

Generally, with these kinds of games I focus less on breathless player breakdowns and try to get a general sense of how a weaker opponent may test us schematically in ways that might be projectable to other games and then focus on a few individual match-ups that can give us an idea of how we've improved at select positions.

If you're interested in depth chart breakdowns from a Wyoming perspective, Cowboy Altitude is a great resource.

Star-divide

Offense

Last year, the Cowboys went 8-5, their second bowl appearance in the last three years under head coach Dave Christensen. Christensen (former Mizzou OC) is a master of the slow bleed spread, attacks defenses with a thousand different cuts and formations, and is at his best when he has a QB to use in the running game to create balance.

The best QB on the field will be Wyoming's Brett Smith. Last year, the 6-3, 195 pound sophomore flashed major ability (415-253-2622-20-11 passing, 139-710-10tds, 5.1 average rushing) combining for over 3300 yards of offense and accounting for 30 TDs. He's a true dual threat spread QB who will option, run draws out of empty sets, and use his feet to buy time for a play downfield. Making big plays, however, is the main handicap of last year's Wyoming offense. While Smith did an amazing job of protecting the football as a freshman (only 2.4% of passes intercepted), the Cowboys averaged only 6.3 yards per pass attempt and 10.3 yards per completion.

The Cowboy passing offense constitutes the bulk of their play calls, but it's the sneaky effectiveness of their running game with Smith (Wyoming overall: 4.9 yards per attempt) and risk aversion (low turnovers, only 12 sacks surrendered all year) that allowed them to put points on the board and go to a bowl game.

What We Can Learn on Defense

- Wyoming will make us identify and adjust to several looks. Empty sets, unbalanced lines, bunch formations. That's good prep in general, but it's particularly useful for our inexperienced LBs and Adrian Phillips.

- Wyoming's offense will attack us in the short passing game with screens, shovels, three step drops, timing routes. With a running game entirely out of spread concepts. We'll see this game plan all year long, as we did last season. Can we punish risk-averse game planning with quick pressure and aggressive breaks? Or are we content to keep the ball in front of us?

Positional Battles of Interest

- Wyoming's best OL is senior Center Nick Carlson. Chris Whaley gets an early test.

- Brett Smith is a dynamic dual threat QB and his WRs, if not elite, are quality (Chris McNeill is the best of the bunch). DB eye discipline and DL containment will be tested on every snap.

- The Cowboys break in two new OTs. Refer back to quick passing game.

Wyoming Defense/Special Teams

Christensen made an offseason change at DC after last year's unit surrendered 27.8 ppg, 432 yards, and 6.1 yards per play, as five Wyoming opponents totaled 500+ yards of offense. They struggled mightily against the run (5.1 yards per carry allowed, 232 yards per game). New DC Chris Tormey will bring more movement, more blitzes, and more exotica to the Cowboys, and I'm sure he'll be eager to test it on Texas.

Though it will be tempting to just run the damn ball and keep things simple, David Ash finishing the game with 10 pass attempts would be a tactical success and a strategic mistake. Ash needs confidence and reps in the passing game and while our first ten snaps shouldn't be in hurry-up out of an empty set, I do want to see 6-7 passing attempts per quarter from our offense, even if the RBs are going at 6 yards a pop.

We should also have a significant disparity in roster speed that should show up on special teams, particularly on punt returns.

What We Can Learn on Offense

- Wyoming will be blitz and stunt heavy, particularly with their safeties, they'll roll up extra defenders late, and our offense must punish overplay, protect, make good OL adjustments, and still get positive yards even when they guess right.

- The questions for our offense are more elemental. How do we look overall? How well do we pass protect? Run our base plays? What's Ash's decision making look like? Did our WRs really take a step forward? Do our constraint plays score?

- I'm curious about role players like Greg Daniels, Ryan Roberson, John Harris - how do they help us this year? Wildcat triggerman? Third down back?

Positional Battles of Interest

- DTs Mike Purcell and Kurt Taufa'asu are being called the best DT combo in the Mountain West. I'll watch Espinosa against them with interest.

- Mike Davis and Jaxon Shipley vs. two experienced Wyoming corners in single coverage situations.

Conclusion

Texas should win convincingly, but I'll be mostly interested in 1). how we look overall on offense and 2). signs from our defense that we're ready to take the fight to risk-averse, spread game planning.

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Comments

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I wonder also

if Diaz will work the basic fronts and stunts and let us practice playing base defense or if he’ll Fire Zone their offense to death.
We might as well do the latter and bury them early, imo. Like you pointed to, it would be nice to know now if our force and underneath play in the blitzes needs work before we have to tackle Tavon Austin in space.

by Nickel Rover on Aug 28, 2025 3:25 PM CDT reply actions  

As always excellent work

As a Wyoming native, I always like the home team to do well. Christensen has been excellent, (which means he’s probably not long for Laramie). I like this match-up for a number of reasons:

Their strength vs. our strength, O vs D. will give us a good test but shouldn’t be a major concern. But, I don’t think this is the type of game our D can play NFL pre-season blah and expect to perform well. We need to take this O seriously.

Their weakness, vs, our weakness, D vs O should allow Ash and the WR’s to time and space to build confidence, while still putting plenty of things on film to work on.

Overall, Wyoming will keep it close in the first half and then wilt in the heat, but since its early in the year, our depth advantages will not have as great of an effect as it would once injuries inevitably take out a few key players.

Besides, come on Longhorns vs. Cowboys, its like a Louis L’Amour novel or something.

by texitect on Aug 28, 2025 3:35 PM CDT reply actions  

Do you think humidity is the key issue for them?

Obviously, Wyoming has some advantages training every day at 7200 feet.

by Scipio Tex on Aug 28, 2025 3:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

Well yes and no.

The conditioning advantage they gain by training at altitude (I can run forever when I go down to sea level) will quickly be wasted by the episodic nature of football, our depth, and the heat , which imo is far more significant.

When I first moved to Austin from Laramie, (in July) I didn’t want to ever go outside, it was brutal. I remember watching football practices and thinking I would rather run into a truck than suit up in full pads in Texas.

On the other hand, I don’t really think Wyoming would beat Texas even if we played in Laramie. It might be closer, but the talent differential is just to much to overcome.

by texitect on Aug 28, 2025 3:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

How vanilla will we be?

In the past Mack has liked to save things for the start of conference play or OU, but last year we were pulling out all sorts of tricks early. That seemed mostly borne of desperation. With a more seasoned bunch, do we stick to fundamentals and save the wrinkles for conference play or is the consistent use of ‘trickeration’ the new normal?

by Rickyspub on Aug 28, 2025 3:39 PM CDT reply actions  

We should and will run the whole offense

Harsin feels very differently from Brown. You want to put as much as possible on film so that quality opponents end up chasing their tails preparing for everything while diluting their ability to address our core concepts. We’ll withhold certain wrinkles for a key opponent, but you need to let it all hang out. Brown’s historical philosophy on this is completely self-defeating. And probably responsible for his OU record.

by Scipio Tex on Aug 28, 2025 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

I do think

that we should save some stuff for OU. They play so fast and aggressively that it makes a big difference to have something they haven’t seen before.
Given how much they prepare for us I don’t think we can put enough on film to keep them from having a pretty good defensive gameplan to handle what they need to handle.
Of course last year they just attacked our weaknesses so they didn’t need to have a perfect plan for every offensive wrinkle.

by Nickel Rover on Aug 28, 2025 3:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

for the record

I’m not saying they can and always will stuff us. I think that over stressing their defense is more important to victory than winning the spy games before the actual game.

by Nickel Rover on Aug 28, 2025 3:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

Given how much they prepare for us I don’t think we can put enough on film to keep them from having a pretty good defensive gameplan to handle what they need to handle.


When have we ever given them much to prepare for?

by Scipio Tex on Aug 28, 2025 3:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

good point

I guess this point hasn’t really been tested yet. But I’m wary of the idea that we can make the Stoops brothers thinks too hard before the game. Especially since Mi. Stoops has been working on simplifying the calls and checks for them so they don’t get caught out of position as much by no-huddle and motion.

by Nickel Rover on Aug 28, 2025 4:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

It's not the Stoops brothers we have to confuse

Its the players. The formations and motions that we throw out there are bound to cause a few mental mistakes here and there, the question is, are we talented enough on offense to recognize the mistakes and take advantage of them.

by texitect on Aug 28, 2025 4:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

we actually

went into that game with quite a few tricks up our sleeve last year including some unbalanced blocking and passing formations that had their defense confused. But we couldn’t execute much.

I don’t think there’s any issues as far as creativity goes from Harsin and I don’t think he holds back stuff from week to week. We’ll see new plays every week.

by LonghornScott on Aug 28, 2025 4:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree

and I think he’ll likely spend extra time to find some wrinkles against OU to get a big play here or there that could make the difference.

by Nickel Rover on Aug 28, 2025 4:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

All this fresh air is making me light headed!

Its hard to separate where the old Mack ends and the new one begins. I am always waiting for the old habits to come back. I hope to see us going all out, all the time, that includes the coaches and their play calling.

by Rickyspub on Aug 28, 2025 5:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

As opposed to hiding wrinkles, Harsin will use what you know against you.

Unlike last year, you need to be able to execute to get into some kind of rhythm, obviously, but Harsin’s kung fu is about making you think one thing and doing another to exploit what you ‘know’. It’s superior to tricks and wrinkles because it’s dynamic and isn’t simply figured out. It also follows that it works to Harsin’s advantage to show as much as he can early as an essential part of the Set Up. Hopefully we’ll get to enjoy seeing some of that kind of fluid play calling brainfuckery begin to unfold this year.

by triplehorn on Aug 28, 2025 11:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

I was thinking more of Shipley throwing TDs rather than running our straight offense

I think Fozzy, Shipley, and Harris all threw a pass before conference play. The old Mack would have never even considered that sort of play even if we were down or in a close game or we were completely inept during non-conf. It often seemed like he would rather lose than show something exotic too early.

My question was more about whether these sorts of ‘trick’ plays are part and parcel of the HarsinWhite offense, ‘kung fu’ rather than ‘tricks,’ or if they were used because we needed points and we were better off asking a non-QB to make a play. If its the later we might not use those sorts of plays until we are in a position of greater need, but if its the former then if the defense shows a look that makes a pass by a non-QB a strategic call, even against Wyoming, then will Harsin make that call?

More simply, the question is, will Shipley throw a pass in the first 3 games even if our offense is in good working order?

by Rickyspub on Aug 29, 2025 8:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

If Shipley doesn't throw a pass in the first 3 games,

It won’t be out of an attempt to sandbag for a future opponent. I expect trick plays to be a part of the HarsinWhite O if for any reason because they were so successful last year with the personnel on hand.

With the old system, recall how anyone paying attention, let alone the sooner D, knew what play was going to be run before the snap. With the BSU offense, if you’re certain you know what is coming next, you should be a little worried.

In the old system, trick plays were akin to an act of desperation. To the extent that Harsin gets this O into a rhythm today, whether or not we show trick plays in early games seems less significant beyond an exercise in execution.

by triplehorn on Aug 29, 2025 9:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

It'll be interesting to see how creative Harsin is in his playcalling this year

The only Boise State games I really watched were the big ones where you would expect the underdog to throw everything and kitchen sink at their opponent. I didn’t watch BSU play New Mexico State or Utah State to see what sort of offense Harsin called when playing lower quality teams.

I felt a lot of the non-QB pass calls last year were more or less acts of desperation, but maybe that is a bit of an exaggeration. Its fun to see those plays work and they certainly can put an opponent off-balance or shift momentum in our favor, unfortunately against OU our trick plays seemed to do the opposite. I can recall we had some sort ‘trick’ in almost every game until all our trick skills guys were injured.

So its safe to say that saving something for later in the Harsin O is more about trying to use the right tool at the right time no matter the opponent, rather than hoping that a rarely used tool will pull your team out of the fire in a key game?

by Rickyspub on Aug 29, 2025 10:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

Scipio or another BC contributor did a film breakdown of BSUvNevada

That illustrated what I’m talking about (it’s how I came to understand the actualized BSU offense). Nevada had a hot team that year and was essentially BSU’s equal in that game. I think it’s a good indication of what we can expect with an offense that can achieve consistency in execution against comparably matched opponents.

by triplehorn on Aug 29, 2025 10:34 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Ha, its funny that

We were so accustomed to knowing the play by the formation that we now think basic counters and sweeps are exotic looks that should be reserved for OU.

This is what real offenses look like all the time, basic plays with actual constraints to keep defenses honest.

by texitect on Aug 28, 2025 3:45 PM CDT reply actions  

I used to facepalm when Brown would call end arounds

“trick plays.” But I think we’re well past all of that now.

by Scipio Tex on Aug 28, 2025 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

somewhere

a man called Tony Jeffrey pauses and takes a sip of coffee and lets out a sigh and is then out again, on the road, into the night.

by Dreadful on Aug 28, 2025 4:06 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

UT's first offensive play?

My guess: Play-action fake to Brown and look for a deep pass to Davis or Shipley.

I think Ash airs it out early before leaning more heavily on the running game to wear down Wyoming.

(Disclaimer: All predictions guaranteed to be wrong.)

Simplicity is always the secret, to a profound truth, to doing things, to writing, to painting. Life is profound in its simplicity. - Charles Bukowski

by windycityhorn on Aug 28, 2025 3:59 PM CDT reply actions  

Harsin is a different breed of cat

He isnt going to be afraid to show some cards because if you lock into some tendency defensively he will jam it up your ass. Just hasnt had enough QB play to really run his stuff yet but that will change.

And after Rout 66 I am well over the heat advantage talk.

Just so glad I will be watching at my favorite bar in Chicago. Oh, wait….

by bullzak on Aug 28, 2025 4:16 PM CDT reply actions  

Please. UCLA is

full of talented underachievers who feel slighted they aren’t playing for the UCLA basketball team. They have the ability to rise up and beat you if they decide to play football as they inevitably do once a year.

Wyoming is a scrappy squad of Denver suburbanites and the occasional late developing kids from Natrona and Upton, who few people outside of the Wyoming Coaches have even seen play. They also attract talented QB’s because of the offense, and kickers because who wouldn’t want to kick at 7200 ft?

LA is hot in the summer, Laramie is the coldest place in the lower 48 states (Fuck you and your weather map, live their and tell me its not true).

To the extent Wyoming is able to compete, the heat advantage is real and significant, I expect to see a number of Wyoming players cramping up and getting IV’s on the sideline.

Nothing about this game resembles Route 66.

by texitect on Aug 28, 2025 4:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

UCLA is one of those rare teams that usually plays better on the road

1) The stadium is so far away from campus & they are like Texas with a Large but quiet Alumni base that the home environment is rarely intimidating.

2) They play well without expectations & crater when they have pressure on them

by HornsUpInLA on Aug 28, 2025 5:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

when I first read this

I thought you wrote Master of the slow speed spread and I thought fantastic. I can’t wait to see what develops. Now I understand the death from a 1000 cuts line much more.

by mdhorn on Aug 28, 2025 4:23 PM CDT reply actions  

would it hurt Ash to throw

to a rb? I kid. Expect their corners to learn and burn from a 1000 quick cuts.

by mdhorn on Aug 28, 2025 4:26 PM CDT reply actions  

Tempted to take the under

Espinosa’s record against angry Polynesians is lackluster

by Tackchevy on Aug 28, 2025 4:28 PM CDT reply actions  

Nice write-up

It’s good to get back to previews. I like Christensen quite a bit going back to what he did with Chase Daniel at Mizzou. I think he will have a nice game plan for this weekend.

Should indeed be a nice early test for the D. I’ll be really interested to see how Cobbs/Edmond perform. It’d be nice to get Turner and Thompson some snaps when the game is still meaningful.

by Big(g) Ern on Aug 28, 2025 4:37 PM CDT reply actions  

Nice, concise summary Scipio

I was looking at their inside LB’s, which are small (225 lbs) and inexperienced (injury replacement and redshirt freshman). Whether they stunt or not, it looks like fresh meat for power O/inside zone/jet sweep combos unless the two DT’s can keep them clean. With 4 backs to rotate in, there won’t be much slacking off in the pressure for an explosive run until late in the game. In light of the useful tuneup concept for this game I’m worried we’ll be so successful in the run game that Ash won’t get many 3rd and 4 or 5 plays, which were the killers for him last year. I know, I know, it seems silly. I think we should run some of the 3rd and 4-8 playbook no matter the down or distance just to get the feel. Oklahoma State isn’t that far off.

by burnt in ny on Aug 28, 2025 6:17 PM CDT reply actions  

Yep.

I want the staff to manufacture some passing situations for Ash. If we go 3-0 to start the year and crush our three opponents just by running the ball and Ash has 42 total game attempts, then we’re not seeing the forest for the trees IMO.

by Scipio Tex on Aug 28, 2025 7:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

I think

they mirror a lot of our foes and the tactics they’ll use. Lots of small, fast defenders. I think they’ll stunt and run-blitz and hope to kill drives with TFL’s. We’ll see that all year, I’m sure.

by Nickel Rover on Aug 28, 2025 7:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

The questions that come to my mind are:

1) How many snaps or drives do you think it takes for the Texas offense to settle down a bit? Still have a bunch of young guys out there, and some of them will be playing in front of 90,000+ for the first time. (I realize the stadium holds more, but I’m trying to take into account the no-shows because of non-con game). I hope they get a sustained drive on the first offensive series, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see nerves come out a bit in the first possession or two.

2) If it does take a drive or two for the offense to start clicking, what will the meltdown be like on the Longhorn internet? :-/ (Asked more just to prepare those of us who will have to track the game online for the inevitable jackasses who will come out of the woodwork.)

by Sasha is a Longhorn Dog on Aug 28, 2025 6:22 PM CDT reply actions  

1). Hitting a big pass early would do wonders for us.
2). Oh, I think we know that answer already.

by Scipio Tex on Aug 28, 2025 7:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

I think a lot of our fans are expecting

late season defense from Texas and an opponent that resembles the 2010 Cowboy squad.

My guess is that we come out conservative on offense. I feel like Harsin doesn’t mind sacrificing plays early in the game if he can use them to set up a big play later. I don’t have any data to back that up, just a gut feeling.
. . . .
So, personally, I’m not going to be all that concerned if we don’t score on the first drive.

OTOH, we should be able to move the ball well on the ground. It will be interesting to see how Harsin approaches this one. It would be nice to see him throw Ash into the deep end starting in the second quarter or so.

by Alphahydro on Aug 28, 2025 10:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

please Mac

don’t call off the dogs if the Horns build a lead early running the ball. I really want to see the Horns get some practice tossing the ball.

by mdhorn on Aug 28, 2025 8:05 PM CDT reply actions  

and Ship is dangerous

on anything underneath as anything down field.

by mdhorn on Aug 28, 2025 8:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

Texas should not have any struggles offensively in this game.

TCU have over 600 yards of offense last year in Wyoming, ran for almost 400 yards at over 8 ypc, and still turned over the ball five times.

Smith is legit though and would be hell if he had any speed at receiver or running back to pair with him. They moved the ball against TCU a bit until he got knocked out of the game.

by davey o'brien on Aug 29, 2025 8:36 AM CDT reply actions  


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